tim123 Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 On 2/3/2022 at 1:52 PM, rochesterdave said: Got to hand it to the models on this one. Really locked in several days ago and didn’t change to much. Which performed the best (so far)? Expand Rgem 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 The NAM will probably spit 15” for some at 10:1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 On 2/3/2022 at 1:54 PM, 96blizz said: The schools here could be in a bit of a quagmire. They just left but it could get hairy later… Expand Yeah. All this blather about, “it’s going to be manageable, it’s going to be in light bits and pieces”. Nope, it’s gonna snow like wild for a bit this afternoon through early Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 On 2/3/2022 at 1:56 PM, LakeEffectKing said: Relative to lead times, all the models did fairly well.. They all wavered a bit but at times showed the general idea. Over the last day and a 1/2 the euro seemed pretty steady. But then again, verification hasn't happened yet, lol! Expand LOL. Yeah we are nowhere near being able to validate any model for.this event. The biggest loser *could* be the GFS which IIRC was pretty far SE with its heavier snow totals for many runs. Not sure what the latest is, it may have ended up correcting a but. But...we shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 It is a currier and ives post card. I’d say just below moderate snow in Pittsford. 32F on the dot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Looking at the latest NAM, I’m real glad I’m headed to NORTHERN VT. Southern half looks to be in jeopardy. Unfortunately, I think it translates to warmer for our Binghamton friends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Nam has 3rd wave vort. Lol. That actually is huge in regards to lake enhanced. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 The 12Z NAM is really lingering the snow through Friday afternoon for central and most of W. New York. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 NAM cutoff is insanity. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 On 2/3/2022 at 2:09 PM, LakeEffectKing said: The 12Z NAM is really lingering the snow through Friday afternoon for central New York. Expand Lovely. LET’S GO!!!! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 850 aren't really cold. Minus 8 to 10. But you don't need traditional parameters for good lake enhanced. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 NWS really starting to love on the lake shore. Ehem. Ehem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWeather Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 0.44" of rain in the tube this morning in Rome. Was a bit surprised. Saw a transition to snow around 8:30 am but last check it was rain again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 On 2/3/2022 at 2:08 PM, tim123 said: Nam has 3rd wave vort. Lol. That actually is huge in regards to lake enhanced. Expand I agree. The south shore of lake Ontario with the higher ratios later in the event, may jackpot. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 On 2/3/2022 at 2:09 PM, LakeEffectKing said: The 12Z NAM is really lingering the snow through Friday afternoon for central and most of W. New York. Expand I saw same on latest GFS and Euro runs. Looks promising. Some have had this event over by 12Z tomorrow for CNY... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Hour 36 still goin. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 On 2/3/2022 at 1:54 PM, 96blizz said: The schools here could be in a bit of a quagmire. They just left but it could get hairy later… Expand Just flipped over to snow here in the last 15 minutes. It looks like many schools have closed for the day even though there is yet to be any accumulation in the Syracuse area. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 I'm driving to work, And at about 900' above sea level, From 1200' in Cazanovia, It switched to rain with a few flakes mixed in around Chittenango. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Hour 39. Still goin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Boy, this is gonna be a good one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 We need to get surface temperatures down a few degrees to start getting accumulations. It’s still in the mid 30s here and surfaces are wet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Hour 45 winds goin nw. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 On 2/3/2022 at 2:19 PM, rochesterdave said: Boy, this is gonna be a good one. Expand I'm jealous Nothing like 2 days worth of snow Enjoy 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 We'll call it a "steady" snow, mercury down to 31.5°.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Nam keeps lake snow goin southeast of ontario till Saturday afternoon. Lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Cicero has begun to snow Hoping for a foot of snow 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PerintonMan Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 When my son woke up at 3:30 this morning, driveway was still wet. Woke up at 7 am and trees coated, maybe 0.5-1" on the ground by now in SE Monroe County and steadily snowing at work in Rochester. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Meso models 18 to 24 South shore. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 3, 2022 Author Share Posted February 3, 2022 On 2/3/2022 at 1:37 PM, lakeeffectkid383 said: Were already at almost 3” in the southtowns and we’ll likely see another 1-2” before the real good come this afternoon and tonight. I see double digits here by tomorrow midday. Expand Look at that train of snow to the SE, definitely getting a foot as ratios improve. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cny rider Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 On 2/3/2022 at 2:10 PM, Ericjcrash said: NAM cutoff is insanity. Expand That is really tight. I'm in north central Otsego County. Forecasting over a foot on the northern end of the county, down to very little at the southern end. Let's see how this verifies. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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