stormtracker Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 Hmm...blues for the first time...and 2 panels too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 Just now, stormtracker said: Hmm...blues for the first time...and 2 panels too Thread 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 Happy digital snow Friday! 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 We celebrate until Dr No arrives. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 3 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Thread Yup. With New England style title: The WinterWxLuvr Snow/Ice/ Impacts To Daily Life and Liberty that could Cause Power Outages Kill Pets Prolific Winds Turn Off the Lights, Let's Get Closer Power Outages Grocery Runs Mass Extinction Crop Killing Baby Shark Doo Doo Di Doo Di Doo Washington Commander HAHAH Storm. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 It's coming. Because I'll allow it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Yup. With New England style title: The WinterWxLuvr Snow/Ice/ Impacts To Daily Life and Liberty that could Cause Power Outages Kill Pets Prolific Winds Turn Off the Lights, Let's Get Closer Power Outages Grocery Runs Mass Extinction Crop Killing Baby Shark Doo Doo Di Doo Di Doo Washington Commander HAHAH Storm. Need to work in kicking bunnies and cute puppies, but maybe "kill pets" covers that already! Perhaps a mention of Rumpelstiltskin too, for good measure. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 These types of storms like the gfs is showing don't really need a carving setup in advance. Those are when cold approaches from the west. When something is pressing on top, it can bully its way down as cold air is very dense and confluence keeps pushing and pushing. It's completely reasonable to entertain the possibility of winning next weekend as it's not a huge stretch. That said, I wish we lived further north. 7 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 30 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: I need a probability of Will delivering 3”. Paging @ravensrule, paging @ravensrule....please report to this ^^ post, stat 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 It's so warm on the drive from obx truck says 74. Dreading the other side of the front. Update just hit the front amazing temp fall 75 to 62 in seconds 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 2 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: 12z Gefs much more compressed with heights compared to 0z . Should be some nice hits in the individuals. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 18 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: These types of storms like the gfs is showing don't really need a carving setup in advance. Those are when cold approaches from the west. When something is pressing on top, it can bully its way down as cold air is very dense and confluence keeps pushing and pushing. It's completely reasonable to entertain the possibility of winning next weekend as it's not a huge stretch. That said, I wish we lived further north. Now I Googled and couldn't find it, so I'll ask: Could you clarify what you mean by a "carving setup"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 CMC stuck at 156 but slides precip shield so far south that we are barely on the north end getting some light snow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 27 minutes ago, Scraff said: We celebrate until Dr No arrives. 1 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: CMC stuck at 156 but slides precip shield so far south that we are barely on the north end getting some light snow lol....hopefully this too suppressed bs we have seen all winter wont be a factor in Late Feb/early march 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 5 minutes ago, stormtracker said: CMC stuck at 156 but slides precip shield so far south that we are barely on the north end getting some light snow Almost looks like the two disturbances in the southwest mess with each other, has a storm afterwards but its a weak costal low that is purely an ice to rain setup. They almost shear each other out and bring the storms north? Seems like an odd outcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 3 minutes ago, Ji said: lol....hopefully this too suppressed bs we have seen all winter wont be a factor in Late Feb/early march It moved...and it sucks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 27 minutes ago, stormtracker said: CMC stuck at 156 but slides precip shield so far south that we are barely on the north end getting some light snow Again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 I’d worry about the CMC. It’s a reliable model. Right behind the UKIE. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 I don't remove the bubbler and put the water pump back into my pond unless I'm confident the winter is basically over. And I put the pump back in the pond yesterday. Haven't removed the bubbler just to hedge a bit but I'm pretty confident. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 Just now, IronTy said: I don't remove the bubbler and put the water pump back into my pond unless I'm confident the winter is basically over. And I put the pump back in the pond yesterday. Haven't removed the bubbler just to hedge a bit but I'm pretty confident. I agree. Winter is over for you 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 10 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: I agree. Winter is over for you It's over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 It would appear that it's the GFS/CMC verse Euro/ICON for next week's threat. GFS camp has two weaker waves come at us. EURO/ICON blow up one condensed cutter that wreck any chance of frozen whatsoever for our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 12z Euro has a more substantial piece of trailing energy that gets left behind after the next Friday(rain) event. Not sure if anything will come of it this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternFringe Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 3 hours ago, Bob Chill said: These types of storms like the gfs is showing don't really need a carving setup in advance. Those are when cold approaches from the west. When something is pressing on top, it can bully its way down as cold air is very dense and confluence keeps pushing and pushing. It's completely reasonable to entertain the possibility of winning next weekend as it's not a huge stretch. That said, I wish we lived further north. Yeah, but then we'd have to live further north. Rooting for the GFS. It has consistently been leading the other models wrt sniffing out frozen chances imby this winter. Granted, it will say 12" to 20" and the other models will say little to nothing, and then it will come back down off its sugar high and show realistic solutions that do verify with like 4"-8". I guess technically, a model spitting out 0" is closer to a snow of 4" than a model depicting 12", but I will take the model showing a chance of frozen that verifies over models showing nothing. In this sense, the GFS has kicked the Euro's butt this year for mby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 2 hours ago, losetoa6 said: Euro looked like it made a move towards the Gfs at h5 . I thought so also 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brentrich Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 Winter is not cancelled at least until mid April. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 10 minutes ago, brentrich said: Winter is not cancelled at least until mid April. You don’t know understand. This place is a roller coaster of emotion. It’s “over” is cyclical. I’ve even created an equation to model it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 9 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: You don’t know understand. This place is a roller coaster of emotion. It’s “over” is cyclical. I’ve even created an equation to model it. y = A sin(B(x + C)) + D The amplitude and period of the ups and the downs vary depending on the amount of snow or lack there of for any particular model cycle. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 14 minutes ago, CAPE said: y = A sin(B(x + C)) + D The amplitude and period of the ups and the downs vary depending on the amount of snow or lack there of for any particular model cycle. Hey hey what are ya doin'? I'm allergic to equations! They give me the hives...lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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