CNY_WX Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Snowfall picking up here along with flake size. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Just now, TugHillMatt said: Good flakes size now and snow is laying...even on paved surfaces....our time has finally come! Is...is...is...is this a positive post?!?!?!?!? 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Maybe our big dog for the season. Think we will still get another decent event between Feb 15 to March 15. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 1 minute ago, CNY_WX said: Snowfall picking up here along with flake size. Ditto in Cicero ; down to 30.7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 45 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: Yeah, it actually takes a lot of the fun out of storms with how well things are handled around here. Some nights when I'm out chasing I get so sad when I see a plow ruining all the fun. Would love to have a storm where there were no plows or salts trucks for 24 hours. Just let that snow pile up on the roads! 1000%. Nothing worse than the sound of splashing water as the cars go by on a main road during a snowstorm! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PerintonMan Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 10 minutes ago, Syrmax said: HRRR Bullish...this is out at end of its run, 18 hrs, with more to follow. Yeah this is kind of what I'm saying. The jackpot zone isn't going to be BUF-SYR (though the whole region will cash in pretty well). It's going to be just north of the mix line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 1 minute ago, PerintonMan said: Yeah this is kind of what I'm saying. The jackpot zone isn't going to be BUF-SYR (though the whole region will cash in pretty well). It's going to be just north of the mix line. Ratios down there will be lower. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 1 minute ago, PerintonMan said: Yeah this is kind of what I'm saying. The jackpot zone isn't going to be BUF-SYR (though the whole region will cash in pretty well). It's going to be just north of the mix line. For sure that razor thin line will have maximas - but not far to the North and West of that - ratios will be a bit better - likely making things a bit more uniform than it looks. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cny rider Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 12 minutes ago, Syrmax said: HRRR Bullish...this is out at end of its run, 18 hrs, with more to follow. Does that snowfall map count sleet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 1 minute ago, PerintonMan said: Yeah this is kind of what I'm saying. The jackpot zone isn't going to be BUF-SYR (though the whole region will cash in pretty well). It's going to be just north of the mix line. Once you factor in better ratios from BUF to ROC well all do about the same. We already have 5” here. I’m fully expecting another 7-10” here which would put us at 12”+ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Rap really increased totals 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PerintonMan Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 1 minute ago, tim123 said: Ratios down there will be lower. 1 minute ago, 96blizz said: For sure that razor thin line will have maximas - but not far to the North and West of that - ratios will be a bit better - likely making things a bit more uniform than it looks. 1 minute ago, lakeeffectkid383 said: Once you factor in better ratios from BUF to ROC well all do about the same. We already have 5” here. I’m fully expecting another 7-10” here which would put us at 12”+ Yes, yes, I get it. Thanks, folks. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Probably only a new inch on the ground here so far, max diurnal heating right now which is hurting us. Things should really ramp up later this afternoon with sunset and the primary push of moisture. I can see some subtle hints of lake enhancement on a NNE wind. I'm being patient with such a nice long duration event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 5 minutes ago, PerintonMan said: Yes, yes, I get it. Thanks, folks. The only redeeming quality of us ramming that point home was they were ALL at the same time - meaning we are really ridiclous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 28 minutes ago, Syrmax said: This seems rambunctious for snowfall but I like the totals out at the edge near Rochester, LOL! You REALLY hate this storm. Why have you been dragging your feet on this one? Reverse psychology? Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 3rd hour of moderate snow down to 27 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Just now, tim123 said: 3rd hour of moderate snow down to 27 You must have an astonishing number of screen captures on your phone. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxNoob Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Nice band working its way north toward Ithaca now. Snow really starting to pick up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Euro 10:1. Have we talked about ratios yet? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 1 minute ago, 96blizz said: Euro 10:1. Have we talked about ratios yet? This map certainly has the most reasonable numbers. Seems like Buffalo will go higher than those but overall I think this is where we end up. A great storm for almost this whole forum (Sorry Catskills posters ) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Nice to see for once models increase qpf 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattny88 Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Wonder if news Channel 9 will increase there snow totals as well in there 5pm news broadcast based on the latest model runs? I tend to notice they always seem a tad conservative with there totals vs nbc3 and news channel 5... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Really coming down with really good flake size. This looks like an old fashioned snowstorm! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 9 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: This map certainly has the most reasonable numbers. Seems like Buffalo will go higher than those but overall I think this is where we end up. A great storm for almost this whole forum (Sorry Catskills posters ) For fun... Here's a Kuchera. Remember, the snowiest maps can make people happy in the moment. Weenies rejoice. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 31 minutes ago, PerintonMan said: Yeah this is kind of what I'm saying. The jackpot zone isn't going to be BUF-SYR (though the whole region will cash in pretty well). It's going to be just north of the mix line. Yeah, I'm pretty close in Cax...but I think Jack's might be shared with S. shore of L. Ontario as ratios go up on Friday...probably pushing 20+" there... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 15z rapid refresh shows that 3rd wave really well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
champy Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 12 minutes ago, tim123 said: 15z rapid refresh shows that 3rd wave really well. why stop with 3? Lets go for 4 and 5! Hell, lets keep this front here until march, just send storms up it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 18 minutes ago, mattny88 said: Wonder if news Channel 9 will increase there snow totals as well in there 5pm news broadcast based on the latest model runs? I tend to notice they always seem a tad conservative with there totals vs nbc3 and news channel 5... I noticed that too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 12 minutes ago, 96blizz said: For fun... Here's a Kuchera. Remember, the snowiest maps can make people happy in the moment. Weenies rejoice. I stay away from kuchera as it just sets you up for disappointment, usually. There are times though that it picks up on lower ratio situations. We saw that last winter with one storm I sort of recall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 1 minute ago, Syrmax said: I stay away from kuchera as it just sets you up for disappointment, usually. There are times though that it picks up on lower ratio situations. We saw that last winter with one storm I sort of recall. So do you think this will underperform? It's been challenging to decipher where you stand... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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