stormtracker Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 4-6. SOLD. Keep it there 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 Just now, Scraff said: Jaws III in 3D? Might be. I need a few solid consistent runs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: It'ssss baaaaaaack. CAPE storm is a nice hit on the GFS The changes were evident pretty early- More separation from the NS energy associated with the Thursday-Friday storm, so our shortwave was sharper/ wester, and better interaction with the next NS piece dropping in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 Probably some rocking upslope with that northern stream out @nj2va's and @jonjon's places. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 2 minutes ago, CAPE said: The changes were evident pretty early- More separation from the NS energy associated with the Thursday-Friday storm, so our shortwave was sharper/ wester, and better interaction with the next NS piece dropping in. You were on this period early and I was a believer. F the Thursday noise, I'm ready to put my chips in for this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 4 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Might be. I need a few solid consistent runs. You need to show up earlier for these models runs- I am not a PbP guy, more of a color commentator. I promise I won't be a Romo and talk all over you though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 Just now, CAPE said: You need to show up earlier for these models runs- I am not a PbP guy, more of a color commentator. I promise I won't be a Romo and talk all over you though. I gotcha dude. I was gonna wait until we got closer in, but I'll start with 18z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 11 minutes ago, stormtracker said: You were on this period early and I was a believer. F the Thursday noise, I'm ready to put my chips in for this one. I always thought the late week deal was too soon. Once it goes by we have the cold coming in, and the Euro I think was the first I noticed depicting some trailing energy a day or so later. That was the key. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 Snowcover enhanced, but damn that's a cold day for next Monday on the GFS. Especially for Feb 28. Low 10s for lows, highs low 20s for metro corridors, maybe upper 10s for N/W places. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 Love the improvements but the persistent atmospheric snow hole is getting old….. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 1 minute ago, WxUSAF said: Snowcover enhanced, but damn that's a cold day for next Monday on the GFS. Especially for Feb 28. Low 10s for lows, highs low 20s for metro corridors, maybe upper 10s for N/W places. Deep winter look and feel end of Feb/Early March? Been awhile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 1 minute ago, CAPE said: Deep winter look and feel end of Feb/Early March? Been awhile. With wind and full Sun, having those temps verify would be quite impressive. Hell, I think a sub-freezing day at all with full Sun is pretty solid by ~March 1. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 1 minute ago, Weather Will said: Love the improvements but the persistent atmospheric snow hole is getting old….. Back away from the op snow maps at range. Slooow, steady now. I know you can. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 The ICON SUCKS has it, but it's a southern VA/Lower eastern shore hit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 Still some work to do, but the idea is there across guidance now. GEFS better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 ^GEFS looks like GGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 31 minutes ago, Weather Will said: Love the improvements but the persistent atmospheric snow hole is getting old….. That’s just perfect. I am praying it works out exactly like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 WB GEFS improvements but ways to go… 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 This guy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 10 minutes ago, stormtracker said: This guy I have been told to be more positive….so I will spin the facts positively….:) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 UKIE likes the weekend event 6 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 UKIE likes the weekend eventThere will be no event then 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 27 minutes ago, Cobalt said: UKIE likes the weekend event Hmm, that looks like it would be a banger Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 19 minutes ago, Ji said: 34 minutes ago, Cobalt said: UKIE likes the weekend event There will be no event then EURO will follow -- nature has returned to its natural balance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 Gonna be doing pbp comparing Euro with it's 0z run and 12z GFS run for the CAPE storm. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 Ok, out west, Euro is stretched back further west with the axis of the southern vort vs GFS and it's 0z run. at 111 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 Much further west vs GFS. Not sure what the implications are. vort is stronger and center over Utah. GFS has it over eastern CO 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 123, now closed vort centered over Eastern UT/Western CO. GFS has it open and over east CO/W NE/KS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 Pretty big difference with southern and northern stream energy vs GFS so far. CAPE, what are we looking for Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 Euro has the northern stream associated with TPV more of a broad U shape. GFS had is kinda bending back and dropping toward MT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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