Ralph Wiggum Posted February 12, 2022 Author Share Posted February 12, 2022 Just got NAM'd! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 WWA just issued by the NWS URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 310 PM EST Sat Feb 12 2022 NJZ012-015-PAZ070-071-101-102-104-106-131100- /O.NEW.KPHI.WW.Y.0011.220213T0600Z-220213T1800Z/ Middlesex-Mercer-Delaware-Philadelphia-Western Chester- Eastern Chester-Eastern Montgomery-Lower Bucks- Including the cities of New Brunswick, Trenton, Media, Philadelphia, Honey Brook, Oxford, West Chester, Kennett Square, Norristown, Lansdale, Morrisville, and Doylestown 310 PM EST Sat Feb 12 2022 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM EST SUNDAY... * WHAT...Snow is expected. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches. * WHERE...Parts of central New Jersey and parts of southeastern Pennsylvania. * WHEN...From 1:00 AM until 1:00 PM Sunday. * IMPACTS...Expect slippery conditions on untreated roads and walkways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 21 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Just got NAM'd! In a big way too. 3-6” region-wide with up to 8” in a few areas. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 12, 2022 Author Share Posted February 12, 2022 This may end up as one of the best surprise events in a long time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 4 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: This may end up as one of the best surprise events in a long time I would cut those NAM amounts in half - I think the NWS has this perfectly - 1" to 3" but would not be surprised at a 4" total in a couple spots. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 Only one that has that (so far) is the NAM. The GFS and Euro do have some inland... The 18z NBM sortof averages the NAM and GFS/Euro solutions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 NAM is never right when it puts up big numbers like this with no support. Hate to say it but ECM is most likely right. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 5 minutes ago, RedSky said: NAM is never right when it puts up big numbers like this with no support. Hate to say it but ECM is most likely right. Correct! Cut it in half...especially 18z runs.....it will come back in line with the 0z runs.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 3 minutes ago, ChescoWx said: Correct! Cut it in half...especially 18z runs.....it will come back in line with the 0z runs.... At least half 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 The 18z NAM still has this double-low/sortof "overruning" precip thing going on... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 Latest from Mt. Holly for forecast snow - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 Nam never fails inside 24 hours, lock it in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 Temps won’t matter if this thump comes to fruition. Bulk of the heaviest stuff falls overnight into early morning, I’m actually feeling pretty good about this one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 18z GFS did something interesting - although it's still scant N/W of I-95, it jackpots S. Jersey and Delaware (more than any of the models including the NAM)! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 12, 2022 Author Share Posted February 12, 2022 HERPES DERPIES 18z is another SE PA deathband jackpot. Smaller zone but amts look to have ticked up....again. Eta: n/m amounts are about the same, tighter zone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 Media Delaware County 48 dewpoint 26 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 42f/dp25 looking forward to some mood flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 Brine dude going around the neighborhood... 45F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 Currently 47F here, will be interesting to see this evolve. Had little hope earlier of adding to the snow pile, now I'm thinking maybe, if it comes down hard enough. Here it is this afternoon, hanging in there: 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 Temp down to 45 here but feels colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 HRRR just keeps getting better and better every hour.. bulk of the accumulation falls between the early morning hours until around 9 am but it keeps light snow in SE PA well into the afternoon… 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 5 minutes ago, The Iceman said: Temp down to 45 here but feels colder. 42F...dropped 3 degrees here in the past hour. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, The Iceman said: HRRR just keeps getting better and better every hour.. It's almost starting to look too good/perfect for many in this subforum... 42F 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 We’re due. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 44 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: It's almost starting to look too good/perfect for many in this subforum... 42F My area actually jackpots for the first time this winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 Currently down to 42 here with dp 26. Radar is showing some scattered returns... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 Nam came back to earth, it had its typical insane run, but as is its aligning towards most guidance with 2 to 4 around the city 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 1 hour ago, The Iceman said: HRRR just keeps getting better and better every hour.. bulk of the accumulation falls between the early morning hours until around 9 am but it keeps light snow in SE PA well into the afternoon… Looks like the band keeps edging further NW away from 95 which makes more sense getting away from the river and closer to the fall line. Elevation is going to play a role here with the lower levels especially early on in the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 Down to 40F....thought it would be a little lower by now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 36f dp24 clouds moving in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now