CNY_WX Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Heavy rain at KBUF but winds have shifted to the northwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 On 2/3/2022 at 2:29 AM, champy said: What? What about that storm last year when you guys pushed 30" and we smoked the length of a Vienna sausage up here in sizzle? Expand I'm talking about over a much shorter distance of 5-10 miles. And we pushed 44" that storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 01Z RAP for CNY thru 22Z tomorrow. Basically as much rain as snow, 0.4" liquid. Look at that min over Freak's place. LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Maybe just a little noise in models but looks like a tiny bump nw on all of the meso models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Did anyone notice the temp just go up? Because I'm baaaaaaaaack. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 On 2/3/2022 at 2:43 AM, Buffalo Bumble said: First signs of snow in the streetlight here! Full flip in progress. Expand Impressive that your area is cold enough to snow and about 4 miles from you it’s pouring and upper 30’s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_rules Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 On 2/3/2022 at 1:55 AM, BGM Blizzard said: 0z hrrr precip is done by 18z Friday. Razor thin gradient here. I'm just west of the 8.5, right on tioga county line in the 10" shade. Can't ever remember a synoptic storm around here where totals could be 2-3x different over a several mile stretch. Expand I’m just SE of the 4.8 near Sidney. Squarely in the 1” minus. Super excited about that…. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 On 2/3/2022 at 2:49 AM, Thinksnow18 said: Impressive that your area is cold enough to snow and about 4 miles from you it’s pouring and upper 30’s Expand Give it about 5 minutes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 On 2/3/2022 at 2:47 AM, Syrmax said: 01Z RAP for CNY thru 22Z tomorrow. Basically as much rain as snow, 0.4" liquid. Expand When you look at the Wunderground temps, it's literally in the 30s in every direction from the Sizzle and we are in this pocket of lower 40s right now. South winds here drive me bananas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 On 2/3/2022 at 2:49 AM, Thinksnow18 said: Impressive that your area is cold enough to snow and about 4 miles from you it’s pouring and upper 30’s Expand Its coming through fast now again. Looks like it got hung up again just NE of Buffalo for a bit but its moving again now. I think we flip to frozen mix by 11pm. Snowpack is holding strong! The smaller piles are getting hit but the untouched pack area is still a solid 7" was 10" prior to warmup. It will hold! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 On 2/3/2022 at 2:46 AM, CNY_WX said: Heavy rain at KBUF but winds have shifted to the northwest. Expand When do you think Brewerton, Clay, Lysander, Pulaski and Cicero Flip? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 On 2/3/2022 at 2:52 AM, TugHillMatt said: When you look at the Wunderground temps, it's literally in the 30s in every direction from the Sizzle and we are in this pocket of lower 40s right now. South winds here drive me bananas. Expand Prepare for extended rains and a snow minima. 6-7" at KSYZ is my call. We may eke out an extra inch NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 On 2/3/2022 at 2:51 AM, winter_rules said: I’m just SE of the 4.8 near Sidney. Squarely in the 1” minus. Super excited about that…. Expand Yeah... going to be nowcasting event for our area. Could go either way. Will have to see how things trend starting tomorrow morning real time as compared to the modeling. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
champy Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 On 2/3/2022 at 2:46 AM, BGM Blizzard said: I'm talking about over a much shorter distance of 5-10 miles. And we pushed 44" that storm. Expand Oh 44. I feel much better now thanks! 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 On 2/3/2022 at 2:53 AM, sferic said: When do you think Brewerton, Clay, Lysander, Pulaski and Cicero Flip? Expand Depends if that front continues its quick jaunt that it all of a sudden started and when it starts to slow down. As long as we continue to get the warm farts off the hills to the south, we will be rain. My guess is it will begin flipping between 6 and 9 am. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 On 2/3/2022 at 2:53 AM, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Its coming through fast now again. Looks like it got hung up again just NE of Buffalo for a bit but its moving again now. I think we flip to frozen mix by 11pm. Snowpack is holding strong! The smaller piles are getting hit but the untouched pack area is still a solid 7" was 10" prior to warmup. It will hold! Expand Yes it has flipped. Not pure snow yet but definitely dendrites 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 On 2/3/2022 at 2:55 AM, Syrmax said: Prepare for extended rains and a snow minima. 6-7" at KSYZ is my call. We may eke out an extra inch NW. Expand Wow, you're being pretty miserly about this. Skeptical of our ability to get good snowfalls anymore? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 On 2/3/2022 at 2:56 AM, TugHillMatt said: Depends if that front continues its quick jaunt that it all of a sudden started and when it starts to slow down. As long as we continue to get the warm farts off the hills to the south, we will be rain. My guess is it will begin flipping between 6 and 9 am. Expand Agree, we will flip about 7-8 a.m. after most precip from first wave has moved thru. After that SN- and cloudy till evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Looking forward to seeing how that line progresses across the state. Keep it moving! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 On 2/3/2022 at 2:57 AM, TugHillMatt said: Wow, you're being pretty miserly about this. Skeptical of our ability to get good snowfalls anymore? Expand I don't think there's much Omega and alignment with DGZ is spotty at best. All of the initial wave qpf will be wasted on rain. There's no way I buy the 12" numbers some models have here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 On 2/3/2022 at 3:00 AM, Syrmax said: I don't think there's much Omega and alignment with DGZ is spotty at best. All of the initial wave qpf will be wasted on rain. There's no way I buy the 12" numbers some models have here. Expand That's a legit response...and one that I am hoping is wrong! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Looks like it's pushing SE. NW Monroe cty through BUF city proper. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Arws drop 20 to 24 Hamilton to sodus bay. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 One Meso gives bmg 0.6. The other 9. Right on that line bmg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Looks like moderate snow and things getting covered already on the Elmwood cam there in Buffalo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stash Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 On 2/3/2022 at 2:55 AM, champy said: Oh 44. I feel much better now thanks! Expand I hit 30" for that storm up here, and even I felt inadequate compared to what he got, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 On 2/3/2022 at 3:14 AM, tim123 said: Expand WTF are u posting here? Try doing some basic editing? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 3, 2022 Author Share Posted February 3, 2022 Still a 8" snow depth here despite 2 days straight of 40s and had to be 1/2" of rain tonight. That last storm had crazy liquid in it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 On 2/3/2022 at 3:20 AM, Syrmax said: WTF are u posting here? Try doing some basic editing? Expand On 2/3/2022 at 3:03 AM, tim123 said: Arws drop 20 to 24 Hamilton to sodus bay. Expand Should've combined the posts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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