cny rider Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 50 minutes ago, LakeEffectKing said: I love the smell of taint!!!! My face is pressed right into it. We are trying to flip from freezing rain to snow right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 9 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Heaviest band in WNY is from Orleans into Erie County. Possible lake enhancement. I wonder how hard its snowing right on the edge north of toronto. 15F here now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Not gonna lie, horrible flake size here, despite decent radar returns, this is what i feared. Been SN- for 7 hrs, maybe 2 inches. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 3, 2022 Author Share Posted February 3, 2022 Storm already exceeding expectations here. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 9 minutes ago, Syrmax said: Not gonna lie, horrible flake size here, despite decent radar returns, this is what i feared. Been SN- for 7 hrs, maybe 2 inches. but the kuchera maps 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 44 minutes ago, Buffalo Bumble said: Turned into “storm snow” here around 3pm (good flake size, nice rates, bit of fog thrown in…storm snow). Continues to come done nice and steady. About 6” storm total so far. Same 6.1” as if a few minutes ago. A foot seems like a formality. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 3, 2022 Author Share Posted February 3, 2022 2 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: Same 6.1” as if a few minutes ago. A foot seems like a formality. 6.9" here. Definitely getting 10-15" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 12 minutes ago, Syrmax said: Not gonna lie, horrible flake size here, despite decent radar returns, this is what i feared. Been SN- for 7 hrs, maybe 2 inches. whats your visibility? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 1 minute ago, tombo82685 said: but the kuchera maps Jeez guys. We freaking know the Kuchera maps are bullshit. We’ve said it all along and posted in good fun. We also get that you don’t think the storm will overperform or meet expectations and that your snowflakes are shit. Congrats? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 1 minute ago, BuffaloWeather said: Storm already exceeding expectations here. BW I was just snow blowing the driveway and the thought occurred to me that this past 5 weeks have been truly epic in most of WNY. We will again be close to 20” otg after this event and I can’t remember the last time, probably ‘14-‘15 when there the snowpack was this deep area wide. Truly amazing!!! Taking the kids to ellicotville this weekend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 3, 2022 Author Share Posted February 3, 2022 16 minutes ago, mississaugasnow said: I wonder how hard its snowing right on the edge north of toronto. 15F here now Looks like moderate snow https://www.earthcam.com/world/canada/toronto/cntower/?cam=cntower2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 1 minute ago, 96blizz said: Jeez guys. We freaking know the Kuchera maps are bullshit. We’ve said it all along and posted in good fun. We also get that you don’t think the storm will overperform or meet expectations and that your snowflakes are shit. Congrats? Who said it wouldn't meet expectations? I was generally thinking 6-12 from this and that looks legit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 3, 2022 Author Share Posted February 3, 2022 2 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: BW I was just snow blowing the driveway and the thought occurred to me that this past 5 weeks have been truly epic in most of WNY. We will again be close to 20” otg after this event and I can’t remember the last time, probably ‘14-‘15 when there the snowpack was this deep area wide. Truly amazing!!! Taking the kids to ellicotville this weekend. Going cross country skiing in Alleghany on Sunday and hopefully holiday valley Mon/Tues night. Did you see the intense milk deal? Its 2 passes for $42 for Mon/Tues from 330-10. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 1 minute ago, tombo82685 said: Who said it wouldn't meet expectations? I was generally thinking 6-12 from this and that looks legit. Felt like a pretty overt dig. If I’m wrong, I apologize. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 42 minutes ago, winter_rules said: Well I’m impressed with the models. For days now, most models showed a brutal cutoff right along the I-88 corridor and that seems to be verifying. It has been in the 30s all day and is currently 32° and raining. Just brutal to have lost a lot of the snowpack today AND not have much hope of even getting back to where we started by the end of the storm. I hope everyone N and W of me is enjoying it! Yup...31.5° and steady rain here. No ice accretion yet. Fook this storm. Had a feeling the high-res mesos were on to something (though even some of the Hrrr and wrf runs were bullish on snow down here). Should have ignored the lower res operationals (save maybe the CMC) showing mainly snow to the state line. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Moderate snow in Cicero at 6:50 PM, around 1.5 inches OTG Temp 23.7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Just now, 96blizz said: Felt like a pretty overt dig. If I’m wrong, I apologize. It's tough tell on here if people legitimately took the kuchera was going to happen or not. Thats all I saw being posted really, so felt like that was expectations. Maybe I misread it. I said it a day or two ago this looked like a nice 6-12 event IMO and that was my expecation. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 1 minute ago, BGM Blizzard said: Yup...31.5° and steady rain here. No ice accretion yet. Fook this storm. Had a feeling the high-res mesos were on to something. Should have ignored the lower res operationals showing mainly snow to the state line. its the same thing with the cutoff storm, when you get mixing events, don't use the globals. the mesos will seek out those warm layers way better. I thought the cold press would get your back yard more in line, but looks to be just north of you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Flake size near the taint is ok...was better earlier...but there are a few fluff bombs mixed in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 2 minutes ago, tombo82685 said: It's tough tell on here if people legitimately took the kuchera was going to happen or not. Thats all I saw being posted really, so felt like that was expectations. Maybe I misread it. I said it a day or two ago this looked like a nice 6-12 event IMO and that was my expecation. I thought I was pretty open about how I knew they were off and I do it for fun and the “present value of happiness” but maybe I will just avoid posting them going forward to save any misinterpretation by anyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 2 minutes ago, LakeEffectKing said: Flake size near the taint is ok...was better earlier...but there are a few fluff bombs mixed in. Looks like it's made it into southern Madison now but you should be good in the west central area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 1 minute ago, BGM Blizzard said: Looks like it's made it into southern Madison now but you should be good in the west central area. Whats its doing where you ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 7 minutes ago, tombo82685 said: its the same thing with the cutoff storm, when you get mixing events, don't use the globals. the mesos will seek out those warm layers way better. I thought the cold press would get your back yard more in line, but looks to be just north of you Rgem and Nam ftw (down here atleast) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 6 minutes ago, tim123 said: Whats its doing where you ? Rain and 31.3° 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Polarbear Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 17 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Storm already exceeding expectations here. Im always amazed to see how bright it in other places compared to my hole in the wall. It’s pitch black even with my motion lights on… lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 14 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Going cross country skiing in Alleghany on Sunday and hopefully holiday valley Mon/Tues night. Did you see the intense milk deal? Its 2 passes for $42 for Mon/Tues from 330-10. Yeah I thought it was a typo! Taking my son and going with his friend and his dad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 1 minute ago, BGM Blizzard said: Looks like it's made it into southern Madison now but you should be good in the west central area. Yeah, it going pretty good now... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 Just measured 8.2”. This storm is a banger man! Just DUMPING out there. Better flake size and snowing at probably 1.5”/hr. Radar looks beautiful. Bout to go out and snow blow! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cny rider Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 9 minutes ago, BGM Blizzard said: Rain and 31.3° 31F, dew 30F, rain here. Ice accreting on trees. This is going to get ugly for someone if we don't flip to snow or sleet soon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PerintonMan Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 4"-ish on the ground, teeny tiny flakes, but coming down at a decent clip. (Super scientific I know) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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