WinterWolf Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Seeing as we get more snow in March than Dec and with models showing cold shots and deep cold in Canada I would be shocked. Agree. Kev knows the deal, it’s just the reverse defense mechanism, and also the prog to get folks and METS to talk about what might happen going forward. I don’t think we’re done yet…she wants to torture us some more as I said yesterday. And very very rarely is the winter weather ever done on/by 2/13. That’d be the equivalent of saying it won’t be hot/summer like anymore on August 13th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 12zNAM coming in just a smidge better again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 12zNAM coming in just a smidge better again. Hi res is better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 12z HRRR looks like it favors more Long Island / SW RI into Scooterville than the Cape proper... Coating to 1" here. Wouldn't mind a little to spruce up the place Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 12km NAM has a second swath a little NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 11 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Seems like an INVT more than a fronto band. Bet someone from the Cape to Scooter Tblizz overperforms That overperform will likely be over you maybe to ORH.. look where best forcing is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: That overperform will likely be over you maybe to ORH.. look where best forcing is Actually nam would be like NW CT into hubby and SNH on those charts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 If I get 2-3 inches I'll consider it a big win, especially with the cold coming in. Then hope for a big early March storm. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 Nam is a mess though. Looks weird. This whole system is a mess. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 12k jackpots me under some random band....4-6 inches with nothing on either side of it, I'm sure that is right 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 6 minutes ago, DavisStraight said: If I get 2-3 inches I'll consider it a big win, especially with the cold coming in. Then hope for a big early March storm. Yes sir…I’d agree with you wholeheartedly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 There will definitely be two jackpots in this one. First one will be under the fronto band and the second will be in SE MA probably from the IVT stuff. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 Just now, WinterWolf said: Yes sir…I’d agree with you wholeheartedly. I should book a trip to Florida in March, three times I was down there in March and we got a big storm up here, I'll take one for the team. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 1 minute ago, DavisStraight said: I should book a trip to Florida in March, three times I was down there in March and we got a big storm up here, I'll take one for the team. Lol…nope you and I need to experience a good storm before we close the book on winter this year. You can go down there in April when it really sucks here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: There will definitely be two jackpots in this one. First one will be under the fronto band and the second will be in SE MA probably from the IVT stuff. Yep. Not much in between probably. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 Question is.. how much sticks on furnaced pavements? Light fluffy snow generally doesn’t do well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Question is.. how much sticks on furnaced pavements? Light fluffy snow generally doesn’t do well Who cares Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 Just now, CoastalWx said: Who cares Its important to get that 1” on the roads. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Its important to get that 1” on the roads. LOL I’m more worried about getting the snow in here. He’s already worried about it sticking to the roads. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: LOL I’m more worried about getting the snow in here. He’s already worried about it sticking to the roads. I’m not worried about snow. It’s coming for all of SNE. A couple inches .Nothing worse than wet roads with snow everywhere else. Hate it . Just my OCD 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 12 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I’m not worried about snow. It’s coming for all of SNE. A couple inches .Nothing worse than wet roads with snow everywhere else. Hate it . Just my OCD Hmmm. It isnt that bad. In fact it can allow folks to embrace snow with relatively less impacts, as long as roads are still treated a bit. In fact, at the microclimate I lived in the 90s and early 2000s, the climate was such that we often experienced accumulating snow when the temperature was 33 or 34 degrees for the duration of the event!!!!!!!! And, that meant the roads might stay clear while 6 inches is on the grass. In a California/Nevada climate, the dew points if I am not mistaken are what allowed for this. A frequent scenario was that the high might reach 40 or 50 degrees, but any precip would still fall as snow because the band moves in, and snow immediately drags the temperature down to the low 30s. In that kind of climate, a lot of weird temperature effects take place particularly in late winter and early spring when you have weak low pressure systems hanging around, and lots of uneven shallow heating from the sun. Elevation does that too. Big-dog storms would make things less erratic but even with those you might see accumulating snow at 33 degrees. And as you might imagine, Ice and sleet are extremely rare there. I have seen snow accumulate without sticking to the roads here as well but it isnt as common... because if it is snowing, it means it is below freezing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I’m not worried about snow. It’s coming for all of SNE. A couple inches .Nothing worse than wet roads with snow everywhere else. Hate it . Just my OCD May take awhile to stick if it’s just light and fluffy after the Fisher Furnace today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: May take awhile to stick if it’s just light and fluffy after the Fisher Furnace today. It’s awesome outside. Out in shorts walking on ice and snow picking up limbs, sticks and other debris that has blown down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
das Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 20 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It’s awesome outside. Out in shorts walking on ice and snow picking up limbs, sticks and other debris that has blown down I strolled into the gym this morning in my shorts instead of the usual sub-zero mad dash, trying to avoid stinging skin. It felt odd. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 Our road is a disaster. So much melting ice and pothole crap. Multiple mud seasons upcoming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 14 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Our road is a disaster. So much melting ice and pothole crap. Multiple mud seasons upcoming Same. Pot holes big enough to swallow the cars left on Ginxy’s front yard. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 Any analogue-ness to the Jan 7 overperform? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 GFS and ICON meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 3 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: GFS and ICON meh The GFS won't budge on this one til the event is underway..this is typical outlier til the last minute on a coastal we usually see from it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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