RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 1 minute ago, JC-CT said: very confused why people think this looks better It did at h5 early on but as usual this season, some positive changes don’t end with weenie desired results. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Guessing it looked better earlier in the run. the trough was too broad 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 41 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: The germans are coming? 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 it looked better at 66 then went to shit. is what it is 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 Those two s/w's were further separated compared to 12z, which is why you saw a meh solution. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DJln491 Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 Swims with the fishes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Those two s/w's were further separated compared to 12z, which is why you saw a meh solution. Even if this one fails, at least an end to the cold is in sight. I've reached the point where, while I'd love a blizzard, the end of winter wouldn't induce any tear shedding, either. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 Just saw the 18z GFS. It was marginally further east with the northern stream that run. We need that sucker dropping down through the eastern Dakotas or western MN like the 18z NAM…not through the arrowhead and Green Bay. All else being equal of course. There’s some other nuances that can help out either way but the northern stream is my main focus when watching this runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 The s/w in question is also way the hell in the NPAC. Typical sampling issues apply. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 28 minutes ago, JC-CT said: very confused why people think this looks better Weed alters the mind 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 24 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: it looked better at 66 then went to shit. is what it is I thought so too: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 16 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Even if this one fails, at least an end to the cold is in sight. I've reached the point where, while I'd love a blizzard, the end of winter wouldn't induce any tear shedding, either. I get my wood pretty cheap, so if it wasn’t for the woodstove, I cannot imagine what my oil bill would’ve been this year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Weed alters the mind and helps one gain perspective. Agree. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said: I get my wood pretty cheap, so if it wasn’t for the woodstove, I cannot imagine what my oil bill would’ve been this year. It’s been tough. I’ve been pushing the wife to go geothermal and solar but she wants to prioritize other important things like a hidden kitchen pantry and a bigger master closet for her shoes. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: It’s been tough. I’ve been pushing the wife to go geothermal and solar but she wants to prioritize other important things like a hidden kitchen pantry and a bigger master closet for her shoes. Happy wife, happy life. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said: Agree. He’ll never get it until we are visiting him in the hospital after a stroke. https://www.cdc.gov/alcohol/fact-sheets/alcohol-use.htm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 1 hour ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Unfortunately our region is too big to satisfy everyone with a storm so someone will always get shafted. Looks to be WOR folk again, should this pan out. There is too much ground to make up in 4 days for you to rain. We’ve been snake-bit this year for sure it seems, but the ground to make up is not that much in 4 days time at all. This “could” come west quite a bit in the next couple days quite easily if this thing phases efficiently. Of course I’m not saying this happens being the way things have gone so far this winter, but that’s not too hard to do in the time that’s left with this potential. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 Just now, WinterWolf said: We’ve been snake-bit this year for sure it seems, but the ground to make up is not that much in 4 days time at all. This “could” come west quite a bit in the next couple days quite easily if this thing phases efficiently. Of course I’m not saying this happens being the way things have gone so far this winter, but that’s not too hard to do in the time that’s left with this potential. Sure, it is possible and anything kind of is…possible, but I don’t see it tbh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 psilocybin is on my bucket list I don't really drink or do weed but in moderation it's all good 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 13 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Sure, it is possible and anything kind of is…possible, but I don’t see it tbh. We’ll I guess what I’m saying, along with Ray and Scott too, is that this can easily come west plenty in the time that’s left. It’s not a big stretch. However, Will it? With the way things have gone this year, I don’t think any of us can see it, cuz something always goes wrong. So we certainly don’t expect it to at all. So I think we agree there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 6 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: We’ll I guess what I’m saying, along with Ray and Scott too, is that this can easily come west plenty in the time that’s left. It’s not a big stretch. However, Will it? With the way things have gone this year, I don’t think any of us can see it, cuz something always goes wrong. So we certainly don’t expect it to at all. So I think we agree there. The fact euro isn’t showing a bomb for Albany gives me pause. We’ll see but we can’t afford step backs or even neutral results over the next couple cycles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 30 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: It’s been tough. I’ve been pushing the wife to go geothermal and solar but she wants to prioritize other important things like a hidden kitchen pantry and a bigger master closet for her shoes. Do what she wants. Your payback is bedtime 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 Little behind in this thread but just got back from gym and this 18z NAM solution extrapolates all pretty like. I'm a little concerned for the leading roll-out ridge being somewhat flat, with integrating higher velocities/geostrophic wind. I'd like that to start curling into more anticyclonic curvature, however ... that may in fact be about to happen if this model were allowed to head out to 96 hours. But it is the NAM so lest we forget, it's probably unfortunate for everyone that it goes out beyond 48 at all.. LOL... anyway - if anything, we don't want this carving back more west than this here... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: The fact euro isn’t showing a bomb for Albany gives me pause. We’ll see but we can’t afford step backs or even neutral results over the next couple cycles. Euro isn’t what it used to be at all…it doesn’t do what it used to do either, so imo it’s not even the same model anymore, so we can’t apply the same things to it that we used to. Energy still isn’t sampled at all…so still much to figure out over the next day or two. But I m with ya, I’m sure something will come along and muck this up soon enough, and it’ll be “ahhh dam this could have been awesome if it wasn’t for the saggy boobs, or that scooter sh*t streak etc etc. I’m just waiting for that to come. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 1 hour ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Ray might drive to my house and torch my car if that happens Why stop at your car? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 1 hour ago, JC-CT said: very confused why people think this looks better Hmm, And i thought it was just me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 10 minutes ago, dryslot said: Hmm, And i thought it was just me. I closed my eyes and clicked my heels together three times and there was a snow storm on the horizon. Lock it up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 Seems like 18z isn’t continuing the good trend of 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted February 9, 2022 Author Share Posted February 9, 2022 1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Even if this one fails, at least an end to the cold is in sight. I've reached the point where, while I'd love a blizzard, the end of winter wouldn't induce any tear shedding, either. Eh I hate winters that shut off early (like last year). If we get this threat to pan out, then after the warm spell late month another big one to pan out in March, I’ll be happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 8 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: I closed my eyes and clicked my heels together took 3 bong rips and there was a snow storm on the horizon. Lock it up. I'm sure there was. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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