Feb 13-14 snowstorm/nor’easter potential

[HIPPYVALLEY]

At this point I would be ecstatic for 2 inches of snow.

[SouthCoastMA]

only saw precip maps, but RGEM marginally better? looked like it hung around longer into Monday

[DJln491]

4 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

At this point I would be ecstatic for 2 inches of snow.

I’m with ya

[Sugarloaf1989]

11 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

At this point I would be ecstatic for 2 inches of snow.

I'm expecting 2 flurries.

[512high]

51 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

12k clownage gives Wawa 6   Actually a bit SW of there

 

Well if I were to even see 3" in my hometown most would say "where did this come from"? Local mets here said sunny! A lot would be very surprised 

[ORH_wxman]

20 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

only saw precip maps, but RGEM marginally better? looked like it hung around longer into Monday

RGEM not biting on the NAM solutions is a bit of a red flag to me. It should be catching onto this inside of 24h. I’m not buying NAM yet. 

I’ll give it until the 00z run but for now I’m sticking with 1-2” here maybe a 3” lolli. Down there it could be advisory snows. 

[HoarfrostHubb]

Reggie with basically cloudy here.  ACKWaves maybe gets 2"

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

12 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

RGEM not biting on the NAM solutions is a bit of a red flag to me. It should be catching onto this inside of 24h. I’m not buying NAM yet. 

I’ll give it until the 00z run but for now I’m sticking with 1-2” here maybe a 3” lolli. Down there it could be advisory snows. 

Yea. I have T-2” outside of semaatt. 

[weathafella]

4 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

LOL

Go to panels ending after 12z Monday 

[MJO812]

2 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Go to panels ending after 12z Monday 

Gotcha

[MJO812]

[Sey-Mour Snow]

23 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

RGEM not biting on the NAM solutions is a bit of a red flag to me. It should be catching onto this inside of 24h. I’m not buying NAM yet. 

I’ll give it until the 00z run but for now I’m sticking with 1-2” here maybe a 3” lolli. Down there it could be advisory snows. 

HRRR is pretty snowy as well, interesting little battle..

[weathafella]

[Damage In Tolland]

39 minutes ago, Sugarloaf1989 said:

I'm expecting 2 flurries.

You’ll be 1-3” easy 

[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said:

HRRR is pretty snowy as well, interesting little battle..

HRRR with the win 

[MJO812]

4 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Gfs is trying to follow the other models 

[dendrite]

Ugh...too close for comfort. Need a messenger shuffle south.

[ineedsnow]

1 hour ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

12k clownage gives Wawa 6   Actually a bit SW of there

 

that will clearly be wrong we never jack

[Ginx snewx]

4 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

that will clearly be wrong we never jack

Didn't you jack earlier this year

[WinterWolf]

Do any of the models ever agree anymore when we’re a day out from a potential? Always some sort of battle/disagreement happening… even at 24 hrs out.  

[Ginx snewx]

Just now, WinterWolf said:

Do any of the models ever agree anymore when we’re a day out from a potential? Always some sort of battle/disagreement happening… even at 24 hrs out.  

I like the HRRR with this. Reggie tossed for major inconsistencies. Mesos like the NAM RAP HRRR should handle this well inside 48. 

[ineedsnow]

2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Didn't you jack earlier this year

not that I can remember this year has been terrible here  maybe on a small storm 

[Ginx snewx]

1 minute ago, ineedsnow said:

not that I can remember this year has been terrible here  maybe on a small storm 

Thought you guys had like a 7 to 8 while the rest had 2 or so

[ineedsnow]

2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Thought you guys had like a 7 to 8 while the rest had 2 or so

could have honestly dont remember though.. 

[IowaStorm05]

Can't we jack a bit in this setup? I am seeing kisses and promises for at least 2"

[Damage In Tolland]

14 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

that will clearly be wrong we never jack

We warn 

[WinterWolf]

6 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

I like the HRRR with this. Reggie tossed for major inconsistencies. Mesos like the NAM RAP HRRR should handle this well inside 48. 

GFS Has zero here, NAM has 4 plus inches lol.  I mean that’s a huge discrepancy at 24 hrs out. 

[IowaStorm05]

1 minute ago, WinterWolf said:

GFS Has zero here, NAM has 4 plus inches lol.  I mean that’s a huge discrepancy at 24 hrs out. 

Less time out than that. Starts in less than 12 hours?

[ineedsnow]

5 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

GFS Has zero here, NAM has 4 plus inches lol.  I mean that’s a huge discrepancy at 24 hrs out. 

starts in 12 to 18 hours amazing how bad these models are

[SouthCoastMA]

confident in 3-4"+ here. gonna have to just nowcast any bands that develop further inland