weatherextreme Posted February 1, 2023 Share Posted February 1, 2023 2 minutes ago, Powerball said: TxDOT, NTTA and local municipalities have been doing some treatment on the highways and main thoroughfares. The secondary roads and side streets are still skating rinks. Pete mentioned this from his facebook in response to the melting Pete Delkus 40m · READ CLOSELY: Yes, some melting is happening due to "warm" rain in places and limiting ice amounts. However, temps are below freezing and will stay below freezing as widespread rain continues to fall. Threat for re-freezing and icing continues, especially this evening- tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherextreme Posted February 1, 2023 Share Posted February 1, 2023 Update from the NWS FWD National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 104 PM CST Wed Feb 1 2023 ...New Short Term... .SHORT TERM... /NEW/ /This Afternoon through Thursday Night/ Widespread freezing rain continues this afternoon across much of North Texas and is largely tied to increasing warm advection around 700 mb. Most of this activity is falling out of clouds based around 8000 ft. Beneath all of this, incoming solar radiation and a lack of cold advection is working on some of the ice pack on area roads and we are seeing melting despite air temperatures in the upper 20s. While this may lead to a false sense of relief, there is still a substantial threat for considerable icing, especially as we head into the evening hours. High resolution guidance and current radar trends show a large area of precipitation extending well back to the southwest of San Angelo. This activity will increase in coverage through the evening and as we do lose incoming solar radiation, additional icing will commence on trees and roads/bridges. So, we`re not done with the ice storm just yet and we`ll leave the current warning configuration unchanged with the greatest impacts still expected west of I-35. We launched a balloon just a little bit ago, and the dry layer beneath this cloud deck is in the process of saturating and will continue to support freezing rain, especially into the late evening hours. As the upper trough approaches later tonight, widespread precip will begin to spread south and east as temperatures steadily creep up to or slightly above freezing. Rain will generally prevail across the southeast counties while some freezing rain will continue across the northwest into early Thursday morning. We`ll continue to go slightly cooler than guidance for highs on Thursday as abundant cloud cover will persist. The core of the upper trough will track right across North Texas during the afternoon. Strong dynamic forcing and cooling aloft will likely lead to additional precipitation, primarily rain, although some wet slushy snow may mix in across the northern half of the CWA. Dunn 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 This would scare me 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 3 hours ago, Chinook said: This would scare me Very damaging storm there. Over 150K customers still without power and trees down everywhere. Lots of people freezing in their dark homes as well since there aren’t many gas heat customers. Brief glazes with some sleet are fairly common in Austin but this is way worse. In my time living there the brief glazes were enough to essentially shut the city down. Can’t imagine this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 48 hrs of storm reports. I have changed the colors a bit so you can read the freezing rain reports. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed, snow and hurricane fan Posted February 6, 2023 Share Posted February 6, 2023 GEFS and EPS consistent on a strong neutral to negative tilt trough a week from this Monday/Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormChazer Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 Is the 00Z NAM out to lunch on this run of Friday’s snow potential? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormdragonwx Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 Well they already recorded 2-3" of snow just west of the OKC metro tonight. Will be interesting to see how this progresses tonight and later this week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormChazer Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 53 minutes ago, stormdragonwx said: Well they already recorded 2-3" of snow just west of the OKC metro tonight. Will be interesting to see how this progresses tonight and later this week. I’m curious because I’m going to be in Broken Bow tomorrow through Sunday, and would love it if I saw some accumulating snow while in a cabin for the weekend. So here’s to hoping the nam is onto something haha. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormChazer Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 Today’s run still holding out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aggiegeog Posted February 10, 2023 Share Posted February 10, 2023 Some snow is possible tomorrow north of I-20 in higher precip rates areas. Accumulations are unlikely with temps in mid to upper 30s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 21, 2023 Share Posted February 21, 2023 Made it to 90*F today at DFW, first of the season/year... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 After a round of t'storms earlier today, skies cleared by late morning and we've had Sunny skies.DFW's high was 81*F.Should have one more Sunny day tomorrow with temps in the 70s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed, snow and hurricane fan Posted March 12, 2023 Share Posted March 12, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed, snow and hurricane fan Posted March 13, 2023 Share Posted March 13, 2023 Trace snow next week at Port Lavaca. Maybe a should start a Winter weather thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed, snow and hurricane fan Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 Several inches of snow in the Mountain Time Zone prior to this 24 hours, the prior 0Z Euro had 2 feet in the mountains. Model shows a cold season trough along the Gulf Coast with 50s DPs not far offshore. 12Z GFS starting to head in the direction of the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted March 20, 2023 Share Posted March 20, 2023 I think this a new product by College of Dupage, Ensemble CAPE for the event that's now 96hr+ in the future, so it's not on the 3-day outlook Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed, snow and hurricane fan Posted March 24, 2023 Share Posted March 24, 2023 HGX disco suggests >90 F latter half of next week, and SPC has a fairly rare 15% day 7 along the I-35 corridor S Kansas to C Texas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed, snow and hurricane fan Posted April 4, 2023 Share Posted April 4, 2023 Euro showing consistent 7-9 inches of rain through Friday evening just North of Houston. It has been very dry for several weeks, and the rainfall will be over several days. Still, that rain would be falling over the watershed of the San Jacinto river, which is flood prone. GFS isn't a match, but generally supports the Euro, GFS ensembles have widespread 4 inch rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cstrunk Posted April 11, 2023 Share Posted April 11, 2023 Do we want to rename this thread? Or start a new thread for 2023? SPC highlighted much of eastern OK, NC TX, and eastern KS in their Day 4 (Friday) Outlook for severe weather will all hazards possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed, snow and hurricane fan Posted April 11, 2023 Share Posted April 11, 2023 4 hours ago, cstrunk said: Do we want to rename this thread? Or start a new thread for 2023? SPC highlighted much of eastern OK, NC TX, and eastern KS in their Day 4 (Friday) Outlook for severe weather will all hazards possible. Are there any mods who post in the Texas threads? You could start a new 2023 thread and then modify the title next January. Per HGX forecast disco, and recurring for several days, is NBM 3000+ SBCAPE values Saturday ahead of a frontal passage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted April 29, 2023 Share Posted April 29, 2023 Now this is more like it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted May 4, 2023 Share Posted May 4, 2023 90s are now in the forecast for DFW through at least Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted May 5, 2023 Share Posted May 5, 2023 15 hours ago, Powerball said: 90s are now in the forecast for DFW through at least Tuesday. Thr forecast high today has been bumped to 96*F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted May 5, 2023 Share Posted May 5, 2023 It's currently 100*F in Mineral Wells. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted May 5, 2023 Share Posted May 5, 2023 Oh, I failed to mention, 95*F was the previous record high for today (set in 1984). It has been broken with an official high of 96*F at DFW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted May 5, 2023 Share Posted May 5, 2023 2 hours ago, Powerball said: It's currently 100*F in Mineral Wells. Stephenville also hit 100*F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed, snow and hurricane fan Posted May 9, 2023 Share Posted May 9, 2023 Moderate Risk SETX of flash flooding. HRRR 36 hour rainfall, 5-7 inch bullseyes near Houston, 9 inch E/SE of San Antonio. What will the San Marcos and Guadalupe rivers do? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheese007 Posted May 15, 2023 Share Posted May 15, 2023 Nice little severe warned cell going through Dallas county rn 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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