Thundersnow12 Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 Yeah 21z RAP fighting the good fight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 Final call: 6.9". Nice. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 8 minutes ago, Thundersnow12 said: Yeah 21z RAP fighting the good fight Nice lake plumage on there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 1 hour ago, michsnowfreak said: I remember quite a few from the early 2000s. One of the regions most infamous of course would be January 26, 1967. Record temperatures in the 60s immediately preceded the record storm. It probably happens more often than I remember. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 2 hours ago, Toro99 said: Patiently waiting for the board to explode as the massive shifts NW begin, like the good old days. Sorry, this should have gone in the banter thread.... Not this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 Not sure I'd want to be on the southern end of the snow band for this. There are 2 potential ways to underachieve there -- delayed changeover to snow (with this not being a particularly prolonged snowfall, even being off by 1-2 hrs could make a difference) and the dry slot. Hope for the best. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 59 minutes ago, Baum said: His call was 0 from 5 days ago. He should be dancing given him shows him getting 3". Lesson for all; set your expectations low and you won't be disappointed. Oddly, that 18Z looks better for areas further NW in Chicago metro. Doesn’t matter what people’s calls or forecasts are. Only the end result is important. I’d love for everyone on this board to forecast 2” on a storm sometime, and bust horribly…and we end up with a surprise 15”. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherMonger Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 Wonder how the overnight and tomorrow severe weather is going to hinder moisture transport, really didn't have to worry about it 2 weeks ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
King James Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 LOT AFD talks about potential upgrade to blizzard warning for some areas. Should be fun 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 Landscape has become a mix of patchy snow and grass. About 50/50 grass and snow I'd say. Bigger piles are still around of course. Some of the patches might be able to hang on until temps drop below freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 1 minute ago, Hoosier said: Landscape has become a mix of patchy snow and grass. About 50/50 grass and snow I'd say. Bigger piles are still around of course. Some of the patches might be able to hang on until temps drop below freezing. They are gonna around here for sure. It’s all ice really Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 5 minutes ago, SolidIcewx said: They are gonna around here for sure. It’s all ice really I'd say it's been a tad more resilient than I thought it would be. Temps have been in the 50s and dews in the 40s for several hours now. Was assuming nothing but piles would survive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 30 minutes ago, beavis1729 said: Doesn’t matter what people’s calls or forecasts are. Only the end result is important. I’d love for everyone on this board to forecast 2” on a storm sometime, and bust horribly…and we end up with a surprise 15”. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 The GEM, which needs love too, has also been on the right track for this storm along with the EURO, especially with the drying trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 GFS developer, project leader. 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 9 minutes ago, Powerball said: The GEM, which needs love too, has also been on the right track for this storm along with the EURO, especially with the drying trend. I miss the old days when we waited to hand out model awards until after the storm occurred. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 I haven’t been as invested in this one because of travel plans etc, but yea, GFS was garbage. First epic failure of the season for that model, it was bound to happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 Just now, mimillman said: I haven’t been as invested in this one because of travel plans etc, but yea, GFS was garbage. First epic failure of the season for that model, it was bound to happen GHD 3? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 To the folks up north, enjoy this one! We reeled in a good one two weeks ago, time to give love to others! 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherMonger Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 22 minutes ago, Chambana said: To the folks up north, enjoy this one! We reeled in a good one two weeks ago, time to give love to others! Didn't realize you weren't in the warnings, hopefully it over performs there, been awhile since we've had back to back I72 systems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 Actually receiving some decent rain currently 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 Cold front on the move. Subfreezing air at the surface does lag by a decent amount. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natester Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 Just as the HRRR depicted, the showers here have begun. However, instead of freezing rain, it's all sleet (I just checked outside), which is good because I hate ice. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 1 hour ago, Hoosier said: I'd say it's been a tad more resilient than I thought it would be. Temps have been in the 50s and dews in the 40s for several hours now. Was assuming nothing but piles would survive. Amazing what real frozen ground can do. I was shocked driving home after work at how much snow was left in places, not to mention drifted areas, and piles ofc. Lots of spring-like puddles tho too. A very March-ish feel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 Models continuing south shift. Congrats I72 corridor. This may be your storm @WeatherMonger whether you wanted it or not. I really hope these south shifts stop. Pretty soon and I won't even make warning criteria snow anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magoos0728 Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 Absolutely pouring in the NW Burbs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 1 hour ago, Powerball said: GHD 3? It was ok around here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 17, 2022 Author Share Posted February 17, 2022 18z RGEM came in even drier.As did the GEM and Euro (Also bump SE).Something to watch for the Detroit crew and others in the main axis.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 9 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: As did the GEM and Euro (Also bump SE). Something to watch for the Detroit crew and others in the main axis. . I wish for it to slow its role I like right where it’s at Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 17, 2022 Share Posted February 17, 2022 00z HRRR is also notably drier. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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