osfan24 Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 5 minutes ago, midatlanticweather said: Improved, but a lot of white rain if temps, timing, and rates do not improve! But at least it is now in the vicinity! This one has warmth screaming a disappointment. Sounds fun! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 13 minutes ago, Ji said: yea moderate snow in March sun is really going to pile up at 34 Good thing its actually going happen in the February sun. Otherwise we were screwed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 23 minutes ago, midatlanticweather said: Improved, but a lot of white rain if temps, timing, and rates do not improve! But at least it is now in the vicinity! This one has warmth screaming a disappointment. without heavy precip...well be lucky to get a dusting like last time 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 GEFS snow maps not worth showing for early next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 6 minutes ago, Weather Will said: GEFS snow maps not worth showing for early next week. Snow maps are meaningless and useless. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 4 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Snow maps are meaningless and useless. The mean is not as good either, but it is just one run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 6 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Snow maps are meaningless and useless. And yet for our forum they're like trying to quit tobacco...knowing it's bad for ya but can't kick the habit! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 9 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: And yet for our forum they're like trying to quit tobacco...knowing it's bad for ya but can't kick the habit! Some disagree with me, but I just don’t think they’re the tool to use. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 9 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Some disagree with me, but I just don’t think they’re the tool to use. They are pretty useless at range imo, but the masses want to see those blues and purples and pinks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 Not much different than 12z really. It is just missing the shield of lighter precip further NW. If I really cared, I would look at the individual members but right now I have better things to do. Another run to over-analyze in a few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 ICON (sucks) looks better for the next threat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 GFS OP really juicey just south of us. Get the Northern stream to back off just a bit and we'd be in business. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 7 hours ago, WxUSAF said: Probably some rocking upslope with that northern stream out @nj2va's and @jonjon's places. 18z continuing that pretty crazy upslope look for the mountains. Besides the MLK upslope, this may be the best setup of the season for upslope there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 13 minutes ago, nj2va said: 18z continuing that pretty crazy upslope look for the mountains. Besides the MLK upslope, this may be the best setup of the season for upslope there. Me too!!! Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 12 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Verbatim Gfs has a start time on an early Feb morning coming off a cold Saturday. I'd think stickage would be instant for most. There's a bit of a difference in timing between models. GFS is 9-12z Sunday, meanwhile Euro is 0-6z Monday. Probably just noise at this point, but I'd imagine we would want an earlier onset Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 Overnight to mid morning onset at the latest would surely help Unless we are ALL getting S+Euro 18z? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 Ok just finished my cast iron skillet seared grass fed Filet Mignon with a glass of red wine. Medium rare ofc. Lets see what HH EPS looks like. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 1 hour ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Some disagree with me, but I just don’t think they’re the tool to use. I agree. And I'm not totally kidding when I say they're "bad for the weenie brain". I think that they set unrealistic subconscious expectations...making the disappointment of the reality worse if it doesn't measure up. I'm more in the camp of not using them until you're within 48 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 4 minutes ago, Ji said: 18 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Overnight to mid morning onset at the latest would surely help Unless we are ALL getting S+ Euro 18z? Other thread if you are interested in seeing the 18z Euro op. I'll save you the trouble- you will like it. Rain for your yard. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 3 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: I agree. And I'm not totally kidding when I say they're "bad for the weenie brain". I think that they set unrealistic subconscious expectations...making the disappointment of the reality worse if it doesn't measure up. I'm more in the camp of not using them until you're within 48 hours. I think there is something to this honestly. Better off not going for the easy button. That applies to everything. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 Other thread if you are interested in seeing the 18z Euro op. I'll save you the trouble- you will like it. Rain for your yard.I meant for the cape storm. The thur storm has always been toast. Literally Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 Just now, Ji said: 8 minutes ago, CAPE said: Other thread if you are interested in seeing the 18z Euro op. I'll save you the trouble- you will like it. Rain for your yard. I meant for the cape storm. The thur storm has always been toast. Literally The op only goes out to hour 90 at 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 18z EPS looks a bit further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 Agreed. Less ridging along the East coast. WB 18Z EPS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 20 minutes ago, CAPE said: 18z EPS looks a bit further south. When it gets far enough south to keep me high and dry you’ll know it’s locked in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 WB EURO Weekly Control has my mid March Hail Mary storm. More realistic is that it stays cold through the first half of March on the mean weeklies with the peak around March 5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 Never 2 good runs in a row. So frustrating 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 4 minutes ago, Ji said: 33 minutes ago, CAPE said: Never 2 good runs in a row. So frustrating In a progressive regime...frustrating but not surprising! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 To understand my perspective, Winchester has had 5.6” of precip since October. 10 of the past 14 months have been below normal precip. It’s getting old. And my thoughts are and have always been that no precip is a zero chance of snow, but appreciable precip will always bring with it some chance of wintry precip in the months of Dec/Jan/Feb. Some chance is better than no chance. That’s why the only maps I care about are precip maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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