vortmax Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 1 minute ago, BuffaloWeather said: A general 8-16" across WNY. A solid hit across the area with it being mainly 1:10 ratios. Still more to go: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 Models definitely busted high on total precipitation.. WPC had the whole area at around 1"-1.25" of total precipitation which clearly didn't happen.. Downsloping did take place right where the models had it, lacona only picked up 2.9" of snow.. Here idk, didn't measure lol But it was enough to at least get me some morning exercise with the blower... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 4, 2022 Author Share Posted February 4, 2022 1 minute ago, wolfie09 said: Models definitely busted high on total precipitation.. WPC had the whole area at around 1"-1.25" of total precipitation which clearly didn't happen.. Downsloping did take place right where the models had it, lacona only picked up 2.9" of snow.. Here idk, didn't measure lol But it was enough to at least get me some morning exercise with the blower... I think it verified here 2/3 2/4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 1 minute ago, BuffaloWeather said: I think it verified here 2/3 2/4 Yes, we know. Western NY is awesome this winter....... lol 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 3 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Models definitely busted high on total precipitation.. WPC had the whole area at around 1"-1.25" of total precipitation which clearly didn't happen.. Downsloping did take place right where the models had it, lacona only picked up 2.9" of snow.. Here idk, didn't measure lol But it was enough to at least get me some morning exercise with the blower... wasn't that forecast for the entire event? What fell wednesday night into Thursday AM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 2 minutes ago, tombo82685 said: wasn't that forecast for the entire event? What fell wednesday night into Thursday AM? Rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 2 hours ago, Ottawa Blizzard said: I didn't actually lose much of my snowpack. I'd say I have about a foot of snow on the ground. Snowbanks are so high that it's hard to see when backing out of the driveway. Nice! I have about 11" on the ground now. the last 5" though is pure cement. Last night during a walk you could still feel like the slush under the dry powder. After looking at the long range I think its almost a lock that Toronto and Buffalo have snow cover for all of February 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 5 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Rain. No I’m talking qpf wise. Wpc had 1-1.25 but he showed the map for last 24hrs. What fell prior qpf wise? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 7 minutes ago, tombo82685 said: wasn't that forecast for the entire event? What fell wednesday night into Thursday AM? Yeah forgot about that, was still a little low, at least compared to WPC forecast but not terrible.. GFS and Euro probably did the best even though they may of still been to high for northern Oswego... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 1 minute ago, tombo82685 said: No I’m talking qpf wise. Wpc had 1-1.25 but he showed the map for last 24hrs. What fell prior qpf wise? No, I was being a dork. Who cares about rain? I pretend it didn't happen. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 GFS actually predicted the downsloping best out of the globals and NAM/Rgem.. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 Looks like a more solid area of snow starting to form to the south and west of CNY and moving this way. Perhaps this brings us another 1 to 3 inches this PM. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 4, 2022 Author Share Posted February 4, 2022 16 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Yes, we know. Western NY is awesome this winter....... lol I like to do model verification after. Want to see which ones did the best lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 2 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: I like to do model verification after. Want to see which ones did the best lol. The Canadians clearly failed me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 lowville coop melted down .6 with 8" of snow. Not sure if that liquid number is right, but thats like 30-1 ratios. Seems pretty high honestly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 Check out the cool sat view of Superior. The loop is even better. Multiple mesos... https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=local-LakeSuperior-02-24-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 2 minutes ago, vortmax said: Check out the cool sat view of Superior. The loop is even better. Multiple mesos... https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=local-LakeSuperior-02-24-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined Awesome shot! Seems like the winds are keeping them out over the lake. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said: Highest totals were Lockport and perrysburg with 16.8” and 16.5”. Highest in Erie was 13.6” https://kamala.cod.edu/ny/latest.nous41.KBUF.html Someone in Lockport does not know how to measure…either the spotter who measured 16.8” measured twice or the spotter that measured 9.6 needs a new method… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 17 minutes ago, vortmax said: Check out the cool sat view of Superior. The loop is even better. Multiple mesos... https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=local-LakeSuperior-02-24-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined Its like a colidascope. Ha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 4, 2022 Author Share Posted February 4, 2022 2 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: Someone in Lockport does not know how to measure…either the spotter who measured 16.8” measured twice or the spotter that measured 9.6 needs a new method… Well they are 3-4 miles apart. The one that measured higher was closer to Lake Ontario and likely had lake enhanced totals while the other was 2.3” Ese of Lockport. Also if you weren’t measuring every 6 Hours with this pixie your totals would be much lower as it compacted quick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 1 minute ago, BuffaloWeather said: Well they are 3-4 miles apart. The one that measured higher was closer to Lake Ontario and likely had lake enhanced totals while the other was 2.3” Ese of Lockport. Also if you weren’t measuring every 6 Hours with this pixie your totals would be much lower as it compacted quick. That’s why I wonder if their method of measuring was sloppy or incorrect. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 4, 2022 Author Share Posted February 4, 2022 3 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: That’s why I wonder if their method of measuring was sloppy or incorrect 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 My P&C forecast (aligns with mesos, but not their snow map)...which to believe?? Yet the WSW only goes until 1PM. This Afternoon Snow before 5pm, then snow showers likely after 5pm. High near 21. North wind 11 to 17 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total daytime snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible. Tonight Snow showers likely before 8pm, then snow between 8pm and 4am, then snow showers likely after 4am. Low around 12. North wind 5 to 13 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 4, 2022 Author Share Posted February 4, 2022 Moderate snow falling here, heavy snow just to my SE. This stuff adds up quick with better size dendrites. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 37 minutes ago, tombo82685 said: lowville coop melted down .6 with 8" of snow. Not sure if that liquid number is right, but thats like 30-1 ratios. Seems pretty high honestly. Agree. Noone was reporting ratios that high upstate. Maybe one of the hilltops on the Chattaqua ridge saw that but that's about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 16 minutes ago, vortmax said: My P&C forecast (aligns with mesos, but not their snow map)...which to believe?? Yet the WSW only goes until 1PM. This Afternoon Snow before 5pm, then snow showers likely after 5pm. High near 21. North wind 11 to 17 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total daytime snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible. Tonight Snow showers likely before 8pm, then snow between 8pm and 4am, then snow showers likely after 4am. Low around 12. North wind 5 to 13 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possible. I find point and click is better. Updated more often than the stupid maps. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 Snow has really picked up. What wave are we on now? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 9 minutes ago, Syrmax said: Agree. Noone was reporting ratios that high upstate. Maybe one of the hilltops on the Chattaqua ridge saw that but that's about it. Maybe I'm missing something here lol 0.6" of liquid x 30/1 ratios would be 18" of snow.. Ratios would be more in line of 13/1.. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 Kevin Williams fb page. Local legendary met 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 See this is why I post unrealistic Kuchera maps during the tracking. It’s a sliver of happiness before we have to measure and melt the snow and actually be honest. It’s like seeing analysts pick your favorite NFL team to win. You know it don’t mean shit but you still smile in the moment. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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