StormchaserChuck! Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 Magic gravity of the 500mb High to that Alert Canada region (our highest snowfall correlation) 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 1 minute ago, StormchaserChuck! said: Magic gravity of the 500mb High to that Alert Canada region (our highest snowfall correlation) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 13 minutes ago, StormchaserChuck! said: Magic gravity of the 500mb High to that Alert Canada region (our highest snowfall correlation) I’m afraid to ask but can you clarify? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 1 minute ago, Weather Will said: I’m afraid to ask but can you clarify? Dude.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IceCAPS Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 14 minutes ago, StormchaserChuck! said: Magic gravity of the 500mb High to that Alert Canada region (our highest snowfall correlation) I can't make heads or tails of what you're trying to depict here. I've read it three times and am perplexed at what words you may have left out. What the hell is going on here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 I am sitting at the BMW dealer waiting for them to do the oil change and then come back and tell me how much money they want to do $ 100000….of other stuff. I am bored. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 5 minutes ago, Weather Will said: I am sitting at the BMW dealer waiting for them to do the oil change and then come back and tell me how much money they want to do $ 100000….of other stuff. I am bored. Just try to decipher Chuck…that will keep u busy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 9 hours ago, Chris78 said: Nothing to hold it in place. Wish I could believe the gfs. Cmc isn't really close to frozen and neither was the 12z euro. Gfs cold bias at Play most likely. Hope I'm dead wrong. That look is generally supportive of a period frozen on the front end, and probably some sleet/zr (for interior areas), then rain. Question is exactly where? At this point places to our north are favored for frozen, but still some time for adjustments. The setup doesn't excite me at all given my location, and I have no interest in ice/sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 I love this place in the morning! I got fresh bagels, coffee and now… 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 6 minutes ago, CAPE said: That look is generally supportive of a period frozen on the front end, and probably some sleet/zr (for interior areas), then rain. Question is exactly where? At this point places to our north are favored for frozen, but still some time for adjustments. The setup doesn't excite me at all given my location, and I have no interest in ice/sleet. With how the GFS performed last weekend and with the non ice storm a couple weeks ago it definitely gives me pause for next Friday . He'll the GFS had a major ice storm for my area less than 48 hours prior to the start of the event In regards to the ice storm that never happened a few weeks back. I know the Euro does have some front end ice and my area can do better with those west tracking systems into CAD. With the GFS bias of pushing cold to far south I'm just skeptical. On the other hand it does look pretty good north of us in regards to cold. Hope I'm dead wrong and we all get smoked. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 21 minutes ago, CAPE said: That look is generally supportive of a period frozen on the front end, and probably some sleet/zr (for interior areas), then rain. Question is exactly where? At this point places to our north are favored for frozen, but still some time for adjustments. The setup doesn't excite me at all given my location, and I have no interest in ice/sleet. Just looked at last night's euro a little closer. Our best shot at Snow/frozen is probably with that front runner piece for earlier on Thursday. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 44 minutes ago, Weather Will said: I am sitting at the BMW dealer waiting for them to do the oil change and then come back and tell me how much money they want to do $ 100000….of other stuff. I am bored. Anytime you go to these high end dealerships you need to take your own advice and keep expectations to a minimum. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 I'm going to the Poconos next weekend. I'm a big fan of some of these recent runs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 Let's cut the bs...is it gonna snow or not? Math is fun, though. Was recently trying to figure out why we drop a zero when doing long division of fractions. Not sure it was ever really taught in school, or I was just not paying attention (possibly dreaming of making the nba). Hint: cross multiplying. Re how it relates to the weather. Trig is a good start...probably some asymptotic functions thrown in as well to remind us of downsloping, low level warm air intrusion, and dry slots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 1 hour ago, IronTy said: Yeah you're right. I wasn't confused at all, I can recognize an asshole 20mi away. This could have easily been in the banter thread or via a PM. It just serves to clutter the thread(s). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 Gfs even colder this run. Below 32 for most north of dc all storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 GFS looks great 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 2 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: GFS looks great Wondering if it's doing what it did a couple weeks ago, though...overdoing the press of cold? I guess the next few days will tell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 lol no thanks. Another 75-100 miles south will do it. It will probably end up the other way, which I would prefer to this. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 12z GFS continues with the crazy parade of storms tracking along the boundary, but to our north. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 35 minutes ago, Kmlwx said: This could have easily been in the banter thread or via a PM. It just serves to clutter the thread(s). Agreed, 100%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevWarReenactor Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 20 minutes ago, CAPE said: lol no thanks. Another 75-100 miles south will do it. It will probably end up the other way, which I would prefer to this. Whats wrong with sleet other than accumulating at about 1/10th of what snow does? Ice we could do without. But recall the accuracy of the last GFS "ice storm". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 39 minutes ago, CAPE said: lol no thanks. Another 75-100 miles south will do it. It will probably end up the other way, which I would prefer to this. NOPE…get rid of this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 38 minutes ago, CAPE said: lol no thanks. Another 75-100 miles south will do it. It will probably end up the other way, which I would prefer to this. Pinger party at my house! GFS has that Feb 28th event too… Euro was close at 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 I would take any high qpf frozen event 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 17 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Pinger party at my house! GFS has that Feb 28th event too… Euro was close at 0z. Yeah it does. LOL I just realized I had switched back to the 6z run when I was scrolling through the surface panels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 lol no thanks. Another 75-100 miles south will do it. It will probably end up the other way, which I would prefer to this.looks eerily similar to the last ice threat. Back to needing the euro on board for me to buy this 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 I’ll pass on a slop fest. No thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 lol no thanks. Another 75-100 miles south will do it. It will probably end up the other way, which I would prefer to this.also, just looking at temps/timing, this wouldn’t be that bad minus our far northern areas. Marginal and daylight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 2 hours ago, HighStakes said: Anytime you go to these high end dealerships you need to take your own advice and keep expectations to a minimum. Sorry this is banter but we are waiting for EURO. Got out with my free oil change, free new wipers, and free brake fluid…..exceeded expectations. Now we need to find 50-100 miles as depicted by WB GEFS thru 10 days and exceed expectations in the snow department. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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