CAPE Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 1 minute ago, Eskimo Joe said: No. Not until 12z Tuesday. That storm is happening. Locked in. It's largely just a matter of where the sleet/ice vs the rain is, and if there is any snow on the front end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 11 minutes ago, CAPE said: Someone should start a thread for the late week slop event. For those who buy into superstition and mojo and whatnot, it could only help at this point lol. It would also declutter this thread. @WxUSAF 3 minutes ago, CAPE said: That storm is happening. Locked in. It's largely just a matter of where the sleet/ice vs the rain is, and if there is any snow on the front end. There is only one thing locked in about that storm, a certain someone we all know will be in the top 3 in total posts in that thread 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 Just now, leesburg 04 said: There is only one thing locked in about that storm, a certain someone we all know will be in the top 3 in total posts in that thread Well lets get that party started then! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 The Sunday/Monday storm much less crushed on the 6z GEFS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 12Z ICON has Sunday storm (NE snow is from Friday) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 the icon still sucks tho 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 Vastly different changes at H5 for GFS...better H5 looks, but not much going on at the surface yet at 171 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 It's actually pretty close to a good solution, upstairs, for the Cape storm vs 6z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 19 minutes ago, stormtracker said: It's actually pretty close to a good solution, upstairs, for the Cape storm vs 6z As usual it comes down to the subtle interactions between the southern wave and the NS shortwave(s) dropping in downstream of the amplifying ridge. ICON got it done much like the Euro did, but even simpler. GFS is messier in the NS and timing is off so it just kicks it. We just cant know, and hopefully the ensembles will shed some light and not just play follow the leader. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 The pretty WB snow map from the ICON(SUCKS) run. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 GEFS is chilly but dry after Th- Fri ice event thru Day 10. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 Euro might be able to do the CAPE storm. H5 is different Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 LOL, it's going to come too far north. Looks like the GFS H5, but way further back west. Northern stream dives in behind the souther s/w Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 it's pretty juicy at 174...0 line south of us, but freezing line north...then 180, 0 line bisects DC...wetter than 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 Just now, stormtracker said: it's pretty juicy at 174...0 line south of us, but freezing line north...then 180, 0 line bisects DC...wetter than 0z At least we get some heavy snow for a little bit at 174 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 She looks good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 Bottom line, CAPE storm looking almost trackable...but a tad too warm per SV..and the GFS has the same storm too far south, lol. H5 on the Euro was promising Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 Just now, LP08 said: I wish SV maps were as pretty. All I can see is 0/32 lines. 174 is better looking here than I thought 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 Just now, CAPE said: We gon' haul this one in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 Just now, stormtracker said: Bottom line, CAPE storm looking almost trackable...but a tad too warm per SV..and the GFS has the same storm too far south, lol. H5 on the Euro was promising Yeah it goes to rain, but we got a storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 Just now, CAPE said: Yeah it goes to rain, but we got a storm. Looks like just light rain late as storm pulls away... 4 to 6 isolated 8 for most 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 1 minute ago, yoda said: Looks like just light rain late as storm pulls away... 4 to 6 isolated 8 for most It's a bit odd given the track of the low but its another op run that shows a storm and that's the take away. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 1 minute ago, CAPE said: It's a bit odd given the track of the low but its another op run that shows a storm and that's the take away. Exactly. Just kinda nagging that it went from super cold, to this..but it's the reason we get a decent storm..thread the needle, etc etc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 I mean if you want to be technical lol... the sounding at DCA at 174 is a heavy wet snow one. It's below freezing all the way down to the last like 50m lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 Of course then the Euro tries for low teens in the city and single digits out west next Monday night and has highs for many at or below freezing on Tuesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Exactly. Just kinda nagging that it went from super cold, to this..but it's the reason we get a decent storm..thread the needle, etc etc It was pretty close to something big. Brings the NS energy in behind with some snow showers and then COLD. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 1 minute ago, CAPE said: It was pretty close to something big. Brings the NS energy in behind with some snow showers and then COLD. Where do I sign please? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now