A-L-E-K Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 the euro...good again u hate to see it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 1 minute ago, A-L-E-K said: the euro...good again u hate to see it Don’t mess with the king 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 The EPS have been north of the op run with this. We'll see if it happens again shortly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 Just crazy how close we are to event and how far we are from a consensus. WPC definitely seems to be banking on the northern solutions. That may be an unwise decision. I mean it can go either way but the fact foreign guidance won't budge north definitely has me concerned american models are out to lunch. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 The funny thing locally is that there is decent agreement on ~4-8", but it gets there in completely different ways. On the northern end of the foreign models and on the southern end of the American models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestMichigan Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 10 minutes ago, Hoosier said: The funny thing locally is that there is decent agreement on ~4-8", but it gets there in completely different ways. On the northern end of the foreign models and on the southern end of the American models. Like where you are better than where I am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 11 minutes ago, Hoosier said: The funny thing locally is that there is decent agreement on ~4-8", but it gets there in completely different ways. On the northern end of the foreign models and on the southern end of the American models. yep. that's why I think you'll see a watch posted across the heart of the LOT metro. But always frustrating when you can't get a consensus on track and intensity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 If the globals verify locally here, decent snow storm If the GFS verifies, crippling ice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 15, 2022 Author Share Posted February 15, 2022 12z EPS mean. Big bump SE and weaker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 **Inserts Vince Carter gif** 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman33 Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 Thinking the Euro is gonna take the cake with this one, but we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 call looking better at least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 1 minute ago, A-L-E-K said: call looking better at least Final final call 3"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 Waiting on the incremental death of the GFS/NAM on future runs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fluoronium Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 06Z NAM still had good overlap of instability in areas receiving snow and sleet. I'm really hoping we get some thundersnow out of this. I'm willing to drive to see it if it doesn't happen directly over my area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mulder Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 Glad to be on the northern fringe of this given the freezing rain implications. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 hrrr goin south 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 1 minute ago, A-L-E-K said: hrrr goin south going to be real interesting how the LOT boys play this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 2 minutes ago, Baum said: going to be real interesting how the LOT boys play this. they should ride the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 I dont see much, if any, reason to be considering the GFS seriously at this stage. Seen this time and time again. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 7 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: hrrr goin south South stank for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 11 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: hrrr goin south Maybe you can scratch and claw to 4+ with some lake enhancement. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 8 minutes ago, madwx said: 8 minutes ago, madwx said: they should ride the Euro wasn't really discussing models more watch criteria. Pretty much know they'll run a consensus between NW and SE models. Real question is do they delay decision for next model cycle . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McHenrySnow Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 Just now, Baum said: I don't see how they can. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AWMT30 Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 I will take the HRRR trends 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 I think LOT could arguably go with a watch from about I-80 or I-88 south. Then convert to advisory on the northern end as it gets closer if there's not a northern shift. Not fun being a forecaster right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 Always forget Ohio is even a thing until someone from Ohio posts 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AWMT30 Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 6 minutes ago, Thundersnow12 said: Always forget Ohio is even a thing until someone from Ohio posts Ohio always out of the game lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natester Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 NAM 12k and NAM 3k aren't budging. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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