Typhoon Tip Posted February 5, 2022 Author Share Posted February 5, 2022 14 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said: Boys, this one may sneak up on a lot of people, bit more qpf to come hour 84 12Z NAM 10:1 Sneak ?! ....this is starting to piss me off man lol, not you - hahaha... just in general. damn it - I mean, this may not happen... but people can't seem to read this without interpreting through an asshole filter. Everything I've said about this 'event' is f'ing clad true so for. I am not making this shit up. I do not have ambition - I am merely a fascinating miss-placed middle aged Met with no other outlet to vent my aspirations in this field, and you know what... ? People can bite me. And by the way... I AM WRONG ALL THE TIME. Rant over - 1 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 Maybe the worm has turned a bit for the N of the Pike folk It is the NAM though. But good to see some other support and in close enough range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said: Sneak ?! ....this is starting to piss me off man lol, not you - hahaha... just in general. damn it - I mean, this may not happen... but people can't seem to read this without interpreting through an asshole filter. Everything I've said about this 'event' is f'ing clad true so for. I am not making this shit up. I do not have ambition - I am fascinating miss-placed middle aged Meteorologist with no other outlet to vent my aspirations in this field, and you know what... ? People can bite me. And by the way... I AM WRONG ALL THE TIME. Rant over - If you somehow turn this into a nice snowstorm it'll be your biggest coup yet. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 Nice 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: Maybe the worm has turned a bit for the N of the Pike folk It is the NAM though. But good to see some other support and in close enough range Eventually climo asserts itself, I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 Tip needs a gummie this morning. Lol. Once again, he has been playing a golden hand 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 Just now, PhineasC said: Eventually climo asserts itself, I think. Well, eventually it is May… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 13 minutes ago, PhineasC said: 12z NAM gives me more liquid for this thing than the models had here for the BOS blizzard event. Waking up from a 17 inch hangover to see another foot plus in a couple of days for your win. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 4 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Sneak ?! ....this is starting to piss me off man lol, not you - hahaha... just in general. damn it - I mean, this may not happen... but people can't seem to read this without interpreting through an asshole filter. Everything I've said about this 'event' is f'ing clad true so for. I am not making this shit up. I do not have ambition - I am merely a fascinating miss-placed middle aged Met with no other outlet to vent my aspirations in this field, and you know what... ? People can bite me. And by the way... I AM WRONG ALL THE TIME. Rant over - Edibles are legal in Mass. Maybe wake and bake is a good idea for you. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 Had no idea we had so many druggies in our subforum. Lets get a couple more pumps and bumps south over the next 24 hours so this snows down to the coast 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 5, 2022 Author Share Posted February 5, 2022 Just now, PhineasC said: If you somehow turn this into a nice snowstorm it'll be your biggest coup yet. Honestly ...I don't expect that to happen. Ha! If it turns into a "nice snowstorm," that would be a bit like accidentally inventing nitroglycerine. I mean there may be some subjectivity ... duh, in how we define adjectives like "nice," when using them to describe snow. And then stapling other adjectives like "storm" on the end of it... I really meant 'minor' and/or 'middling' - can someone PLEASE demonstrate this is getting across ? Anyway, I'm not sure these reconcile the former? I have to be fair, if ORH - CON-BGR axis pasted for > 6" ... that's not what I had in mind. I thought that might be more the ceiling for Taunton to Logan with metro west skimmed, up through PSM-PWM ... But, if it wants to evolve to more... I would say people should also pay attention to details when < 108 hours out, and the 00z EPS' 24 -hour d(hgts) through 90W digs some 6 dm straight up and down the trough. That's amount of amplitude increase is not as paramount as the move its self - maybe.. toggle between these if on a PC/Mac...not sure what you can do on your phones: https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?rh=2022020400&fh=96&dpdt=&mc=&r=nh&p=500h_anom&m=eps vs https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?rh=2022020400&fh=96&dpdt=&mc=&r=nh&p=500h_anom&m=eps 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 2 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: Definitely a better trend. Several OP runs now give ORH county over to Ray’s hood several inches. 06z euro looks a little warm for that. Does get interior NH into ME with warning snows though. Wait for it..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 24 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Sneak ?! ....this is starting to piss me off man lol, not you - hahaha... just in general. damn it - I mean, this may not happen... but people can't seem to read this without interpreting through an asshole filter. Everything I've said about this 'event' is f'ing clad true so for. I am not making this shit up. I do not have ambition - I am merely a fascinating miss-placed middle aged Met with no other outlet to vent my aspirations in this field, and you know what... ? People can bite me. And by the way... I AM WRONG ALL THE TIME. Rant over - What a melt.....someone Finish Tip. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 5, 2022 Author Share Posted February 5, 2022 39 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: MLK 2010 redux? I don't remember that one ? ...I guess I can NCEP library that - is it an analog ? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Wait for it..... One of these eventually has to work out lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 33 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Nice I have a good feeling about this one, of course I did on the 29th too, for mby anyway 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 5, 2022 Author Share Posted February 5, 2022 41 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Edibles are legal in Mass. Maybe wake and bake is a good idea for you. Heh... I think all private rec forms are legal use now? In Mass anywho. I was told by an off-duty officer that the same rules apply to DUI law, however... Maybe that will get finer tuned/codified, but it "seems" when the vote flipped the script, the systemic couching in was a first sorta 'guess' management tool. Anyway, I guess that makes sense? I don't know - I can't use Marry Jane. I tried it in my youth... Let's just leave it at some unsettling reaction. I'm not thrilled to use it because of that trauma. I am, however, thrilled that it is legal now - how many countless lives were ruined by what amounts (in my mind) to be puritanical heritage - Americana does have perhaps too many roots in early colonialism. Obviously, there's a whole sociological babble that is not appropriate to this thread ( hahaha), but that just being illegal was always suspect to me. I can't use it, personally. But I've never been around a marijuana fueled rage, or addict... and it has far to many benefits if used in moderation like anything else. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 18 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: I don't remember that one ? ...I guess I can NCEP library that - is it an analog ? I don’t think it’s a direct CIPS analog but MLK 2010 was a really marginal airmass that hit the pike/495 belt pretty good with 5-10” of paste with mostly rain elsewhere south and east. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: I don’t think it’s a direct CIPS analog but MLK 2010 was a really marginal airmass that hit the pike/495 belt pretty good with 5-10” of paste with mostly rain elsewhere south and east. Toss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 GFS is meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 looks like it chased convection shocking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 9 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Toss Why? The distribution could be similar. 900-950mb is going to be an issue down south. You might be far enough north but it wouldn’t surprise me if it’s mostly N of pike too. But we’ll see. It’s trended a little bit cooler so far at 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 Gfs is close though. Wouldn’t take much. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 actually did make a jump from 0z though we interior people need this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 Poor Berks and S Greens too far west for the biggie, too far S yesterday. For all the griping that goes on, nobody is further BN and it's probably not close. Maybe this potential torched BL event will start to turn the tide. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HinghamBoss Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 Would love one of these “last minute” surprise storms to break our way. Nice to mix in with the ones we track for 10 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 GEFS east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 Probably won’t amount to anything down here. Feeling quite melty today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 13 minutes ago, radarman said: Poor Berks and S Greens too far west for the biggie, too far S yesterday. For all the griping that goes on, nobody is further BN and it's probably not close. Maybe this potential torched BL event will start to turn the tide. N ORH is prob close. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 20 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Why? The distribution could be similar. 900-950mb is going to be an issue down south. You might be far enough north but it wouldn’t surprise me if it’s mostly N of pike too. But we’ll see. It’s trended a little bit cooler so far at 12z. Because that storm was the biggest melt I’ve ever had. I’ll never forget it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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