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February Medium/Long Range Discussion


snowmagnet
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27 minutes ago, MN Transplant said:

It is interesting to look back and see just how terrible February has been since 2010, at least down here by DC.  Since 2010, my house and DCA:

  • 2011 (0.3", 0.5")
  • 2012 (0.3", 0.3")
  • 2013 (0.6", 0.4")
  • 2014 (17.9", 11.2")
  • 2015 (10.3", 9.8")
  • 2016 (4.4", 3.1")
  • 2017 (T, T)
  • 2018 (1.2", 0.2")
  • 2019 (5.1", 3.7")
  • 2020 (T, T)
  • 2021 (4.4", 2.8")
  • 2022 (0.5", T)

Climo is 5" at DCA, meaning that we have exceeded climo fewer times than recording a T over these dozen years.  The median is about a half inch!

This January was a B in my opinion, but February has been an F.  Absent a March miracle we’re looking at a C- winter.  

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14 minutes ago, CAPE said:

What's happening to the early March highly touted big potential window? 

Here we go. Just shifted a few days. And a better look up top! This is the one. :lol:

1646827200-Dsqo97xjQsg.png

Just in time for 2-3 weeks of 40F rain to end March and start April.

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I’m putting this winter as a B-, saved in Frederick by two decent storms. This is a relative grade compared to the last 2 winters. It’s my first time living up here and I’m just glad it actually snowed. Realistically, it’s probably a C+. One more warning level snowfall and it’s a solid B.

 

 

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56 minutes ago, MN Transplant said:

I’d put Jan at a B+/A- in my book.  Problem is that it is bookended by Fs.

Yeah I would go with an A here for Jan, I can't recall a better one in many years. December was awful as usual, and February has sucked other than still having snow otg for the first few days.

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2 minutes ago, CAPE said:

Yeah I would go with an A here for Jan, I can't recall a better one in many years. December was awful as usual, and February has sucked other than still having snow otg for the first few days.

Of course Jan was an A for some and a C for others...lol So averaging it out for the whole subforum I'd give it a B-. For my yard a definite C...because getting skunked that Monday sucked! That and the poor ROI tracking the rest of the month was also annoying. You'd think it could've gone better...but looking at the lack of Atlantic help, you can see why it wasn't. 

I had predicted 13-15" for this winter...BWI is at 14 and my yard around 11, so that's turning out to be true :D (unfortunately). I'm sure if we can't get March to produce for the n/nw crew they'd rate this winter lower, lol

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Is this what we're doing now? Winter is over? Fine with me, I'm ready to get some sun.

 

A+ January in Charlottesville, we averaged 3.0F below average from Jan 3rd-31st and depending on what measurements you look at it was somewhere in the top 5-10 range for Jan snowfall since 1920.  I measured ~18.5" at my place. Hadn't seen an epic pattern like that since living in DC in 2015. We also got REALLY lucky with the mid-month storm. Never got above freezing here during that event so we maintained the snowpack for about 4 weeks straight. Would've been nice to have another 1-2 storms to track, but I broke my thumb skiing late Jan so the season ended for me then and there... bring on severe season!

Overall winter rating: B, short but sweet for western-central VA

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40 minutes ago, 87storms said:

I’m putting this winter as a B-, saved in Frederick by two decent storms. This is a relative grade compared to the last 2 winters. It’s my first time living up here and I’m just glad it actually snowed. Realistically, it’s probably a C+. One more warning level snowfall and it’s a solid B.

 

 

I've been here all my life of 42 years. There's a great deal of variation across the county due to the terrain, but I can't go above a C unless downtown sees a 6 inch storm. Hasn't happened yet this year though.

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Definitely a D for my Yard. I'm in Washington County about 3 miles from the M/D line.

12" on the season. Average is about 28"

The only reason I dont give an F is  because I did have a 6" storm back in the middle of January.  Was totally whiffed on the Jan. 3rd.

Nickled and Dimmed my way to 12"

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10 minutes ago, Chris78 said:

Definitely a D for my Yard. I'm in Washington County about 3 miles from the M/D line.

12" on the season. Average is about 28"

The only reason I dont give an F is  because I did have a 6" storm back in the middle of January.  Was totally whiffed on the Jan. 3rd.

Nickled and Dimmed my way to 12"

I’d agree with this grade. Of course it’s not over yet lol

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8 minutes ago, Chris78 said:

Definitely a D for my Yard. I'm in Washington County about 3 miles from the M/D line.

12" on the season. Average is about 28"

The only reason I dont give an F is  because I did have a 6" storm back in the middle of January.  Was totally whiffed on the Jan. 3rd.

Nickled and Dimmed my way to 12"

I'm with ya on that grade.  11.6" here.  A march blizzard could change my mind but it has been frustrating so far.  Starting to get the itch for some smallmouth fishing and it is still Feb. 

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28 minutes ago, rollenwiese said:

I've been here all my life of 42 years. There's a great deal of variation across the county due to the terrain, but I can't go above a C unless downtown sees a 6 inch storm. Hasn't happened yet this year though.

yea, i expected more, but the last 2 winters were a joke in bethesda (where i used to live), so i was ok with this.  i kinda feel like we might get one more storm...we'll see.

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