Weather Will Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 WB 0Z EURO…..this run follows GFS mixed event for Th. -Fri. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 3 hours ago, Ji said: There is nothing showing up in capes march 1 to 7 window WB OZ EPS compared to 12Z yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 WB 6Z GFS for Th-Fri 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 11 hours ago, IronTy said: That's lame, your equation doesn't include dels, curls or differentials. I can help you there. "simple equation for a sine wave" But go ahead and be pedantic. No help needed when it comes to technical subjects. Thanks for the offer though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 5 hours ago, Ji said: There is nothing showing up in capes march 1 to 7 window I mentioned yesterday on the 12z Euro run that there was some trailing energy being left behind from the late week storm. Seeing that on the GFS now too. Next Sunday- Monday is a sneaky period to watch for something. As for the first week in March, check out the 6z GFS. It has a parade of storms but as depicted the boundary is too far north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 10 minutes ago, CAPE said: I mentioned this yesterday on the 12z Euro run that there was some trailing energy being left behind from the late week storm. Seeing that on the GFS now too. Next Sunday- Monday is a sneaky period to watch for something. As for the first week in March, check out the 6z GFS. It has a parade of storms but as depicted the boundary is too far north. I think the prospects of a good wintry period over the course of the next month are good. Ji said go big or go home. Not sure why he didn’t just go home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 37 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: I think the prospects of a good wintry period over the course of the next month are good. I think so, but staying focused on the next 2 weeks, we have the late week deal that you might be more interested in than me, the possible "sneaky" little wave for next Sunday, and then the window around March 2nd looks to hold some potential for a coastal. Seeing hints on both the GEFS and EPS. H5 certainly has that look- 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 1 hour ago, Weather Will said: WB 6Z GFS for Th-Fri Look at the precip. Need to somehow get this thing cold enough for a powder event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 52 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Ji said go big or go home. Not sure why he didn’t just go home. Ji wants instant gratification, and it only comes from looking at op runs, even 10 days out. Go blue or go home lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 Magic gravity of the 500mb High to that Alert Canada region (our highest snowfall correlation) 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 1 minute ago, StormchaserChuck! said: Magic gravity of the 500mb High to that Alert Canada region (our highest snowfall correlation) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 13 minutes ago, StormchaserChuck! said: Magic gravity of the 500mb High to that Alert Canada region (our highest snowfall correlation) I’m afraid to ask but can you clarify? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 1 minute ago, Weather Will said: I’m afraid to ask but can you clarify? Dude.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IceCAPS Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 14 minutes ago, StormchaserChuck! said: Magic gravity of the 500mb High to that Alert Canada region (our highest snowfall correlation) I can't make heads or tails of what you're trying to depict here. I've read it three times and am perplexed at what words you may have left out. What the hell is going on here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 I am sitting at the BMW dealer waiting for them to do the oil change and then come back and tell me how much money they want to do $ 100000….of other stuff. I am bored. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 5 minutes ago, Weather Will said: I am sitting at the BMW dealer waiting for them to do the oil change and then come back and tell me how much money they want to do $ 100000….of other stuff. I am bored. Just try to decipher Chuck…that will keep u busy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 9 hours ago, Chris78 said: Nothing to hold it in place. Wish I could believe the gfs. Cmc isn't really close to frozen and neither was the 12z euro. Gfs cold bias at Play most likely. Hope I'm dead wrong. That look is generally supportive of a period frozen on the front end, and probably some sleet/zr (for interior areas), then rain. Question is exactly where? At this point places to our north are favored for frozen, but still some time for adjustments. The setup doesn't excite me at all given my location, and I have no interest in ice/sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 I love this place in the morning! I got fresh bagels, coffee and now… 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 6 minutes ago, CAPE said: That look is generally supportive of a period frozen on the front end, and probably some sleet/zr (for interior areas), then rain. Question is exactly where? At this point places to our north are favored for frozen, but still some time for adjustments. The setup doesn't excite me at all given my location, and I have no interest in ice/sleet. With how the GFS performed last weekend and with the non ice storm a couple weeks ago it definitely gives me pause for next Friday . He'll the GFS had a major ice storm for my area less than 48 hours prior to the start of the event In regards to the ice storm that never happened a few weeks back. I know the Euro does have some front end ice and my area can do better with those west tracking systems into CAD. With the GFS bias of pushing cold to far south I'm just skeptical. On the other hand it does look pretty good north of us in regards to cold. Hope I'm dead wrong and we all get smoked. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 21 minutes ago, CAPE said: That look is generally supportive of a period frozen on the front end, and probably some sleet/zr (for interior areas), then rain. Question is exactly where? At this point places to our north are favored for frozen, but still some time for adjustments. The setup doesn't excite me at all given my location, and I have no interest in ice/sleet. Just looked at last night's euro a little closer. Our best shot at Snow/frozen is probably with that front runner piece for earlier on Thursday. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 44 minutes ago, Weather Will said: I am sitting at the BMW dealer waiting for them to do the oil change and then come back and tell me how much money they want to do $ 100000….of other stuff. I am bored. Anytime you go to these high end dealerships you need to take your own advice and keep expectations to a minimum. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 I'm going to the Poconos next weekend. I'm a big fan of some of these recent runs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 Let's cut the bs...is it gonna snow or not? Math is fun, though. Was recently trying to figure out why we drop a zero when doing long division of fractions. Not sure it was ever really taught in school, or I was just not paying attention (possibly dreaming of making the nba). Hint: cross multiplying. Re how it relates to the weather. Trig is a good start...probably some asymptotic functions thrown in as well to remind us of downsloping, low level warm air intrusion, and dry slots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 1 hour ago, IronTy said: Yeah you're right. I wasn't confused at all, I can recognize an asshole 20mi away. This could have easily been in the banter thread or via a PM. It just serves to clutter the thread(s). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 Gfs even colder this run. Below 32 for most north of dc all storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 GFS looks great 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 2 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: GFS looks great Wondering if it's doing what it did a couple weeks ago, though...overdoing the press of cold? I guess the next few days will tell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 lol no thanks. Another 75-100 miles south will do it. It will probably end up the other way, which I would prefer to this. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 12z GFS continues with the crazy parade of storms tracking along the boundary, but to our north. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 35 minutes ago, Kmlwx said: This could have easily been in the banter thread or via a PM. It just serves to clutter the thread(s). Agreed, 100%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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