brooklynwx99 Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 7 minutes ago, StormchaserChuck! said: 12 likes? 1 trophy Just kidding, but we have to break this La Nina pattern. PNA dominates+time, it's like a physics equation. bruh 1 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 1 hour ago, StormchaserChuck! said: 12 likes? 1 trophy Just kidding, but we have to break this La Nina pattern. PNA dominates+time, it's like a physics equation. Now 24 likes and 3 trophies. Something to aspire to, Chuck. Maybe some more PNA talk will get you there... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 Not going to snow. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 2 minutes ago, StormchaserChuck! said: Not going to snow. You sure? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 1 hour ago, brooklynwx99 said: bruh Pay no mind to him. Nobody else does. Also, shut up Chuck. 3 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted February 16, 2022 Author Share Posted February 16, 2022 DT is alerting.. winter making a comeback in the east at the end of February. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 2 hours ago, Paleocene said: Moisture will not be the problem, hopefully lol. True, a lot of moisture. But, as always … 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 beautiful look here 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 4 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: beautiful look here I hardly know what it means but I agree 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 5 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: I hardly know what it means but I agree very cold, lots of overrunning 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 19 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: I hardly know what it means but I agree think of those lines as highways for storms/air flow. the big ridge out west in the EPO domain is sending Canadian air to the east. and some STJ action down south too. overrunning signal like @brooklynwx99 said 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 15 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: I hardly know what it means but I agree I'm no expert, but that EPO ridge is delivering cold directly from the Arctic, and that TPV near Greenland is serving as a kind of confluential [made up word] block. Looks like there might be a hint of split flow, too, so there would be good moisture coming in from the southwest up into that cold, and since we have the confluence over the Northeast, disturbances would be unlikely to cut. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 47 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: True, a lot of moisture. But, as always … That map is pretty useless anyway for the purposes of the ultimate objective. It's the total precip depicted to fall over 360 hours on a single an op run, and much of it in the MA would be rain that falls between tomorrow and the end of next week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 Just now, CAPE said: That map is pretty useless anyway for the purposes of the ultimate objective. It's the total precip depicted to fall over 360 hours on a single an op run, and much of it in the MA would be rain that falls between tomorrow and the end of next week. So you're saying it's not going to snow? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 @mattie g @nj2va and @brooklynwx99 thanks for the explanation. I understood it was a good look based on the ridge out west and the dip out east but thanks for the more in depth explanation. Always trying to learn a bit more to be a bit less clueless. One thing I would like to ask: how good of a sign is this for storms and whatnot, and what could make this look better or is it already near a realistic perfection. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 19 minutes ago, mattie g said: So you're saying it's not going to snow? I’m not getting over 2 inches in QDF of all snow? winter cancel. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 1 minute ago, SnowenOutThere said: @mattie g @nj2va and @brooklynwx99 thanks for the explanation. I understood it was a good look based on the ridge out west and the dip out east but thanks for the more in depth explanation. Always trying to learn a bit more to be a bit less clueless. One thing I would like to ask: how good of a sign is this for storms and whatnot, and what could make this look better or is it already near a realistic perfection. it's a good sign. there's pretty notable split flow, so this ups the risk for phasing scenarios and general storminess with the northern and southern streams mingling 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 7 minutes ago, mattie g said: So you're saying it's not going to snow? The snowfall depicted in our region would occur from the 25th to the end of the run. Not a bad sig at this juncture. EPS isn't as enthused yet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 4 hours ago, WxUSAF said: What a goofy and entertaining D9-15. That’s all I’m going to say about it lol. back in my day posting 300+ hr maps would have you laughed out of the thread 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 1 hour ago, snowmagnet said: DT is alerting.. winter making a comeback in the east at the end of February. lol that's the final nail in the coffin then 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 Looked like a step back from 12z to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 20 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Gfs has a temporary 50/50 low at hour 180 So that's why that high never really moved, I was wondering what was going on. The setup looks interesting, the freezing line never really moved that much until the low was on the same line of height as Pittsburg. It almost 200 hours away so lets see if the storm is still there the next run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 @StormchaserChuck! Well, lookie here! 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 9 minutes ago, midatlanticweather said: @StormchaserChuck! Well, lookie here! Oops Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 Just now, losetoa6 said: Gefs coming in colder then the previous runs . Mhm, better cold press and a stronger HP overtop compared to previous ensemble runs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 Poor Chuck, lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 13 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: A bit of a signal now at day 8 on the Gefs snow mean. It was there at 12z too, but a bit more robust at 18z centered on next Friday. Gets some light blue over N central and NE MD (pummeled!). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 25 minutes ago, Cobalt said: Mhm, better cold press and a stronger HP overtop compared to previous ensemble runs. This has been an error in the GFS/GEFS at range with recent events, so lets see how the trends play out over the coming days in comparison with the Canadians and the Europeans. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 7 minutes ago, osfan24 said: Poor Chuck, lol. -PNA will prevail. Its Nina and the +NAO is 5 sigma. The east will bake! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 11 minutes ago, CAPE said: -PNA will prevail. Its Nina and the +NAO is 5 sigma. The east will bake! Stormchaser Chuck = Slopfest Charles 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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