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February Medium/Long Range Discussion


snowmagnet
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4 minutes ago, CAPE said:

Yeah I don't remember it melting that fast. Ofc the height of it here was late afternoon I think with the deform band.

We got nailed with the first part here. Solid 7 inches and temperatures fell into the 20's midday with heavy snow. Then the lull and snow starting again before the next morning and snowed all day. Picked up another 7 inches or so. I recorded 15 for the event but don't think we ever had more than 11-12 inches on the ground. Very impressive storm for so late. Snow had no problem sticking to paved surfaces both days during the afternoons.

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35 minutes ago, HighStakes said:

We got nailed with the first part here. Solid 7 inches and temperatures fell into the 20's midday with heavy snow. Then the lull and snow starting again before the next morning and snowed all day. Picked up another 7 inches or so. I recorded 15 for the event but don't think we ever had more than 11-12 inches on the ground. Very impressive storm for so late. Snow had no problem sticking to paved surfaces both days during the afternoons.

I went back and looked at my photos and it was more of an all day event here on the 21st, but didn't really get going good until early afternoon. Heaviest was late afternoon into the early evening.

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52 minutes ago, CAPE said:

Yeah I don't remember it melting that fast. Ofc the height of it here was late afternoon I think with the deform band.

I live south and west of most in the forum, so it was over by morning.  Although I do have 1550' in elevation, the temps that day rose to mid 40s and the sun came out in force.  The kids and I sledded on it while it was melting and marveled at how fast 7" could disappear.

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2 minutes ago, CAPE said:

At this juncture I would put my money(about a dollar) on the March 8-12 window for a possible modest to moderate winter storm based on the currently advertised pattern progression on the means.

You trying to get a third storm thread named after you? Lol, but you’ve been a great poster this year consistently calling out windows for threats. 

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1 minute ago, SnowenOutThere said:

You trying to get a third storm thread named after you? Lol, but you’ve been a great poster this year consistently calling out windows for threats. 

It's a crapshoot, and it wasn't my idea to name storms after me lol. (well the Jan 3 one maybe given the crap pattern we were in at the time I got bullish on that window). The last one(the fail for this Sunday)I just saw as a sneaky chance with that trailing wave after the storm of last night went by and the boundary sinking south, with colder air in place. It looked promising for a few days, but as has often been the case this winter, the guidance was pretty far off on the timing and placement of the NS feature(s) at range.

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