wthrmn654 Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 Down to 42 from 58 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 19 minutes ago, Rmine1 said: Low hopes for the immediate coast As in basically sitting on a boat on the GSB 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 2/13 0z HREF: 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 35 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: 2/13 0z HREF: Wow, pretty aggressive. Hope it’s right. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 40 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: 2/13 0z HREF: This has been very accurate all season. Would be a big surprise as almost nobody is expecting it. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 Just now, SnoSki14 said: This has been very accurate all season. It has a tendency if temps are marginal to overdo things...in this event I feel we are just below the safe threshold based on T/Td wetbulb that most places should be cold enough but during the day we may lose some to sun angle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 Just now, SnowGoose69 said: It has a tendency if temps are marginal to overdo things...in this event I feel we are just below the safe threshold based on T/Td wetbulb that most places should be cold enough but during the day we may lose some to sun angle If most in NYC somehow get 2” from this I’d consider it a huge win. My thought for NYC is car topper to the 2” in Bayside/Whitestone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 32 minutes ago, jm1220 said: If most in NYC somehow get 2” from this I’d consider it a huge win. My thought for NYC is car topper to the 2” in Bayside/Whitestone. Car topper? It's going to be cold enough to stick everywhere. I don't get why everyone thinks it will not. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Car topper? It's going to be cold enough to stick everywhere. I don't get why everyone thinks it will not. If it’s at 29 and snowing moderately yes but if if it’s at 32 then no. Colder surfaces will accumulate for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Car topper? It's going to be cold enough to stick everywhere. I don't get why everyone thinks it will not. Hard for me to think of any recent event where we’re waiting as temps are in the 40s (60 today) for it to cool enough as precip is starting up for good snow accumulation especially in the city. Hopefully this is the needle in the haystack where it’s wrong. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 It could happen if moderate to heavy snow can train over the city for sure, but the short range models seem to be focusing west of I-95 for that where it’ll also be a few degrees colder. Snow maps show what they do but don’t be too disappointed if they don’t pan out for the city and where I am in Long Beach. My house in Huntington Station where it’ll be colder might get the few inches for sure. I want the good surprise as much as anyone but I’m just never big on these wait on the cold air to come in for a weak system like this. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 Current temp is 42 here. DP 26 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 Where the fronto band happens will determine who gets the car topper and who can score a few inches or a lucky 5-6. HRRR insists it's west of 95 over NJ, other models have it over NYC and LI. We'll see soon what's right. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 3 hours ago, RDRY said: Surprised a WWA hasn't been issued for NYC, etc. Weather Channel app still has no accumulation for Queens. huh news said that there was a WWA, who cares anyway they're just words-- who really pays attention Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 3 hours ago, Jt17 said: HRRR 01z (still snowing): why doesnt anyone post the full runs anymore it looks like eastern long island wont even get any snow on this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 3 hours ago, wthrmn654 said: Nyc roads should be fine they usually are. temps are going to be above freezing the entire time 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 2 hours ago, jm1220 said: Where I am in Long Beach and for the city I’m not expecting much accums wise, would be surprised to have more than 1-2”. Temps seem borderline as much of the snow is falling. 32-33 with light snow won’t cut it outside of car tops and grass and even that might be only when it comes down moderate. But the north shore and places where it can cool off to 30 can do a good bit better. N NJ where models are focusing on more might get a few inches. funny the south shore was supposed to do the best, what happened, is this a coastal hugger now lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 1 hour ago, jm1220 said: Wow, pretty aggressive. Hope it’s right. 4-6 right over here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jt17 Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: why doesnt anyone post the full runs anymore it looks like eastern long island wont even get any snow on this That's was the full run on pivotal, they're 18 hours for hrrr and like I said earlier to somebody else the final totals won't be as west oriented as these look since it would still be snowing past this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 1 hour ago, dmillz25 said: If it’s at 29 and snowing moderately yes but if if it’s at 32 then no. Colder surfaces will accumulate for sure probably wont even be 32, more like 34 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 5 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: funny the south shore was supposed to do the best, what happened, is this a coastal hugger now lol Has nothing to do with the low track, it's still a sheared out POS in general. It's about where the frontogenesis banding we're seeing set up now ends up and pivots as well as how fast the cold can get in. There are some good jet dynamics coming in to help out the banding/lifting (part of the sheared POS evolution as it won't collaborate with the well out to sea low) but I have a winners/losers sense of how this turns out not to mention the 60F most of us saw today which means light rates will stick to cold surfaces only when air temps are 32 or over. Heavy rates will help drop the temps too. Hopefully this time tomorrow after the Bengals pull off the win we all have a wintry outcome. But many setups like this fail especially near the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 Snow has begun out here. It actually coming down quite hard in places around the Allentown area. It is literally like a snow squall in terms of how it gets underway. 35 degrees here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 Snow is moderate to heavy here with visibility about 3/8 mile. Looks just like a snow squall with large fluffy flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
greenmtnwx Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 NWS out to lunch here in NJ. They have WWAs up for the souther half of the state when this is just the opposite, a northern half moderate snow event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 Boom. Snow just started here and it came in hard as all snow. Already a dusting. Not a coating, mind you as the temperature is 38 and the snow is melting pretty quickly, but definitely a dusting on the grass and tables. Melting fast, but sticking a little faster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 5 minutes ago, NorthShoreWx said: Boom. Snow just started here and it came in hard as all snow. Already a dusting. Not a coating, mind you as the temperature is 38 and the snow is melting pretty quickly, but definitely a dusting on the grass and tables. Melting fast, but sticking a little faster. Boom says it well out here too. Snow started about 40 minutes ago here. Already an inch on the ground. Big time fluff factor with this one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 The idea of quickly wet bulbing close to freezing isn't working out here. Temp is falling slowly;.down about 1.3 degrees in the first 20 minutes of light to possibly moderate snow (I didn't go out to confirm visibility). 37° now and snow has lightened. The "dusting" is melting. Radar looks good though and slow temperature drop will get it done soon enough...just not immediately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pequest Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 Doing very well so far out here in Warren County, NJ. Temps down to 31 with mod snow. 50+ degree temps yesterday have had little affect on blacktop accumulations. Roadways are now covered. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 Snow here as well. 32/22. Road crews pretreated out this way thankfully. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 13, 2022 Share Posted February 13, 2022 Sleet here in Brooklyn 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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