Coastal cyclogenesis and minor to moderate impact Feb 8/ 8.5, primarily SE areas ...for now.

[WinterWolf]

17 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

I was planning on going to bed early now I have to stay up for the 0z models looks like ill be sleeping in tomorrow 

Go to bed pal, check in the morning, all you need to see will be there in the morning. It isn’t an imminent threat, and will probably disappoint anyway. So get some sleep and check when you get up. 

[ineedsnow]

5 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Go to bed pal, check in the morning, all you need to see will be there in the morning. It isn’t an imminent threat, and will probably disappoint anyway. So get some sleep and check when you get up. 

lol I wish I could but I wont be able to.. 

[H2Otown_WX]

1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Kiss of death is when you hear guidance is "trying".

Maybe that should be added to the "Fraud Five"? ...The "Sus Six"?

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, ineedsnow said:

lol I wish I could but I wont be able to.. 

lol..ok I’ll check in the the morning and see what you have to say about the 0z and 6z runs. Thanks in advance!  

[Roger Smith]

That low over the Great Lakes just sits there losing what little energy it ever had, until it almost disappears. For once, you might actually benefit if the Great Lakes low had some energy because that could trigger a coastal reflection instead of what the GFS currently shows as an OTS non-phasing low. 

I think there's a chance, given the faint signals available from other sources. Should see a trend towards this phasing over the weekend if it's going to happen. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

You know it's bad when I lose interest in staying up for models. This season blows just like last three did.

[DavisStraight]

28 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

You know it's bad when I lose interest in staying up for models. This season blows just like last three did.

So far but it's not over so we have hope.

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, DavisStraight said:

So far but it's not over so we have hope.

Visibility unlimited in blowing and drifting hope-

[Go Kart Mozart]

Another little tic on gfs

[Typhoon Tip]

 

“…I'd stress minor to middling affects from this for now”

The alternative is a lot of days of nothin - 

I think folks are attempting to reconcile expectation against present middling  signal, which there is gap there.  I mean it may improve … let that marinate from a position of more modest expectation and the purpose of this might work better for you. 

[ineedsnow]

CMC and RGEM have a little bit of snow ahead of the main system   moves ots but closer

[MJO812]

Zzzzz

[PhineasC]

Just now, MJO812 said:

Zzzzz

Time to focus on healing Brooklyn. No weather for a while and streets are clear of snow and ice. Bring peace to the streets.

[PhineasC]

Op runs clip the Cape with... rain? No clue what you guys are looking at here.

[ineedsnow]

9 minutes ago, PhineasC said:

Op runs clip the Cape with... rain? No clue what you guys are looking at here.

 

[PhineasC]

1 minute ago, ineedsnow said:

 

Snow in NH and Maine? OK, I'll take it.

[ineedsnow]

Just now, PhineasC said:

Snow in NH and Maine? OK, I'll take it.

forms out ahead of the main system

[NeonPeon]

It's definitely trending better, but good lord I'm picking through the trash looking at this.

[SouthCoastMA]

5 hours ago, PhineasC said:

Snow in NH and Maine? OK, I'll take it.

isn't that nice of the SNE weenies to stay up late for you and track a storm that might give some snow to NNE. very thoughtful

[Damage In Tolland]

Some promising ensemble runs last night .. especially west of 95

[ORH_wxman]

Definitely a better trend. Several OP runs now give ORH county over to Ray’s hood several inches. 
 

06z euro looks a little warm for that. Does get interior NH into ME with warning snows though. 

[Ginx snewx]

When did this turn into a 8 to 12 from Phin to  Sunday River to Sugarloaf . Holy moly 06 Euro smokes him

[Ginx snewx]

7 hours ago, PhineasC said:

Snow in NH and Maine? OK, I'll take it.

8 to 12 Euro 

[ORH_wxman]

06z EPS

 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

8 hours ago, PhineasC said:

Op runs clip the Cape with... rain? No clue what you guys are looking at here.

Given this thread has like 3 new posts in 12 hours, I don’t think anyone is really seeing anything exciting down here. Everyone checked out, no delusions 

[CoastalWx]

Yeah the euro guidance looks more for up north.

[bwt3650]

8 hours ago, PhineasC said:

Snow in NH and Maine? OK, I'll take it.

Come west my friend.

[512high]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Yeah the euro guidance looks more for up north.

After yesterdays shi_t show, i was getting excited...

[Damage In Tolland]

4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

06z EPS

 

Why is that not a good overall solution for interior SNE? Even south of Worcester ? I know it’s not cold, but that would seem just cold enough 

[Ginx snewx]

4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

06z EPS

 

It's so close down in SNE. I was thinking about what you and Scott were talking about with lower level 925 being colder than depicted. Let's hope modeling is off on thermals a bit. Positioning argues for a nice little event. Even a bit of east flow. Have to watch closely