2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)

[North Balti Zen]

 

[Kay]

1 hour ago, mappy said:

Only sprinkles here, not even a pity rumble of thunder 

 

[Scraff]

44 minutes ago, CAPE said:

Good stuff. Not as good as the original or the BBA version imo, but good.

The 2022 120 min IPA has a different look to the artwork on the bottle, so easy to tell. Also has the abv listed for the first time ever (16.6%).

 

Sold! I need a bottle of that with an episode of Stranger Things 4. 

[Stormfly]

1 hour ago, mappy said:

Only sprinkles here, not even a pity rumble of thunder 

We got a good quarter inch gully washer shower that lasted 5 min.  No thunder.

MD definitely is boring for weather but (normal) people think that is a GOOD thing!

[yoda]

50 minutes ago, yoda said:

Power just went out

Power back on

A ton of wind and hail reports today... SLGT definitely verified and the STWatch did easily as well

[WxWatcher007]

44 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said:

 

I don’t know why my wife took that picture of me. I am retired! 

[CAPE]

49 minutes ago, Scraff said:

Sold! I need a bottle of that with an episode of Stranger Things 4. 

Watched an ep last night with a (vintage) 2020 120. 

[Stormfly]

1 hour ago, North Balti Zen said:

 

That channel is INSANE.  We call those gigabolts!  Last time I saw something like that was in 2006 and it hit in a cemetery.  I did not stick around looking for any skeletons, let me tell you that!

[yoda]

Probably already have an overturned airmass... but those two storms out in N Fauquier County are decent

[BlizzardNole]

All this talk of DFH 120 has me wanting to try it!  I love the 90 minute.

Just a sprinkle here as everything went just south but I'm OK with that as I got soooo much rain in May.  Parents in northern Calvert report small hail and brief but real heavy rain of 0.75 in minutes.

[high risk]

another round of splitting supercells along the I-66 corridor.    The left mover of one split might make a run at Leesburg, while the right mover has some modest rotation southwest of Warrenton

[yoda]

13 minutes ago, high risk said:

another round of splitting supercells along the I-66 corridor.    The left mover of one split might make a run at Leesburg, while the right mover has some modest rotation southwest of Warrenton

The one by Warrenton probably could use a STW soon imo

[aldie 22]

Had some nice heavy rain earlier around 5:15 looks a nice little batch heading this way now. Lawn definitely needed it after this week of heat

[Maestrobjwa]

3 hours ago, North Balti Zen said:

 

Wooooooooweeee!!!! That ought go up for severe photo of the year so far!!

[mattie g]

Absolute deluge with this last cell to end the day. Never came close to verifying severe in any of these storms today, but holy sh*t is it dumping right now.

[yoda]

Just now, mattie g said:

Absolute deluge with this last cell to end the day. Never came close to verifying severe in any of these storms today, but holy sh*t is it dumping right now.

I had fallen asleep around 830... got woke up by this deluge outside 

[mattie g]

1 minute ago, yoda said:

I had fallen asleep around 830... got woke up by this deluge outside 

I really hope the nearby CoCoRaHs reports tomorrow!

[Chinook]

local storm reports, including sub-severe reports, marine wind reports from today

[Eskimo Joe]

13 hours ago, WxUSAF said:

Going to be bumping the drought thread by July 4 

Yea it's starting to get crispy up here in Baltimore County.

[nw baltimore wx]

Must be June.  @WxUSAF is trolling for the drought thread again.

[midatlanticweather]

Does anyone have radars in the Purcellville to Leesburg area yesterday when the severe was coming through? A lot of damage from wind and I swear I saw a wall cloud while driving into Leesburg (my son has some video I need to review). A lot of trees down and not all in one direction in the area. I wonder if NWS will take a look. A friend of ours swears a tornado went through their property, but I have not been able to visit.  This was the same one that then hailed on Leesburg. 

Thanks!

[osfan24]

One positive for the lack of rain is I won't have to cut my grass every five days. Been crazy the past six weeks or so. Grass is just constantly long and in need of cutting. Could use a bit of a break.

[yoda]

Looking like Tuesday may be next chance of a few severe storms... then maybe Thursday 

[CAPE]

Need to watch this shortwave digging S and E under that closed upper low over eastern Canada Wed into Thursday. For now, as depicted it's probably a bit too far north for our area.

 

 

[CAPE]

Should be some active periods going forward with this general pattern. Disturbances in the flow and fronts nearby combined with surface heating will be triggers.

[George BM]

1 hour ago, CAPE said:

Need to watch this shortwave digging S and E under that closed upper low over eastern Canada Wed into Thursday. For now, as depicted it's probably a bit too far north for our area.

 

 

I'll definitely become a little more intrigued for the Wed/Thurs shortwave if timing can change a bit. It's probably easier to root for a slightly faster system (late Wed) rather than a slower system (Thurs) as of now as slowing it down by 18 hours may be a bit of a tall order compared to speeding it up by 6 hours. Either trend would maximize daytime heating as you probably know. 

[CAPE]

4 minutes ago, George BM said:

I'll definitely become a little more intrigued for the Wed/Thurs shortwave if timing can change a bit. It's probably easier to root for a slightly faster system (late Wed) rather than a slower system (Thurs) as of now as slowing it down by 18 hours may be a bit of a tall order compared to speeding it up by 6 hours. Either trend would maximize daytime heating as you probably know. 

Yep, at this range there is plenty of uncertainty with exact location of the front, timing of disturbances etc.

[Kmlwx]

CIPS has a few decent analogs in the 120hr range. June 16, 2008 is in there in the midwest sector. 

[George BM]

@Kmlwx @yoda 

Fourteen years.

[yoda]

1 hour ago, Kmlwx said:

CIPS has a few decent analogs in the 120hr range. June 16, 2008 is in there in the midwest sector. 

Reviewing it... I like how the morning Day 2 was like oh 15% off to our west... afternoon update hatched introduced lol

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/archive/event.php?date=20080616