Feb 13-14 snowstorm/nor’easter potential

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

I’ll give until 0z tomorrow night before I turn the lights out on a big event potential. 

[eduggs]

3rd run in a row the RGEM has shifted weaker/east. Not surprising considering the wrapped up coastal hugger on the Canadian at 12z.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Eh' we will fluctuate until the 12z runs tomorrow.  This one is still a contender.  

[MJO812]

3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

I’ll give until 0z tomorrow night before I turn the lights out on a big event potential. 

Agree 

[George001]

2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

I’ll give until 0z tomorrow night before I turn the lights out on a big event potential. 

I’m starting to get nervous. Not giving up yet, still has time to come back but I wanted to see a stronger low tonight even if it’s offshore. We need the southern energy to be more consolidated, with the ridge axis so far west and amplified I would think it would be more consolidated. Idk what’s going on.

[OceanStWx]

13 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

It's like Groundhog day.....every run looks better until it doesn't  lol

[WinterWolf]

Just now, George001 said:

I’m starting to get nervous. Not giving up yet, still has time to come back but I wanted to see a stronger low tonight even if it’s offshore. We need the southern energy to be more consolidated, with the ridge axis so far west and amplified I would think it would be more consolidated. Idk what’s going on.

Sampling George. It’s not the greatest as of now. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Just now, MJO812 said:

Agree 

Maybe we’ll score a moderate event to set the mood for SB night. Not great but enough to wet the weenie.

[78Blizzard]

Like Kev said earlier, it looks like somewhat of a SNE hit with an ENE movement as it approaches.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

2 minutes ago, George001 said:

I’m starting to get nervous. Not giving up yet, still has time to come back but I wanted to see a stronger low tonight even if it’s offshore. We need the southern energy to be more consolidated, with the ridge axis so far west and amplified I would think it would be more consolidated. Idk what’s going on.

Keep fighting the good fight homie. I never thought this was real and still don’t so prove me wrong. Get the navy and jma in line…

[HIPPYVALLEY]

I thought the GFS looked a little better at 500mb.

[WinterWolf]

2 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

I thought the GFS looked a little better at 500mb.

It was a nice move. 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

It's certainly something legit to track, which is better than the deflated weenie,  lets jump to spring default.

 

[eduggs]

9 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

I thought the GFS looked a little better at 500mb.

A little better than 18z. But still a far cry from last night's 6z or even 12z really. Two steps back, one step forward.

[eduggs]

Not a very good 0z except for maybe the GFS op. The EC could still revive this a little.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

5 minutes ago, eduggs said:

Not a very good 0z except for maybe the GFS op. The EC could still revive this a little.

The lax upper levels could let this come further NW.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

It’s likely to be in play from ginxy Garth/NE to maybe Ray 

[ice1972]

I’m sorry…..What the hell is going on here?

 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Meh overnight runs. We need a big day today or George gets barred from creating event threads.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Not a single euro post… tells you all you need to know. Threat is on life support 

[CoastalWx]

11 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Not a single euro post… tells you all you need to know. Threat is on life support 

Yep 

[klw]

7 hours ago, Ginx snewx said:

Little late to the ballgame but 18Z EPS winter precip maps have some pretty beefy snowfall totals  for what that lp map shows

 

We take e34, toss the rest. Clearly e34 is the only one with a clue.

[40/70 Benchmark]

8 minutes ago, klw said:

We take e34, toss the rest. Clearly e34 is the only one with a clue.

e50 works, but it was probably over Bermuda at 00z lol

This threat is crap...like this winter. Should track the warmup. ...hopefully we don't end up with boob ridges, so we rot at 39.999999234 degrees.

[Damage In Tolland]

GFS winning another ?

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

We’ve done a lot of one step forward and 2 steps back this winter. Northern stream starts to look better yesterday… and the southern stream inexplicably goes to shit 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

We’ve done a lot of one step forward and 2 steps back this winter. Northern stream starts to look better yesterday… and the southern stream inexplicably goes to shit 

Like I said yesterday, this winter has an innate ability to deconstruct potential....I mean, its almost mid February, so it's safe to say its shown its arthritic, calcified hand.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Yea, the blizzard buried Steve's doghouse, but when you look at what that event could have been....that one shit itself, too.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Look at MLK day...great KU setup, that found a way to cut when energy buried itself at base of trough....then the one before, where the saggy tits caused one I95 band....then December, when a great NAO block was waisted by record RNA. Gotta call a spade a spade, man.

Each single event representing a microcosm of a season that salvaged futility from a great looking east-based la nina.

Anaomalies happen.

 

[MJO812]

This Monday storm is not looking good at all.  We need big changes by today. 

[subdude]