wolfie09 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 You can also look at Kuchera from the bottom of "winter weather".. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Wow. GFS increased totals. That little hole over Rochester is some kinda cosmic retribution. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Just now, wolfie09 said: You can also look at Kuchera from the bottom of "winter weather".. Oh cool. Didn’t know that. Thx man! …also there was some cake topping for some areas with backend lake stuff. Fill GFS output for the weenies. In SYR matches closest to the GGEM!! @TugHillMatt here we go!! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 1 minute ago, rochesterdave said: Wow. GFS increased totals. That little hole over Rochester is some kinda cosmic retribution. Haha this is some kind of revenge from CNY on S.Ontario. Heavy rain now expected to last until midnight with 1-3cm or under 1” during the night and 2-5cm tomorrow. So storm will now go from 8-16” modelled a few days ago to 2-3” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 1 minute ago, 96blizz said: Oh cool. Didn’t know that. Thx man! …also there was some cake topping for some areas with backend lake stuff. Fill GFS output for the weenies. In SYR matches closest to the GGEM!! @TugHillMatt here we go!! Divide that shit by 2. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Tomorrow night has the potential for some decent rates wherever this heavier stuff goes..Here I'll be dealing with downsloping on and off so "only" expecting the lower end of the 8"-12" forecast.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 2, 2022 Author Share Posted February 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, mississaugasnow said: Haha this is some kind of revenge from CNY on S.Ontario. Heavy rain now expected to last until midnight with 1-3cm or under 1” during the night and 2-5cm tomorrow. So storm will now go from 8-16” modelled a few days ago to 2-3” Yeah but the last one went from 6" to 20". Everything balances out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Funny, I've been so busy at work, I haven't had time to keep up with you guys on here. All I know is Syracuse is primed for our best snow event in a while and Syrmax is still trolling with talks of thaws, rains, and 2:1 snow ratios. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, Syrmax said: Divide that shit by 2. Must you piss in our pre-storm, non realistic Cheerios? 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 18z gfs was a wet run. Wow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 2, 2022 Author Share Posted February 2, 2022 A collection of new maps from KBUF. 40% chance of 12"+ is a pretty good storm for the area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Just now, BGM Blizzard said: 18z gfs was a wet run. Wow. It’s honestly just like the 12z GGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Lol not to be that Debbie but I’d be careful with those numbers. Detroits storm evaporated. Transition events in GL region is tough and normally slower. A lot riding on that 2nd wave. Detroit snowed all day and saw 2” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 The snow line looks about 50 miles further west from where most models had it at 5pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 4 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: A collection of new maps from KBUF. 40% chance of 12"+ is a pretty good storm for the area. Note that these maps and BGM only go to 1PM on Friday. Could be some extra backend stuff (that sounds naughty) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 HRRR flips buff around 11pm for whatever it's worth.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 3 minutes ago, mississaugasnow said: Lol not to be that Debbie but I’d be careful with those numbers. Detroits storm evaporated. Transition events in GL region is tough and normally slower. A lot riding on that 2nd wave. Detroit snowed all day and saw 2” 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Just now, mississaugasnow said: The snow line looks about 50 miles further west from where most models had it at 5pm Luckily, we are mostly waiting on the second wave which has better dynamics and should be cold by then. I think a bust for most of us would still be 7-8”, as offered by NWS low end. Sorry it didn’t work out up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Dew points well below freezing throughout WNY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 2, 2022 Author Share Posted February 2, 2022 Was over in Great Lakes forum and didn't realize how bad Detroit snowfall climo is. In the 2014-2015 year I had like 6 events over a foot in one winter at my place. KBUF had 2 in January alone and potential for a 3rd with this event. We're spoiled over here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Just now, rochesterdave said: Luckily, we are mostly waiting on the second wave which has better dynamics and should be cold by then. I think a bust for most of us would still be 7-8”, as offered by NWS low end. Sorry it didn’t work out up there. I think for SE MI and Ontario crowd is that we both got threaded by wave 1 and 2. 1 was north and 2 south. That’s why immediate border cities like Buffalo-Niagara need a bit more amped system. I think Rochester sits pretty good 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 1 minute ago, BuffaloWeather said: Was over in Great Lakes forum and didn't realize how bad Detroit snowfall climo is. In the 2014-2015 year I had like 6 events over a foot in one winter at my place. KBUF had 2 in January alone and potential for a 3rd with this event. Ya Toronto and Detroit are similar. Toronto got lucky two weeks but there’s a reason why 12-20” paralyzed the city and the clean up wasn’t even finished two weeks later haha 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossbowftw3 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Instead of the good stuff I’m at risk of .25”-.5” of ice accretions have fun with the good stuff 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 2, 2022 Author Share Posted February 2, 2022 Changover has begun west of Toronto. I think we changeover 10-11 tonight across far west WNY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 8 minutes ago, 96blizz said: Haha I’m ready for spring now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 4 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Changover has begun west of Toronto. I think we changeover 10-11 tonight across far west WNY. I don’t believe it’s changed for the last few hours. Hopefully the front speeds up for you guys but the weather network doesn’t have snow in Hamilton until 9-10pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 2, 2022 Author Share Posted February 2, 2022 Just now, mississaugasnow said: I don’t believe it’s changed for the last few hours. Hopefully the front speeds up for you guys but the weather network doesn’t have snow in Hamilton until 9-10pm 9 minutes ago, snowstormcanuck said: Transitioning to snow here on the west side of TO. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Interesting Pearson still reporting 35F and rain. But Toronto has large geographical area so changeover would probably start north of 407 and then make its way to lake. Island is still 36-37F and rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 21z rap 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 2, 2022 Author Share Posted February 2, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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