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Feb 16-17th Winter Storm


Chicago Storm
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2 minutes ago, Thundersnow12 said:

Not a big seasonal trends guy and each event is different but what a stinker of a seasonal trend lol

There is much more than a seasonal trend going on. For over a year now, southside has been getting all the precip. If things don't change this spring, far N IL and S WI will be in big trouble. 

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9 minutes ago, Natester said:

18z NAM 3k says Hoosier gets sleetfest.

Thanks Nate.  Quite a bit of snow too.

In a general sense, always want to be aware of warm layers aloft taking longer to cool.  And it's not necessarily apparent by looking at 850 mb temps as the warm nose is more like 750 mb in the sleet zone.

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LOT watch I-88 south. Snow amounts negligible, but combined with freezing rain and wind gets them to potential warning criteria. Pretty wild forecast. 50's and melt snow pack followed by heavy rain than freezing rain with 3-7" snow on top. Beats the duster days.

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IWX issues watches. Pretty fun map.

image.png.558a9d402ecdd48592566cc3a8c02dcd.png

INZ003>005-MIZ077>079-160900-
/O.NEW.KIWX.WS.A.0003.220217T1500Z-220218T0300Z/
La Porte-St. Joseph IN-Elkhart-Berrien-Cass MI-St. Joseph MI-
Including the cities of Michigan City, La Porte, South Bend,
Mishawaka, New Carlisle, Walkerton, Elkhart, Goshen, Nappanee,
Niles, Benton Harbor, St. Joseph, Fair Plain, Benton Heights,
Buchanan, Paw Paw Lake, Dowagiac, Cassopolis, Edwardsburg,
Marcellus, Sturgis, Three Rivers, White Pigeon, and Mendon
406 PM EST Tue Feb 15 2022 /306 PM CST Tue Feb 15 2022/

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow
  accumulations of 4 to 7 inches and ice accumulations up to one
  tenth of an inch.

* WHERE...Portions of northern Indiana and southwest Michigan.

* WHEN...From Thursday morning through Thursday evening.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions Thursday afternoon
  and evening. The hazardous conditions will impact the evening
  commute.
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26 minutes ago, Baum said:

LOT watch I-88 south. Snow amounts negligible, but combined with freezing rain and wind gets them to potential warning criteria. Pretty wild forecast. 50's and melt snow pack followed by heavy rain than freezing rain with 3-7" snow on top. Beats the duster days.

I'm wondering if they will pull the flood watch a row or 2 north.  It's gonna be a mess.  Mentioned this before but my yard gets standing water with basically anything more than showers.  I should time lapse it on Wednesday night/Thursday lol.

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9 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said:

18z GFS going to bump SE.

And by a bit at that.. 

Just now, Natester said:

GFS still north of the NAM.

 But south of prior runs and now alot closer to the others. 

Had a feeling it would cave. Not as far south as euro but alot closer then it was. 

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4 minutes ago, Harry said:

And by a bit at that.. 

 But south of prior runs and now alot closer to the others. 

Had a feeling it would cave. Not as far south as euro but alot closer then it was. 

Still gotta think we will eventually get a north bump from the Euro, even if it's 25-50 miles.  I refuse to believe that the NAM/GFS could have blown THAT badly :cory:

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5 minutes ago, Hoosier said:

Still gotta think we will eventually get a north bump from the Euro, even if it's 25-50 miles.  I refuse to believe that the NAM/GFS could have blown THAT badly :cory:

 

It did it with the last storm. Held onto those crazy high totals till about this time from the event. Look at GHD lll storm thread 2. 

But yeah it would be nice to see the euro bump north a little. 

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