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2/13 Light/Moderate Snowfall Nowcasting & Observations


Northof78
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8 hours ago, RU848789 said:

Well it's been snowing fairly lightly and continuously since 11 am and it seems like the snowfall rate has been roughly equal to the melting rate (I'm guessing we've had about 0.1-0.2" snow per hour and that's the likely melting rate), so I'm going to stick with the 3.25" I measured at 11 am. It also hasn't wavered from 32F since 9 am.

With the sun much lower in the sky now, it's likely that any additional snow will accumulate, but the storm's precip looks to be close to over, except for the coast and LI. If this is the last of it, that brings our seasonal total up to 18.5", which is very c;lose to normal for this point in the season.

Well, it just kept snowing on and off, lightly, through much of the evening and we got another 1/4" of snow, for a total of 3.5" and 3.0-3.6" amounts were recorded very near to me (Parlin, Hopelawn, Carteret, South Plainfield, etc. (and most of these were from around 4-5 pm, before the last 1/4" fell).

Nice storm, reasonably well forecast by the NWS with 1-3" amounts for most of SEPA/SNJ (S of 276/195) and 2-4" amounts for most of PA/NJ N of that line up to 78 (except only 1-2" at the coast) and 3-6" amounts for NWNJ and the Lehigh Valley (which were definitely well under-forecast). NYC/NENJ got 2-3" for the most part and LI got 3-5" (also under-forecast).  3.5" brings our seasonal total up to 18.75". NWS map of reports is below, but not a final map yet, as there are many incomplete reports in there and in the PNS lists.

https://www.weather.gov/source/crh/snowmap.html?zoom=8&lat=39.58&lon=-74.98&hr=24

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30 minutes ago, Rjay said:

ISP with the undermeasure for once

 

 

They all F up once in a while which you can forgive.

The Parks 1.6 yesterday underdone again for the fourth time this season. Looks like they're reverting back to the Zookeeper days. Hoping they fix it before they scroo up another historic storm.

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5.8" total here.  Good snow day for the family.  Local jackpot here and my son with the full event jackpot in PVD.  His school is closed.  Smithtown seasonal total is 33.1"

Interesting to note that the Smithtown spotter reporting 5.8" on the OKX PNS is not me.  He/she is on the south side of town and sometimes reports some creative numbers on windy storms (e.g., about 50% more than I had in the big January storm).  Very unusual for us to have similar amounts.

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HRRR did a great job with this event. I remember rooting hard for HRRR to be correct about getting several inches up here when most other models were showing little or saying you'd have to go south of the NYC area get more than an inch or so. It was impressive how HRRR picked up on the idea of northern areas getting several inches at 48 hours out and locked into that solution over the 2 days leading up to the event. It never wavered a bit with the snowy solution. Definitely a nice victory for the HRRR.

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6 hours ago, wdrag said:

NYC metro seasonal and our's up here in this part of extreme nw NJ about the same.  Not much room for complaint NYC metro.  This part of Wantage NJ seasonal 17.5 (3.1 yesterday).

16 for me for the year in northern Morris county ,  painful year snow wise  to say the least . Only plus is snow cover for a good part of the winter  from early January on 

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Yesterdays 5.8" snowfall melted to 0.44" water.  That's 13.2:1

Ratios were lower early in the event (and we might have lost a couple of hundredths to melting) and quite high during that nice finale that piled up during the game last night.  Anyone's guess, but I wouldn't be shocked if the last inch or two of snow was at 20:1.

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432 
NOUS41 KOKX 141526
PNSOKX
CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179-150126-

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1025 AM EST MON FEB 14 2022

...SNOWFALL REPORTS...

LOCATION                     AMOUNT    TIME/DATE       PROVIDER             

...CONNECTICUT...

...FAIRFIELD COUNTY...
FAIRFIELD                    3.5 IN    0930 AM 02/13   PUBLIC               
BRIDGEPORT AIRPORT           3.4 IN    0700 PM 02/13   OFFICIAL NWS OBS     
2 SW NORWALK                 3.3 IN    0148 PM 02/13   PUBLIC               
DANBURY                      3.3 IN    0900 AM 02/13   TRAINED SPOTTER      
NORWALK                      3.3 IN    0132 PM 02/13   PUBLIC               
WESTON                       3.0 IN    0915 AM 02/13   TRAINED SPOTTER      
STAMFORD                     3.0 IN    0915 AM 02/13   PUBLIC               
4 NNW NEW FAIRFIELD          3.0 IN    0900 AM 02/13   TRAINED SPOTTER      
3 E EASTON                   3.0 IN    0918 AM 02/13   PUBLIC               
STRATFORD                    2.5 IN    0100 PM 02/13   TRAINED SPOTTER      

...MIDDLESEX COUNTY...
WESTBROOK                    4.0 IN    0225 AM 02/14   TRAINED SPOTTER      
1 NNW PORTLAND               2.4 IN    0941 AM 02/13   PUBLIC                     

...NEW HAVEN COUNTY...
GUILFORD                     3.2 IN    0700 AM 02/14   TRAINED SPOTTER      
WALLINGFORD                  2.8 IN    0935 AM 02/13   AMATEUR RADIO        
2 ESE NORTH HAVEN            2.5 IN    0945 AM 02/13   TRAINED SPOTTER      
1 SW BRANFORD                2.5 IN    0232 PM 02/13   TRAINED SPOTTER      

...NEW LONDON COUNTY...
1 S NEW LONDON               5.7 IN    0600 AM 02/14   TRAINED SPOTTER      
2 W JEWETT CITY              5.5 IN    1045 PM 02/13   BROADCAST MEDIA      
3 WSW FRANKLIN               4.5 IN    1030 PM 02/13   PUBLIC               

...NEW JERSEY...

...BERGEN COUNTY...
WESTWOOD                     3.1 IN    0920 AM 02/13   TRAINED SPOTTER      
2 NNE FRANKLIN LAKES         3.1 IN    0100 PM 02/13   TRAINED SPOTTER      
FAIR LAWN                    3.0 IN    1034 AM 02/13   PUBLIC               
1 WSW WALLINGTON             2.2 IN    1040 AM 02/13   TRAINED SPOTTER      

...ESSEX COUNTY...
WEST ORANGE                  3.0 IN    1200 PM 02/13   PUBLIC               
1 SSW WEST ORANGE            3.0 IN    1200 PM 02/13   PUBLIC               
WEST CALDWELL                2.7 IN    0950 AM 02/13   TRAINED SPOTTER      
1 NNE LIVINGSTON             2.4 IN    1140 AM 02/13   PUBLIC               

...HUDSON COUNTY...
HARRISON                     2.7 IN    0400 PM 02/13   CO-OP OBSERVER       
HOBOKEN                      1.7 IN    1100 AM 02/13   TRAINED SPOTTER      

...PASSAIC COUNTY...
5 N WEST MILFORD             3.7 IN    0110 PM 02/13   TRAINED SPOTTER      
1 NE WEST MILFORD            3.1 IN    0950 AM 02/13   TRAINED SPOTTER      

...UNION COUNTY...
PLAINFIELD                   3.0 IN    1100 AM 02/13   TRAINED SPOTTER      
1 ENE ROSELLE                2.6 IN    0942 AM 02/13   TRAINED SPOTTER      
NEWARK AIRPORT               1.9 IN    0100 PM 02/13   OFFICIAL NWS OBS     

...NEW YORK...

...BRONX COUNTY...
1 E HARLEM                   2.8 IN    1150 AM 02/13   PUBLIC               

...KINGS COUNTY...
1 SSW FLATBUSH               2.5 IN    0100 PM 02/13   BROADCAST MEDIA      
1 WNW CROWN HEIGHTS          2.5 IN    0325 PM 02/13   PUBLIC               
2 ENE CONEY ISLAND           2.5 IN    0600 PM 02/13   TRAINED SPOTTER      

...NASSAU COUNTY...
1 N SYOSSET                  4.8 IN    0830 PM 02/13   TRAINED SPOTTER      
GLEN COVE                    4.1 IN    0445 PM 02/13   PUBLIC               
LEVITTOWN                    4.0 IN    0145 PM 02/13   PUBLIC               
1 W PLAINVIEW                3.8 IN    0830 PM 02/13   PUBLIC               
PLAINVIEW                    3.3 IN    0900 PM 02/13   PUBLIC               
EAST WILLISTON               3.3 IN    0700 PM 02/13   PUBLIC               
MANHASSET HILLS              3.2 IN    0830 PM 02/13   COCORAHS             
1 NE ROOSEVELT               3.0 IN    0300 PM 02/13   BROADCAST MEDIA      
1 NNE MASSAPEQUA             3.0 IN    0530 PM 02/13   TRAINED SPOTTER      
EAST HILLS                   3.0 IN    1130 AM 02/13   PUBLIC               
SEAFORD                      2.9 IN    0530 PM 02/13   PUBLIC               
NORTH WANTAGH                2.8 IN    0600 PM 02/13   TRAINED SPOTTER      
1 SSE BELLMORE               2.8 IN    0303 PM 02/13   PUBLIC               
HICKSVILLE                   2.8 IN    1248 PM 02/13   BROADCAST MEDIA      
EAST MEADOW                  2.7 IN    0100 PM 02/13   NWS EMPLOYEE         

...NEW YORK COUNTY...
MIDTOWN MANHATTAN            1.6 IN    0700 PM 02/13   PUBLIC               
CENTRAL PARK                 1.6 IN    0100 PM 02/13   OFFICIAL NWS OBS     

...ORANGE COUNTY...
2 SW GREENWOOD LAKE          4.5 IN    1000 AM 02/13   PUBLIC               
GARDNERTOWN                  4.0 IN    1220 PM 02/13   TRAINED SPOTTER      
CHESTER                      4.0 IN    1200 PM 02/13   PUBLIC               
2 SSW STEWART AIRPORT        3.9 IN    1155 AM 02/13   PUBLIC               
1 WNW MONROE                 3.8 IN    0930 AM 02/13   TRAINED SPOTTER      
GOSHEN                       3.5 IN    1110 AM 02/13   PUBLIC               
2 NNW KIRYAS JOEL            3.0 IN    1055 AM 02/13   TRAINED SPOTTER      
PINE BUSH                    2.8 IN    1125 AM 02/13   PUBLIC               

...PUTNAM COUNTY...
3 N PUTNAM VALLEY            2.5 IN    1045 AM 02/13   BROADCAST MEDIA      
BREWSTER                     2.4 IN    1000 AM 02/13   TRAINED SPOTTER      

...QUEENS COUNTY...
HOWARD BEACH                 3.6 IN    0400 PM 02/13   BROADCAST MEDIA      
BELLEROSE                    3.4 IN    0435 PM 02/13   PUBLIC               
LITTLE NECK                  3.1 IN    0900 PM 02/13   TRAINED SPOTTER      
1 W NYC/JFK                  2.8 IN    0700 PM 02/13   OFFICIAL NWS OBS     
NYC/LA GUARDIA               2.4 IN    0100 AM 02/14   OFFICIAL NWS OBS     
WHITESTONE                   2.3 IN    1000 AM 02/13   TRAINED SPOTTER      
2 SE MIDTOWN MANHATTAN       2.3 IN    1215 PM 02/13   PUBLIC               

...RICHMOND COUNTY...
WESTERLEIGH                  2.3 IN    0445 PM 02/13   PUBLIC               
1 E NEW DORP                 2.3 IN    0900 AM 02/13   PUBLIC               

...ROCKLAND COUNTY...
1 SSE SPRING VALLEY          2.6 IN    0920 AM 02/13   TRAINED SPOTTER      
NYACK                        2.3 IN    0100 PM 02/13   PUBLIC               

...SUFFOLK COUNTY...
SMITHTOWN                    5.8 IN    1100 PM 02/13   TRAINED SPOTTER      
SETAUKET-EAST SETA           5.8 IN    1000 PM 02/13   TRAINED SPOTTER      
SOUND BEACH                  5.5 IN    1000 PM 02/13   NWS EMPLOYEE         
LAKE RONKONKOMA              5.3 IN    1000 PM 02/13   TRAINED SPOTTER      
SHIRLEY                      5.0 IN    0945 PM 02/13   TRAINED SPOTTER      
EAST HAMPTON                 4.8 IN    1140 PM 02/13   PUBLIC               
1 WSW COMMACK                4.8 IN    0830 PM 02/13   PUBLIC               
SAYVILLE                     4.6 IN    0430 AM 02/14   NWS EMPLOYEE         
1 WNW SOUND BEACH            4.5 IN    0500 PM 02/13   NWS EMPLOYEE         
UPTON                        4.4 IN    0700 AM 02/14   OFFICIAL NWS OBS     
STONY BROOK                  4.3 IN    0800 PM 02/13   NWS EMPLOYEE         
MOUNT SINAI                  4.0 IN    0530 PM 02/13   NWS EMPLOYEE         
CENTEREACH                   3.9 IN    0620 PM 02/13   NWS EMPLOYEE         
MATTITUCK                    3.8 IN    0930 PM 02/13   PUBLIC     
CALVERTON                    3.6 IN    0700 PM 02/13   NWS EMPLOYEE         
1 SW EAST NORTHPORT          3.5 IN    0145 PM 02/13   TRAINED SPOTTER      
2 NE COMMACK                 3.5 IN    0350 PM 02/13   PUBLIC               
1 WNW YAPHANK                3.4 IN    0730 PM 02/13   PUBLIC               
ISLIP AIRPORT                3.1 IN    0100 AM 02/14   OFFICIAL NWS OBS     
RIDGE 1.5 SE                 3.0 IN    0500 AM 02/14   COCORAHS             
HUNTINGTON                   3.0 IN    1025 AM 02/13   TRAINED SPOTTER      
1 WSW BAYWOOD                3.0 IN    0212 PM 02/13   PUBLIC               
2 NW PECONIC RIVER           2.8 IN    0857 PM 02/13   NWS EMPLOYEE         
1 S CENTERPORT               2.8 IN    0200 PM 02/13   CO-OP OBSERVER       
ORIENT                       2.5 IN    0100 PM 02/13   TRAINED SPOTTER                  

...WESTCHESTER COUNTY...
1 NNE HASTINGS-ON-HUDSON     4.3 IN    0545 PM 02/13   PUBLIC               
BRONXVILLE                   3.3 IN    0215 PM 02/13   PUBLIC               
LARCHMONT                    3.2 IN    0920 AM 02/13   PUBLIC               
1 NNW WHITE PLAINS           3.0 IN    0830 AM 02/13   TRAINED SPOTTER      
2 E OSSINING                 3.0 IN    0830 AM 02/13   PUBLIC               
NORTH CASTLE                 3.0 IN    0855 AM 02/13   PUBLIC               
2 SSE HAWTHORNE              3.0 IN    0820 AM 02/13   PUBLIC               
3 NNW GOLDEN'S BRIDGE        3.0 IN    1210 PM 02/13   TRAINED SPOTTER      
2 NW WOODLAWN                2.8 IN    0300 PM 02/13   TRAINED SPOTTER      
1 ESE HARTSDALE              2.5 IN    1025 AM 02/13   TRAINED SPOTTER      
&&
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4 hours ago, rgwp96 said:

16 for me for the year in northern Morris county ,  painful year snow wise  to say the least . Only plus is snow cover for a good part of the winter  from early January on 

Agreed... Our time is coming even despite my own expectations of zero new snowfall here prior to March 1. 

First 2-3 weeks of March look pretty good for an opportunity or two for 6+. That's hope.  I'll accept that.  

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7 hours ago, NorthShoreWx said:

5.8" total here.  Good snow day for the family.  Local jackpot here and my son with the full event jackpot in PVD.  His school is closed.  Smithtown seasonal total is 33.1"

Interesting to note that the Smithtown spotter reporting 5.8" on the OKX PNS is not me.  He/she is on the south side of town and sometimes reports some creative numbers on windy storms (e.g., about 50% more than I had in the big January storm).  Very unusual for us to have similar amounts.

How much did PVD have? I heard close to a foot in parts of Rhode Island?  8" in Boston?

 

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3 hours ago, NorthShoreWx said:

Yesterdays 5.8" snowfall melted to 0.44" water.  That's 13.2:1

Ratios were lower early in the event (and we might have lost a couple of hundredths to melting) and quite high during that nice finale that piled up during the game last night.  Anyone's guess, but I wouldn't be shocked if the last inch or two of snow was at 20:1.

What time did it finally stop snowing by you Ed?

 

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2 hours ago, wdrag said:

Agreed... Our time is coming even despite my own expectations of zero new snowfall here prior to March 1. 

First 2-3 weeks of March look pretty good for an opportunity or two for 6+. That's hope.  I'll accept that.  

Thats awesome March, hopefully we can all get at least another 6-10.  My tally was 4" in this storm and 25" so far for the season very close to normal.

 

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On 2/13/2022 at 6:04 PM, LibertyBell said:

There was a storm like this back in February sometime in the early 90s.  It was supposed to just be a frontal passage with rain changing to snow and ending, well it ended up snowing all day with temps of between 33-34 and it only stuck on grass but then it snowed all night too and got heavier and we got 8 inches in a narrow band from Newark to NYC through Long Island and it snowed for 36 hours straight!  One of my all time favorite storms and a complete surprise, as no accumulation was expected.  A low formed along the front and stalled SE of the Hamptons.

Im really curious about this storm if its the one Im thinking of. I know there was always some start when I was a kid that it was supposed to be like 40s and rain and then it surprisingly changed to heavy snow and was like some huge surprise and I never knew what storm that was. I imagine models were less accurate than.

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4 hours ago, HVSnowLover said:

Im really curious about this storm if its the one Im thinking of. I know there was always some start when I was a kid that it was supposed to be like 40s and rain and then it surprisingly changed to heavy snow and was like some huge surprise and I never knew what storm that was. I imagine models were less accurate than.

I think it was in Feb 1993 if I remember correctly

 

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