aggiegeog Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 Could be a good rain even tomorrow for Deep East and Southeast Texas tomorrow with a band of 2-3 inches likely. The front Thursday still looks amazing with a very sudden plunge in temperatures from 40s and 50s to 10s and 20s, winds gusting over 40mph and maybe a burst of snow especially as the front moves east. Could be some brief periods of limited visibility. Friday will start with wind chills below 0 for a huge portion of the state. Amazing to have forecasted temps in the single digits with winds over 20mph in this part of the state. Thankfully Christmas weekend looks nice though cold. Maybe a few mood flurries if the shortwave can find any moisture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aggiegeog Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 The Christmas Eve snow is showing a bit on the GFS. It is reliant on the vort max staying over NTX where there is some moisture. If the vort stays south then there doesn't appear to be any moisture for it to tap into. Likely just flurries but these kind of systems in Arctic air can surprise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed, snow and hurricane fan Posted December 20, 2022 Share Posted December 20, 2022 Lows in the teens in Houston will test my palm trees. All looked like they were dead after 2/2021, but most of them made a full recovery. I think GEFS are seeing ocean effect precip, many show precip just offshore Texas/Louisiana in the Gulf, none have it inland. Just offshore that might be OES Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aggiegeog Posted December 21, 2022 Share Posted December 21, 2022 The long awaited front is marching down the Plains today. This afternoon the front has led to 25 degree 5 minute drops and 40 degree 30 minute drops. Higher res models are highlighting a chance for freezing drizzle in the cold air tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aggiegeog Posted December 22, 2022 Share Posted December 22, 2022 Front is stretches from near Tulsa through OKC down to near Wichita Falls and to south of Lubbock. Temps in 30s and 40s ahead of front quickly falling into teens and single digits behind with snow showers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DFWWeather Posted December 22, 2022 Share Posted December 22, 2022 The front came through Lubbock and the temperature fell 30 degrees in under an hour. The overnight low tonight there is forecast to be 9°F and they are already at 7°F, which was not forecast. This front is busting forecast and model numbers and you could easily take 5 degrees off of those. This front means business! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aggiegeog Posted December 22, 2022 Share Posted December 22, 2022 Snow showers and freezing drizzle are verifying across North Texas this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheese007 Posted December 22, 2022 Share Posted December 22, 2022 Already down to 27 at DFW. Was 45 a little over an hour ago! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SWineman Posted December 22, 2022 Share Posted December 22, 2022 Almost too good to be true... Down to 22 on NW side of DFW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aggiegeog Posted December 22, 2022 Share Posted December 22, 2022 I love when we get powder, its so rare down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheese007 Posted December 22, 2022 Share Posted December 22, 2022 Very, very light powdery snow happening now near DFW 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheese007 Posted December 22, 2022 Share Posted December 22, 2022 Proper snow happening now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhirlingWx Posted December 22, 2022 Share Posted December 22, 2022 Powder here near Murphy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheese007 Posted December 22, 2022 Share Posted December 22, 2022 Still got some good size flakes coming down at a good clip here. A welcome surprise! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cstrunk Posted December 22, 2022 Share Posted December 22, 2022 Front blew threw here at 12:25 pm when the temp was 47F. Almost 40 minutes later it's 32F. Hoping for some flizzard action in ETX this afternoon! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed, snow and hurricane fan Posted December 27, 2022 Share Posted December 27, 2022 First week of January might be interesting in the ArkLaTex. GFS Southern Arkansas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 Looking forward to temps ~70*F the next few days... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed, snow and hurricane fan Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 On 12/27/2022 at 2:57 PM, Ed, snow and hurricane fan said: First week of January might be interesting in the ArkLaTex. GFS Southern Arkansas. 2 days to starting a thread if this keeps up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 Despite near record-breaking cold leading into Christmas weekend, December still ended up +2.6°F above normal for DFW (22nd warmest on record)... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 Despite mostly cloudy skies and late morning / midday showers, DFW tied the record high of 78°F today (previously set in 2004). Also, as long as temps stay at/above 64°F through Midnight, the record high minimum of 63°F will also be broken. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 10, 2023 Share Posted January 10, 2023 Today's record high at DFW is 79*F, set in 2017. With a forecast high ~80*F, we have a solid chance of breaking that today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 11, 2023 Share Posted January 11, 2023 Today's high at DFW was 83*F, shattering the previous record of 79*F from 2017.The forecast for tomorrow is 85*F. The current record is 83*F, set in 1911. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 11, 2023 Share Posted January 11, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed, snow and hurricane fan Posted January 15, 2023 Share Posted January 15, 2023 Mid week East Texas severe threat. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed, snow and hurricane fan Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 On 1/15/2023 at 11:37 AM, Ed, snow and hurricane fan said: Mid week East Texas severe threat. TorWarns at the moment in Texas and Arkansas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheese007 Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 Any thoughts on the potential for wintry mischief over the next couple weeks for north Texas? Seems awfully quiet in here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SWineman Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 I'm watching it. Temps aren't looking great for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TXHawk88 Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 Been watching as well, not super optimistic with this system. Maybe we can get lucky and get a dusting N of I-20 in the evening. End of the month beginning of February is starting to get that look though, so hopefully that trend continues. February is usually when we score around here, hope this will be the 3rd year in a row. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed, snow and hurricane fan Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 Houston ice storm, with no school. This is the one 11 day GFS forecast that verifies perfectly this year. About 0.3 to 0.5 inches of QPF. Mostly sleet but with freezing rain to start and snow to finish. Mid 20s during precip. Only fly in the ointment is no rain to wash anti-ice chemicals off the bridges and overpasses, which isn't all bad, ambulances need to travel. But ice on untreated surface streets (TxDOT only does bridges/overpasses), I'm already planning my day off with the children. cc: @MJO812 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed, snow and hurricane fan Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 Just now, Ed, snow and hurricane fan said: Houston ice storm, with no school. This is the one 11 day GFS forecast that verifies perfectly this year. About 0.3 to 0.5 inches of QPF. Mostly sleet but with freezing rain to start and snow to finish. Mid 20s during precip. Only fly in the ointment is no rain to wash anti-ice chemicals off the bridges and overpasses, which isn't all bad, ambulances need to travel. But ice on untreated surface streets (TxDOT only does bridges/overpasses), I'm already planning my day off with the children. cc: @MJO812 Getting a weenie tag from Ant would make my life complete. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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