Feb 13-14 snowstorm/nor’easter potential

[ORH_wxman]

For those who aren't 100% sure what we are talking about....check out the shift in the northern stream up near Minnesota...well southwest of the 06z run.

 

 

[Ginx snewx]

13 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I would honestly take 8" of paste followed by a period of IP/rain, over a foot of subby sauce like the blizzard.

Just stop

[40/70 Benchmark]

8 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Just stop

Its the truth. I like wet snow. I find events with rain/snow lines and and inland coastal fronts far more interesting.

[Ginx snewx]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I wish one of the dogs would onto your keyboard

On mobile at work. Let's do this. Liking the structural changes in modeling today. Hope it continues until go time. Would make  part of this winter a winner if we can score another foot. Need about 15 to get to normal. Hate the thaws though. Had a beautiful 3/4 days of deep classic winter look. 

[ORH_wxman]

EPS nibbling a little but not biting yet

 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Its the truth. I like wet snow. I find events with rain/snow lines and and inland coastal fronts far more interesting.

Me too. We had weak snow grains for most of the sema blizzard. Boring. Give me the threat of taint. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

We’re clearly frustrated with winter like sexually frustrated married men. We need some.

I'm just going to expect a coastal focus and hope to be pleasantly suprised.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I'm just going to expect a coastal focus and hope to be pleasantly suprised.

It's where I'm at as well. Seasonal tendencies and all. 

[CoastalWx]

Time for a December 9th 2005 radar loop.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Time for a December 9th 2005 radar loop.

Please....this entire season has been a PD II and Boxing Day GIF.

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Please....this entire season has been a PD II and Boxing Day GIF.

That's not what I meant lol. The classic Will posting that loop when things go off topic.

[dryslot]

13 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Lol very true. sema can nibble on the saggy boobs but while I stuff my face in round bottoms.

 

[CoastalWx]

Lots of vitriol spewed at some good folks who don't control weather. Hate to see it. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Lots of stew spewed at some good boobies and taints who don't control weather. Love to see it. 

Yowza

[40/70 Benchmark]

 

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2022/02/superbowl-sunday-night-into-monday.html

[78Blizzard]

7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

 

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2022/02/superbowl-sunday-night-into-monday.html

Just a nitpick... The Pats beat the Rams in 2019, so its been three consecutive years, not four.  Three is bad enough...

[ORH_wxman]

18z NAM is slower and west of 12z with northern stream...that's gonna be nuclear.

 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Please....this entire season has been a PD II and Boxing Day GIF.

This one is coming West of current modeling. 

[mahk_webstah]

Will is like EF Hutton for me.  When he talks, I listen.

[CoastalWx]

6 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

This one is coming West of current modeling. 

I hope this is more region wide. I'd also feel a lot safer for my own well being since the interior wants to invade the east and southeast New England like Russia and the Ukraine.

[WxWatcher007]

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I hope this is more region wide. I'd also feel a lot safer for my own well being since the interior wants to invade the east and southeast New England like Russia and the Ukraine.

[GCWarrior]

14 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

This one is coming West of current modeling. 

I like your spirit!

[MJO812]

[dryslot]

12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I hope this is more region wide. I'd also feel a lot safer for my own well being since the interior wants to invade the east and southeast New England like Russia and the Ukraine.

 

[SouthCoastMA]

Definitely getting an 'eat the rich' vibe from folks out west, which is concerning. Hope it works out for most, so some of us can avoid the gulag. Tblizz prob first to go if not

[SouthCoastMA]

The ICON looks nice.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

16 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I hope this is more region wide. I'd also feel a lot safer for my own well being since the interior wants to invade the east and southeast New England like Russia and the Ukraine.

Tomorrow’s runs will give us a better idea where that northern stream energy wants to dive in.

[CoastalWx]

3 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

Definitely getting an 'eat the rich' vibe from folks out west, which is concerning. Hope it works out for most, so some of us can avoid the gulag. Tblizz prob first to go if not

They aren't a very tough bunch. Surprisingly fragile.

[CoastalWx]

Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Tomorrow’s runs will give us a better idea where that northern stream energy wants to dive in.

I'll be happy in the western eyewall while you deform.

[The 4 Seasons]

Since 6Z only goes out to 90 hours. If you go out even further in the run the differences are even more dramatic Let's take a look at H5 and compare it to 00Z at 105 hours and 111 hours, 4pm Sunday and 10pm Sunday respectively. The 12Z run is significantly different than the last big run at 00Z and much more what you want to see for rapid east coast cyclogenesis running up the coast. We are still quite a way out for this potential event but the afternoon runs overall are trending in the right direction.

 

The EPS is not a great look overall at this range we are going to want to see an improvement at 00Z. Very few members are hits. Heres the mean SLP/QPF and member SLP.