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February 13, 2022 Winter Warmth to Arctic Blast Snow Event Discussion and Obs


Ralph Wiggum
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4 minutes ago, The Iceman said:

Looks like barring redevelopment snow should be pretty much over soon? Looks between 1.5- 2” here all on grassy/cold surfaces. Side roads have a layer of slush beginning to build but mostly just wet. Looks like the heaviest rates set up well n and w of 95 as some meso guidance was hinting last night.

If you look west to State College CWA, there is a whole band back that way and if any of it survives to move east intact, then there would be more.

Currently still holding at 32 with dp 31, but have all fine-flaked snow at the moment (no mix that I can detect).

kccx_20220213_1240_BR_0.4.png

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29 minutes ago, The Iceman said:

Looks like barring redevelopment snow should be pretty much over soon? Looks between 1.5- 2” here all on grassy/cold surfaces. Side roads have a layer of slush beginning to build but mostly just wet. Looks like the heaviest rates set up well n and w of 95 as some meso guidance was hinting last night.

Every radar update precipitation is shrinking/diminishing...

31F/Very light snow 

814.jpg

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There are now a bunch of 6 inch reports (spotter and "public") in Northampton County.

3 minutes ago, Birds~69 said:

Every radar update precipitation is shrinking/diminishing...

31F/Very light snow 

814.jpg

You have to look at KCCX and the band back west.  It has been pretty much sitting over that area so I don't know how far west it will go but I guess it depends on what the jet does...

Am currently "up to" 33 with dp 31 and light snow (but also dripping).

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2 minutes ago, Birds~69 said:

Maybe not...aside from LV.

Yeah, this baby is over. What little covered the pavement/road is wet now and only left with some lazy flakes. Drip..drip should be starting soon if it hasn't already.

31F/Lazy flakes

They were more due than us :D

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Latest PNS issued (8:19 am) -

Quote
NOUS41 KPHI 131319
 PNSPHI
 DEZ001>004-MDZ012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-055-060>062-070-
 071-101>106-140119-
 
 Public Information Statement
 National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
 819 AM EST Sun Feb 13 2022
 
 ...UPDATED SNOWFALL REPORTS FOR FEBRUARY 13...
 
 Location                     Amount    Time/Date       Provider             
 
 ...Delaware...
 
 ...New Castle County...
 3 WNW Glasgow                0.7 in    0744 AM 02/13   Trained Spotter      
 New Castle County Airport    0.6 in    0700 AM 02/13   ASOS                 
 Newark                       0.5 in    0450 AM 02/13   Cocorahs             
 
 ...New Jersey...
 
 ...Burlington County...
 1 WNW South Jersey Regional  0.6 in    0645 AM 02/13   NWS Employee         
 2 NNW South Jersey Regional  0.6 in    0700 AM 02/13   CO-OP Observer       
 Mount Holly WFO              0.6 in    0700 AM 02/13   Official NWS Obs     
 Medford                      0.1 in    0630 AM 02/13   Trained Spotter      
 
 ...Gloucester County...
 West Deptford Twp            0.3 in    0730 AM 02/13   Trained Spotter      
 
 ...Hunterdon County...
 Readington Twp               1.3 in    0645 AM 02/13   Trained Spotter      
 
 ...Mercer County...
 1 N Hamilton Square          1.3 in    0700 AM 02/13   Trained Spotter      
 
 ...Morris County...
 1 SE Boonton                 2.0 in    0745 AM 02/13   CO-OP Observer       
 Denville                     1.5 in    0615 AM 02/13   Public               
 Morristown                   1.0 in    0539 AM 02/13   Public               
 
 ...Ocean County...
 2 WSW Lakewood Twp           0.8 in    0815 AM 02/13   Trained Spotter      
 
 ...Somerset County...
 3 N Bridgewater              1.6 in    0700 AM 02/13   Trained Spotter      
 
 ...Sussex County...
 Byram                        4.0 in    0726 AM 02/13   Public               
 Sparta                       4.0 in    0800 AM 02/13   Trained Spotter      
 2 WNW Wantage Twp            3.5 in    0750 AM 02/13   Trained Spotter      
 4 WSW Wantage Twp            3.0 in    0638 AM 02/13   Trained Spotter      
 
 ...Warren County...
 Oxford                       4.4 in    0651 AM 02/13   Public               
 1 SSE Marksboro              4.0 in    0700 AM 02/13   Trained Spotter      
 Blairstown                   3.5 in    0610 AM 02/13   Public               
 3 W Holland Twp              3.5 in    0745 AM 02/13   CO-OP Observer       
 Hackettstown                 2.5 in    0655 AM 02/13   Trained Spotter      
 Stewartsville                2.5 in    0700 AM 02/13   Trained Spotter      
 Phillipsburg                 2.0 in    0525 AM 02/13   Public               
 
 ...Pennsylvania...
 
 ...Berks County...
 Spring Twp                   5.0 in    0505 AM 02/13   Public               
 Huffs Church                 4.7 in    0600 AM 02/13   Trained Spotter      
 District Twp                 4.1 in    0722 AM 02/13   Trained Spotter      
 Fleetwood                    4.0 in    0526 AM 02/13   Public               
 Reading                      2.0 in    0530 AM 02/13   Public               
 Morgantown                   2.0 in    0600 AM 02/13   Public               
 
 ...Bucks County...
 Yardley                      3.0 in    0749 AM 02/13   Public               
 Hilltown Twp                 1.4 in    0650 AM 02/13   Trained Spotter      
 Doylestown                   1.0 in    0530 AM 02/13   Public               
 
 ...Chester County...
 West Caln Twp                1.9 in    0800 AM 02/13   Trained Spotter      
 Jennersville                 1.1 in    0657 AM 02/13   Public               
 1 WSW Phoenixville           1.0 in    0807 AM 02/13   Trained Spotter      
 
 ...Delaware County...
 Folsom                       0.4 in    0631 AM 02/13   Public               
 
 ...Lehigh County...
 1 W Northampton              6.0 in    0752 AM 02/13   Public               
 1 SSW Ancient Oaks           5.8 in    0737 AM 02/13   Trained Spotter      
 Breinigsville                5.0 in    0645 AM 02/13   Trained Spotter      
 Allentown                    4.8 in    0558 AM 02/13   Public               
 Lehigh Valley International  4.7 in    0704 AM 02/13   ASOS                 
 2 E Whitehall Twp            4.6 in    0730 AM 02/13   Public               
 Emmaus                       4.0 in    0740 AM 02/13   Trained Spotter      
 Trexlertown                  3.5 in    0608 AM 02/13   Public               
 1 E Alburtis                 1.5 in    0725 AM 02/13   Trained Spotter      
 
 ...Monroe County...
 Saylorsburg                  3.3 in    0747 AM 02/13   Trained Spotter      
 
 ...Montgomery County...
 New Hanover Twp              2.3 in    0710 AM 02/13   Trained Spotter      
 
 ...Northampton County...
 Bangor                       6.0 in    0740 AM 02/13   Trained Spotter      
 Nazareth                     6.0 in    0744 AM 02/13   Public               
 Forks Twp                    5.4 in    0745 AM 02/13   Public               
 Eastlawn Gardens             5.3 in    0700 AM 02/13   Trained Spotter      
 Tatamy                       5.2 in    0614 AM 02/13   Trained Spotter      
 Bushkill Twp                 4.8 in    0444 AM 02/13   Public               
 Martins Creek                4.7 in    0700 AM 02/13   Trained Spotter      
 Tatamy                       3.7 in    0730 AM 02/13   Trained Spotter      
 
 ...Philadelphia County...
  null Philadelphia Internati 0.3 in    0700 AM 02/13   ASOS                 
 &&

 

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14 minutes ago, Birds~69 said:

True.

In all fairness every local outlet called for 1-3" which we received. It's the models putting us in the target zone at game time which failed is disappointing...

31F/Flakes 

Yeah, overall another crap performance by the models. For most of the week they advertised this as another DE, south Jersey special and oops, it’s the NW crew that scores.

My snizzle has turned into flurries.

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Interesting event. I recall at least some of the model guidance showing pronounced 700 mb or 850 mb FGEN farther northwest of I-95 and closer to the I-78 corridor, yet some were showing less snow. It is like what the model was showing at the surface was playing catch-up to the dynamics aloft. Colder air deeper farther west which placed that lift much better into the favored dendritic snow growth zone.  

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This was a nice show. Couldn't ask for a better way to end the season, if it's the end. Public Information Statement for Northampton County:

...Northampton County...
 Bangor                       6.0 in    0740 AM 02/13   Trained Spotter      
 Nazareth                     6.0 in    0744 AM 02/13   Public               
 Forks Twp                    5.4 in    0745 AM 02/13   Public               
 Eastlawn Gardens             5.3 in    0700 AM 02/13   Trained Spotter      
 Tatamy                       5.2 in    0614 AM 02/13   Trained Spotter      
 Bethlehem                    5.2 in    0816 AM 02/13   Public               
 Easton                       5.1 in    0814 AM 02/13   Public               
 2 S Tatamy                   5.0 in    0812 AM 02/13   Public               
 Bushkill Twp                 4.8 in    0444 AM 02/13   Public               
 Martins Creek                4.7 in    0700 AM 02/13   Trained Spotter      
 Bethlehem Twp                3.8 in    0725 AM 02/13   Public               
 Tatamy                       3.7 in    0730 AM 02/13   Trained Spotter      
 1 NE Steuben                 3.5 in    0730 AM 02/13   Public               
 Walnutport                   2.8 in    0736 AM 02/13   Public      

Can't wait till the flurries stop so I can get the drone out and get some footage from 300ft.

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2 minutes ago, Birds~69 said:

Just went outside to brush off the car and birds chirping. Already has a March/Spring event feel to it but the birds noise clinched it...

31F/Mod snow but it's melting faster than snowing. Rooftops which were covered are now bare and this more intense snow has no desire to stick... 

Heard a woodpecker yesterday, certainly didn’t feel like Feb with that and the temps.

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1 hour ago, Birds~69 said:

True.

In all fairness every local outlet called for 1-3" which we received. It's the models putting us in the target zone at game time which failed is disappointing...

31F/Flakes 

Dude, we met the forecast totals and really then some.  I don’t get your whining posts at all.

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