Coastal cyclogenesis and minor to moderate impact Feb 8/ 8.5, primarily SE areas ...for now.

[Ginx snewx]

CMC hits Ray to SR to Jeff and Tom Tamarack with 6 to 12

[ineedsnow]

5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

CMC hits Ray to SR to Jeff and Tom Tamarack with 6 to 12

looked weaker hopefully we can get it to strengthen a bit before coming up 

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 hour ago, radarman said:

Poor Berks and S Greens too far west for the biggie, too far S yesterday.  For all the griping that goes on, nobody is further BN and it's probably not close.  Maybe this potential torched BL event will start to turn the tide.

Find an area worse off than I am over the past 4 years...good luck.

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

One of these eventually has to work out lol.

 

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

Gfs is close though. Wouldn’t take much.

Is it....trying?

[Torch Tiger]

12 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Find an area worse off than I am over the past 4 years...good luck.

Funny because I sold in NH and moved back to MA in 2018.    it hasn't been that bad winter-wise honestly

[HoarfrostHubb]

21 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Find an area worse off than I am over the past 4 years...good luck.

But your area makes up for it in damaging droughts, severe, and tropical.   

[40/70 Benchmark]

11 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

Funny because I sold in NH and moved back to MA in 2018.    it hasn't been that bad winter-wise honestly

Yea, I mean...if your aim was to avoid snow in NE, than you've really cornered the market here.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

1 hour ago, radarman said:

Poor Berks and S Greens too far west for the biggie, too far S yesterday.  For all the griping that goes on, nobody is further BN and it's probably not close.  Maybe this potential torched BL event will start to turn the tide.

Nobody cares about us in the northwest corner of Massachusetts.  As long as E SNE gets snow, it’s all bread and f’n roses and everyone should be happy. 
 

[Torch Tiger]

12 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yea, I mean...if your aim was to avoid snow in NE, than you've really cornered the market here.

We have had several good snowstorms since 2018

 

[Typhoon Tip]

Fwiw -

Extended Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
148 AM EST Sat Feb 5 2022

Valid 12Z Tue Feb 8 2022 - 12Z Sat Feb 12 2022

...Weather Highlights/Threats...
 

A developing low pressure system off the Mid-Atlantic coast early
in the week is likely to be close enough to produce a cold rain
across eastern portions of New England and perhaps some snow for
inland locations, depending on the eventual track of the surface
low, so this event will continued to be monitored for future
trends.  Elsewhere across the nation, mainly dry conditions are
expected for most areas, with the exception of some patchy areas
of light snow over the Great Lakes region in association with the
clipper systems, and some showers near the east coast of Florida
with post-frontal onshore flow.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

53 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Find an area worse off than I am over the past 4 years...good luck.

I would have to look at averages but NW MA, S VT and E NY Have to be pretty close. That actually encompasses a lot greater square mileage than your area also.

[PhineasC]

12z Euro shifted a little SE like the CMC but same general idea as prior runs.

[ORH_wxman]

Yeah euro was ok but was hoping for a better trend. Had advisory snows for ORH county and east slope of berks. 

[Damage In Tolland]

4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Yeah euro was ok but was hoping for a better trend. Had advisory snows for ORH county and east slope of berks. 

No improvements interior SNE?

[ORH_wxman]

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

No improvements interior SNE?

No pretty much nothing for your hood. Maybe starts as a few flakes but goes to rain. NW CT sees some. 

[Damage In Tolland]

2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

No pretty much nothing for your hood. Maybe starts as a few flakes but goes to rain. NW CT sees some. 

Did NW CT have any 00z?

[40/70 Benchmark]

19 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

We have had several good snowstorms since 2018

 

Sure, but haven't come within a dozen or so inches of climo snowfall.

[40/70 Benchmark]

17 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

I would have to look at averages but NW MA, S VT and E NY Have to be pretty close. That actually encompasses a lot greater square mileage than your area also.

Yea, well I would need to see the numbers. My assertions are backed up with empirical data.

[Ginx snewx]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Sure, but haven't come within a dozen or so inches of climo snowfall.

My sight is set on PD day/weekend for a very large event leaning heavily to snow so far

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

My sight is set on PD day/weekend for a very large event leaning heavily to snow so far

Cool. We'll see what happens.

[WinterWolf]

9 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

My sight is set on PD day/weekend for a very large event leaning heavily to snow so far

Lock that up cuz I’ll be in Maine sledding that weekend….so it’s happening for sure now cuz I’ll be away. 

[Ginx snewx]

10 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yea, well I would need to see the numbers. My assertions are backed up with empirical data.

Show us the data. Average and then yearly since 18

[WinterWolf]

14 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Did NW CT have any 00z?

Ya we toast I think.  Sad we can’t get anything to work out. Very disappointing to say the least. 

[Ginx snewx]

2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Ya we toast I think.  Sad we can’t get anything to work out. Very disappointing to say the least. 

Driving west to CCt I can see why you guys are down. Different look for sure. Deep winter out east

[HIPPYVALLEY]

5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Driving west to CCt I can see why you guys are down. Different look for sure. Deep winter out east

It is a winter of contrasts across much of  SNE and CNE.  Big differences over relatively small distances.

 

 

[40/70 Benchmark]

9 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Show us the data. Average and then yearly since 18

I average between 60 and 65" per season....knowing you, you are going to want a written creed from NOAA citing that, but I do. Will made a mean annual snowfall map that will validate that.

Here are the data for the past three seasons:

 

All of the data for this year is in my signature.

[512high]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I average between 60 and 65" per season....knowing you, you are going to want a written creed from NOAA citing that, but I do. Will made a mean annual snowfall map that will validate that.

Here are the data for the past three seasons:

 

All of the data for this year is in my signature.

Looking at that total is hard to take in right now(sitting maybe 20" or so) however I am trying to be positive

[Ginx snewx]

7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I average between 60 and 65" per season....knowing you, you are going to want a written creed from NOAA citing that, but I do. Will made a mean annual snowfall map that will validate that.

Here are the data for the past three seasons:

 

All of the data for this year is in my signature.

Really didn't need the dig but thanks. You average about the same as I have since 2000. Kevin's probably 68 to 70 since 2000. My totals for 18/19 19/20 20/21

40.2

25.2 

51

 

It's all in your head dude.

[WinterWolf]

8 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Driving west to CCt I can see why you guys are down. Different look for sure. Deep winter out east

Yes sir.  The big one a week ago missing out this way hurt.  Had we gotten slammed as you guys did, then it world have a much different feel.  But Yesterday was a zero burger. And now this next chance is gonna bone us again too.  Absolutely blows from a winter weather enthusiast perspective that’s for sure.   
 

Heading way up north in two weeks, so I’ll be able to play in it and enjoy it up there. But if there’s any shot at something for us here,  it’ll happen while I’m away I’m sure lmao. Lock that up now for sure. 
 

 

[dendrite]

Could be a nice little quick event here. We’ve been screwed more than Ray on the last few events.