Feb 13-14 snowstorm/nor’easter potential

[JC-CT]

24 minutes ago, IowaStorm05 said:

This just keeps looking better and better. It is showing up to look like Jan 7 just like my hopes and intuition went for. 

lol

[IowaStorm05]

23 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

lol

You shan't make fun of my excitement of this fantastic development of potent snow storm. 

[78Blizzard]

3z RAP keeps getting more bullish.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

That’s a pretty sweet quasi stationary band on the gfs for ect/ri/sema.

[Sugarloaf1989]

32/22 waiting for the snow. 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

28 minutes ago, Sugarloaf1989 said:

32/22 waiting for the snow. 

 

 

                                                 

[CCHurricane]

00Z Euro initializing with a decent bump NW in precip field and LP pressure.

[CCHurricane]

Not sure about the weenie tag...simply making a factual statement.

IMBY frustration/depression is popping up all over this board!

[It's Always Sunny]

2-4" for BOS looking more reasonable based off 00Z suite.

[Ginx snewx]

41 minutes ago, CCHurricane said:

Not sure about the weenie tag...simply making a factual statement.

IMBY frustration/depression is popping up all over this board!

Agree nice solid bump on the Euro 

[George001]

This storm looks like it’s coming back. I’m honestly surprised I thought it was dead like 2 days ago, and gave up on it. The radar looks really good and the models keep trending west. I’m thinking 6-10 with an iso foot in some areas. 6+ as far NW as central mass, with high snow ratios leading to higher totals than model snow maps have. This setup looks similar to the early Jan storm.

[OceanStWx]

20 minutes ago, George001 said:

This storm looks like it’s coming back. I’m honestly surprised I thought it was dead like 2 days ago, and gave up on it. The radar looks really good and the models keep trending west. I’m thinking 6-10 with an iso foot in some areas. 6+ as far NW as central mass, with high snow ratios leading to higher totals than model snow maps have. This setup looks similar to the early Jan storm.

I'm actually somewhat interested in this band on radar right now. Well aligned with 700 mb frontogenesis, which is right around the DGZ. 00z NAM had it pretty close to its current location (06z lost it ). I think this may actually produce more of the surprise snow than the consolidating around the low pressure later.

[Sugarloaf1989]

Light snow here and 31F. 

[WhiteLawns]

Huge flakes. Started about an hour ago. Have an inch otg. Torrington ct

[Sey-Mour Snow]

4 minutes ago, WhiteLawns said:

Huge flakes. Started about an hour ago. Have an inch otg. Torrington ct

Same here really coming down heavy.

[Sunny Boy]

Moderate snow 29/24.  Already a coating.

[MJO812]

2 hours ago, Ginx snewx said:

Agree nice solid bump on the Euro 

Check out the Nam 

Several inches 

[Sunny Boy]

RAP has the snow here going into Sunday night

[Sugarloaf1989]

Moderate snowfall here and 28F. Solid coating so far. 

[ineedsnow]

mod snow in Agawam had to stay here a couple nights while my mom is gone.. the cat cant be alone lol

[ineedsnow]

everything turning white quick 

[Ginx snewx]

Started an OBS thread

 

[NeonPeon]

4 hours ago, CCHurricane said:

Not sure about the weenie tag...simply making a factual statement.

IMBY frustration/depression is popping up all over this board!

Stealing mid Atlantic snow.

[kdxken]

1 hour ago, Sugarloaf1989 said:

Moderate snowfall here and 28F. Solid coating so far. 

Same

[UnitedWx]

Coating here in Westfield. Very light snow right now. 27 degrees

[WhiteLawns]

We have like 3 inches here now in torrington.

[Typhoon Tip]

7 hours ago, OceanStWx said:

I'm actually somewhat interested in this band on radar right now. Well aligned with 700 mb frontogenesis, which is right around the DGZ. 00z NAM had it pretty close to its current location (06z lost it ). I think this may actually produce more of the surprise snow than the consolidating around the low pressure later.

I wouldn't call it, "This storm is coming back," with the ominous opening sentence tone, though - that's a bit of a Ralph Phillips take on matters LOL. 

This snow is not really tied directly into the storm mechanics itself - I mentioned that same exact aspect last night ... In some ways, it seems we have an ANA that is actually ANA-ing.  Ha...  or maybe if in the quasi sense. 

There's also a strong and getting stronger, 300 mb jet that's paralleling the EC. In fact by this evening.. it's reoriented in such a way that the strongest winds ( approaching 180 mph!) are leaving New England. I think that is helping blossom this stripe.  It was in erstwhile guidance and put some valid question into the mix as to whether more QPF should be striped/banded back west ...which seems to be doing well per rad and sfc obs.  The NAM dropping it at 06z is odd.  It failed already so whatever... but, these mechanical metrics were still on that particular run.  If we negate that run, the NAM seemed to be more correct with placement. 

It's hard to tell but later tonight the operational GFS appears to evolve a very weak NORLAN?  I see a weak IVT with a classic hook in the QPF. I also wonder if that may benefit from a brief window where the llv flow orientation brings OES enhancing into the convergence axis.   Interesting...   

[George001]

6 hours ago, OceanStWx said:

I'm actually somewhat interested in this band on radar right now. Well aligned with 700 mb frontogenesis, which is right around the DGZ. 00z NAM had it pretty close to its current location (06z lost it ). I think this may actually produce more of the surprise snow than the consolidating around the low pressure later.

That fronto band has definitely delivered so far, got a couple inches already.

[Ginx snewx]

1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said:

I wouldn't call it, "This storm is coming back," with the ominous opening sentence tone, though - that's a bit of a Ralph Phillips take on matters LOL. 

This snow is not really tied directly into the storm mechanics itself - I mentioned that same exact aspect last night ... In some ways, it seems we have an ANA that is actually ANA-ing.  Ha...  or maybe if in the quasi sense. 

There's also a strong and getting stronger, 300 mb jet that's paralleling the EC. In fact by this evening.. it's reoriented in such a way that the strongest winds ( approaching 180 mph!) are leaving New England. I think that is helping blossom this stripe.  It was in erstwhile guidance and put some valid question into the mix as to whether more QPF should be striped/banded back west ...which seems to be doing well per rad and sfc obs.  The NAM dropping it at 06z is odd.  It failed already so whatever... but, these mechanical metrics were still on that particular run.  If we negate that run, the NAM seemed to be more correct with placement. 

It's hard to tell but later tonight the operational GFS appears to evolve a very weak NORLAN?  I see a weak IVT with a classic hook in the QPF. I also wonder if that may benefit from a brief window where the llv flow orientation brings OES enhancing into the convergence axis.   Interesting...   

Of course it came back there was virtually zero qpf from this 4 days ago. Written off, dry air you said. Plus it's a play on the day.

[HoarfrostHubb]

Maybe time to unpin this one?