Feb 13-14 snowstorm/nor’easter potential

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

This would be a nice one to work out. Could be a snow day Monday for state employees 

Read my mind....state employment FTW

[dryslot]

We ice fish saturday.

[Kitzbuhel Craver]

Hmmm… Ryan has popped his head in the thread. Total weenieology, but I like to see that wrt CT interests, lol.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Cosgrove is leaning towards 00z UK camp FWIW.

[dryslot]

12z UKIE is OTS.

[MJO812]

5 minutes ago, dryslot said:

12z UKIE is OTS.

 

[WinterWolf]

4 minutes ago, dryslot said:

12z UKIE is OTS.

That model is so erratic…it’s really not even usable in that regard. 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Ukie bucks the 12z trend hard 

[MJO812]

2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Ukie bucks the 12z trend hard 

Who cares

It's a crap model

[ORH_wxman]

I'm not too worried abou the Ukie at this point...it was the outlier west at 00z and likely the outlier east at 12z....it loves to jump, but i did note that it still had the northern stream very far west at 12z, it just didn't seem to sync up with the southern energy.

 

That northern stream piece if the key trend I'm looking at today...Ukie still had it well west which is good.

[weathafella]

I’m in.  Kudos to George 

[RDRY]

Potent energy on the CMC -- this would deliver for many. Drop it 100+ miles south, and it would REALLY deliver.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

25 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Lot of snow on the 12z CMC.

Ray is shaking, praying for it to have a clue.

[dryslot]

9 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

 

We don't care about NYC.............

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Ray is shaking, praying for it to have a clue.

More disappointment inbound then.

[George001]

5 minutes ago, RDRY said:

Potent energy on the CMC -- this would deliver for many. Drop it 100+ miles south, and it would REALLY deliver.

That is amazing. It’s actually so far west at the surface that eastern areas rain lol

[dryslot]

6 minutes ago, weathafella said:

I’m in.  Kudos to George 

Checkout MOS.

[dryslot]

12 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

That model is so erratic…it’s really not even usable in that regard. 

Yes, Very erratic.

[Sn0waddict]

So the models that are a hit still show an elongated/dual low. I’m not falling for this again.  It’s crazy how this has suddenly become a thing.

[ROOSTA]

So, from ridicule and criticizing George... he's taking the place of James faster than the model's churn.

Just as long the NAVGEM is "on board"

Call it broken clock syndrome.
GAME ON! 

   

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

4 minutes ago, dryslot said:

More disappointment inbound then.

I’m just referring to the fact it would pin the cf to his liking for a change.

[weathafella]

4 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Checkout MOS.

Quite the muthufukkas t 0Z MEX!

[40/70 Benchmark]

7 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Ray is shaking, praying for it to have a clue.

Nah, I'm much more measured at this stage. I was trigger happy early, but this season has beaten that out of me.

[cleetussnow]

Which storm was the last George special?  I think that's the one that utterly failed?  Don't remember.

This is DAY 5, and the day we needed to see the trends evolve the right way. 

We trend.

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

I’m just referring to the fact it would pin the cf to his liking for a change.

No, not with that high where it is. If the mid levels go west, then I am destined for another local min, but lets just get agreement on a storm first.

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, cleetussnow said:

Which storm was the last George special?  I think that's the one that utterly failed?  Don't remember.

This is DAY 5, and the day we needed to see the trends evolve the right way. 

We trend.

The blizzard.

[cleetussnow]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

The blizzard.

Well hand him the dice!

[HoarfrostHubb]

2 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Quite the muthufukkas t 0Z MEX!

Nice to see some 6 and 8 numbers for several stations.  I'm sure those won't change

[WinterWolf]

Assuming we get a storm, are we talking sun night into Monday? Or more a Monday deal? 

[dryslot]

Just now, HoarfrostHubb said:

Nice to see some 6 and 8 numbers for several stations.  I'm sure those won't change

Its been a rough go on these, I followed them all year and has not performed that well really, GFS thermals are still skewed.