hlcater Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 Now for the GFS to come south 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestMichigan Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 3 minutes ago, Jonger said: Wow....NAM went way north. NAM and GFS aren’t that far apart IMBY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownSnow Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 I think there will be a lot of sleet with a tough transition to all snow. I am cautious of some snow totals not handling the sleet well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 2 minutes ago, WestMichigan said: NAM and GFS aren’t that far apart IMBY. As long as anywhere west or NW within 150 miles gets hit....I really don't care. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 8 minutes ago, Jonger said: Wow....NAM went way north. And sref (ie nam ensembles) went well south lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 CPC: Chicago and west/SW get the winds. The Mitt - never Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 1 hour ago, A-L-E-K said: Plumes not exactly hot They are south, that is a tell that the NAM maybe be too far north, when everything else is south. Plus inverse NAM principle is a good play too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 To break that down further the ARW part of the ensemble which tends to be the most amplified is the group of the ensemble more south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 15, 2022 Author Share Posted February 15, 2022 They are south, that is a tell that the NAM maybe be too far north, when everything else is south. Plus inverse NAM principle is a good play too.Not really. They almost always mimic the previous NAM run.In this case the 18z NAM has bumped SE, so it was a given the 21z SREF would as well. Would expect the 3z SREF to bump back NW.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 Just now, Chicago Storm said: Not really. They almost always mimic the previous NAM run. In this case the 18z NAM has bumped SE, so it was a given the 21z SREF would as well. Would expect the 3z SREF to bump back NW. . They were south of the 18z run by a considerable margin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tuanis Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 5 minutes ago, Stebo said: They are south, that is a tell that the NAM maybe be too far north, when everything else is south. Plus inverse NAM principle is a good play too. Those plumes were consistently dumping 10”-18” on Waukegan even as the GHD storm was underway. We got maybe 2”. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 15, 2022 Author Share Posted February 15, 2022 They were south of the 18z run by a considerable margin.Not so much…. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 1 minute ago, Chicago Storm said: Not so much… . I'm looking around here, locally for you sure. There are huge differences to the east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AWMT30 Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 The latest 00z RGEM with a tick north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 As someone who has been through a couple very significant sleet storms, here's some advice for anyone who gets accumulating sleet. Try to get rid of that layer as soon as possible. Don't let it sit there for a bunch of hours and give it time to really solidify. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whoosh Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 GFS also ticking slower again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 15, 2022 Author Share Posted February 15, 2022 GFS still not backing down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 15, 2022 Author Share Posted February 15, 2022 Just now, Chicago Storm said: GFS still not backing down. Bump NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 0z Kuchera for McHenrysnow that 25 is for you!!!! (if only) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McHenrySnow Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 2 minutes ago, ILSNOW said: 0z Kuchera for McHenrysnow that 25 is for you!!!! (if only) I need some alone time with this run. 3 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 7 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: GFS still not backing down. Laughable spread between that and the RDPS for 3 days or less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 3 minutes ago, ILSNOW said: 0z Kuchera for McHenrysnow that 25 is for you!!!! (if only) Geos magnet turned on 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 Geos magnet uncovered by metal detector at beach in Waukegan 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 Either GFS is really sniffing one out or it's on crack. Anyone think the heavy snow swath will be that nw? Gfs has a pretty gnarly ice storm here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 1 minute ago, Cary67 said: Geos magnet uncovered by metal detector at beach in Waukegan and to back up the GFS the 0z ICON bumped north as well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEILwxbo Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 56 minutes ago, Stebo said: They are south, that is a tell that the NAM maybe be too far north, when everything else is south. Plus inverse NAM principle is a good play too. You jinxed it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 15, 2022 Author Share Posted February 15, 2022 0z GEM will remain well south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 1 minute ago, Chicago Storm said: 0z GEM will remain well south. So McHenrySnow will get between 0-25 inches!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magoos0728 Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 7 minutes ago, Cary67 said: Geos magnet uncovered by metal detector at beach in Waukegan Greatest post. All time. Wrap it up everyone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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