Texas/Oklahoma Discussion & Obs Thread 2022

[WhirlingWx]

Most intense weather I've driven through so far during my couple years of driving 

[Ed, snow and hurricane fan]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
322 PM CDT Tue May 23 2023

The National Weather Service in League City has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  Central Montgomery County in southeastern Texas...
  Southwestern San Jacinto County in southeastern Texas...

* Until 345 PM CDT.

* At 322 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
  was located over Panorama Village, or over Willis, moving southeast
  at 40 mph.

  HAZARD...Tornado.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

[Ed, snow and hurricane fan]

Nice outflow boundary, gusty winds, a little thunder and 20 drops of rain FM 1960/TC Jester region N Houston.

[Ed, snow and hurricane fan]

20 hours ago, Ed, snow and hurricane fan said:

Nice outflow boundary, gusty winds, a little thunder and 20 drops of rain FM 1960/TC Jester region N Houston.

Worse the two counties to the N

Quote

 

1932	UNK	2 WNW HUNTSVILLE	WALKER	TX	3072	9557	TREE SNAPPED AND FELL ONTO AN APARTMENT COMPLEX CAUSING ROOF DAMAGE. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR. (HGX)
1932	UNK	2 NW HUNTSVILLE	WALKER	TX	3073	9557	SOCIAL MEDIA PICTURES OF MULTIPLE TREES AND LARGE TREE BRANCHES DOWN ALONG CROSSTIMBERS DRIVE IN HUNTSVILLE. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR. (HGX)
2013	UNK	6 WNW WILLIS	MONTGOMERY	TX	3046	9557	TREES DOWN ALONG JAMAICA DRIVE. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR. (HGX)
2022	UNK	1 NW PANORAMA VILLAGE	MONTGOMERY	TX	3039	9550	REPORT AND PHOTOS FROM FIRE DEPARTMENT PERSONNEL OF TREES DOWN IN VARIOUS POINTS OF PANORAMA VILLAGE. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. (HGX)
2034	UNK	3 ESE CONROE	MONTGOMERY	TX	3030	9542	*** 2 FATAL ... 7 INJ *** TWO WERE KILLED AND SEVEN INJURED AT A HOME CONSTRUCTION SITE WHEN THE STRUCTURE UNDER CONSTRUCTION COLLAPSED. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR. (HGX)
2040	UNK	1 NE CONROE	MONTGOMERY	TX	3033	9547	REPORT FROM MPING: 1-INCH TREE LIMBS BROKEN; SHINGLES BLOWN OFF. (HGX)
2048	58	1 WNW HUNTSVILLE	WALKER	TX	3072	9557	POWERLINES SNAPPED. (HGX)
2100	UNK	1 SSE PANORAMA VILLAGE	MONTGOMERY	TX	3037	9548	LARGE TREES AND TREE DEBRIS FALLEN IN THE ROAD AND BLOCKING TRAFFIC. (HGX)

 

[Powerball]

Overachieving today, as the convective debris has finally relented. DFW is currently at 90*F

[cstrunk]

It's been two weeks since it has rained at my house. We've missed all of the stray showers and storms. Hit or mostly miss showers/storms will be around again today and maybe tomorrow before shutting off again until this weekend.

[Ed, snow and hurricane fan]

Early Sunday morning storms poorly forecast.  I didn't get out of bed about 3 am, but strong wind blown rain hitting the house, damage up in College Station, (gas station awnings toppled), Kyle Field ASOS 85 mph.

 

ETA- no uprooted trees, but a few bigger limbs down and a lot of branches down.

[Ed, snow and hurricane fan]

Morning HGX disco talking about 97th percentile on ensemble 850 mb temps.  I think an extended period of 100F and greater temps for much of the more densely populated parts of Texas.

[Ed, snow and hurricane fan]

14Z HRRR is not showing the storms developing with the vort max at 16Z.  I was hoping for guidance as to whether Houston would get one last widespread rainfall before the MEGA DEATH RIDGE starts building in this weekend with temps near 100F and no real rain chance for a week or more.  8 am SPC SWODY1 has Houston *barely* in the SLIGHT RISK, they, NWS HGX and I seem to have the same questions just how far E at 29.8N the MCS will get.

[Ed, snow and hurricane fan]

No MCD before SPC's Central Texas severe watch.  I think the severe warnings started earlier than they expected.  I wonder if too much reliance on the HRRR.  HRRR is still horrible, 17Z at hour zero has the Central Texas storms, and loses them immediately which doesn't seem likely.

[Ed, snow and hurricane fan]