snowfan Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 8 minutes ago, yoda said: @mattie g's profile image is basically what I am doing the next 10 days What are your feelings on the next 10 days. We aren't quite sure. Blinders closed? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Just now, snowfan said: trof is so ugly at h5. We got time tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Just now, LP08 said: Big change at h5. Got pretty darn close Go back and click through the last 5 runs of the GFS for Tuesday. Substantial changes for Tuesday time frame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 12z GFS trying to reel some people back in for the Tuesday mess of a system. At least it is something to track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: trof is so ugly at h5. We got time tho Right when folks start to close the blinds something pops up. Maybe it’ll turn into something small….. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Just now, SnowenOutThere said: 12z GFS trying to reel some people back in for the Tuesday mess of a system. At least it is something to track. It ain't great but it's just about all we have right now. The ice threat is all but gone for the northern crew even on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: What are your feelings on the next 10 days. We aren't quite sure. Blinders closed? 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Just now, Chris78 said: Go back and click through the last 5 runs of the GFS for Tuesday. Substantial changes for Tuesday time frame. Exactly. Still very messy but the whole Blinds open closed deal was funny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 How do you do you get snow to accumulate with a crappy airmass in February? Nigh time. Happening at night would be a big plus if this were to continue to trend stronger. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 As I posted earlier, the GEFS and EPS were hinting a bit more for that timeframe on the 0z runs. Crack open those blinds weenies. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 3 minutes ago, yoda said: See you on Feb 13th. You'll be missed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 2 minutes ago, CAPE said: As I posted earlier, the GEFS and EPS were hinting a bit more for that timeframe on the 0z runs. Crack open those blinds weenies. Probably another eastern shore storm. Congrats. It is pretty amazing how well your area has been doing in ninas lately though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 8 minutes ago, Chris78 said: Probably another eastern shore storm. Congrats. It is pretty amazing how well your area has been doing in ninas lately though. Pretty big changes upstairs in just one run on the GFS. This might have a ways to go. Time the shortwaves and amp it a bit more and it could end up a more typical event across the region- esp with the marginal LL cold as depicted. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 12 minutes ago, CAPE said: Pretty big changes upstairs in just one run on the GFS. This might have a ways to go. Time the shortwaves and amp it a bit more and it could end up a more typical event across the region- esp with the marginal LL cold as depicted. I'm waiting for the CMC to sniff it out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Nice trends. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 GEM trended better both at surface and h5 as well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 4 minutes ago, baltosquid said: Nice trends. It's come a long way. You could see it a bit on 00z run 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 GFS again with the V-day storm. Mid month really does look like it is THE period to watch. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 2 minutes ago, CAPE said: GFS again with the V-day storm. Mid month really does look like it is THE period to watch. I was half expecting some coastal low lol... but 3-6 would be lovely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Looks like if the Mexico crossing vort can link up with the NS energy better (as it has been trending on the GFS) we could maybe get some nice Gulf energy to juice things? Too far off to say if it'll have lots of moisture or not but definitely like the potential to tap some warm water energy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Ever since the turn if the year, practically every event (real or digital) has been sneaky and jacked up. That's not changing unless the NAO decides it's time. It's def disappointing seeing ops dry paint but unless there's a big storm patten (haven't seen one this year really), any event in the next 10 days is going to be sneaky and weird. Just keep our column supportive of snow as much as possible and let the chips fall. That's what I see. No discrete window or shortwave. 14 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 31 minutes ago, CAPE said: GFS again with the V-day storm. Mid month really does look like it is THE period to watch. As it’s my son’s birthday and the Monday after the super bowl, he REALLY wants a snow day. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 15 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Ever since the turn if the year, practically every event (real or digital) has been sneaky and jacked up. That's not changing unless the NAO decides it's time. It's def disappointing seeing ops dry paint but unless there's a big storm patten (haven't seen one this year really), any event in the next 10 days is going to be sneaky and weird. Just keep our column supportive of snow as much as possible and let the chips fall. That's what I see. No discrete window or shortwave. I love your posts. Easy to understand, to the point, and straightforward. Also, usually if you post, optimism is high. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 Euro is GFS like for next week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 11 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Euro is GFS like for next week. Damn close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 1 hour ago, CAPE said: GFS again with the V-day storm. Mid month really does look like it is THE period to watch. Yup. If we don't win on this event, then it's probably game over for the winter. After that it's sun angle season. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 19 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Euro is GFS like for next week. 7 minutes ago, Solution Man said: Damn close Airmass ssssuuuccckkkkksssss 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 7 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Yup. If we don't win on this event, then it's probably game over for the winter. After that it's sun angle season. For this region in general our snowiest period is Dec 1-March 15. About 1/3 of our annual mean snowfall is from Feb 15-March 15. Yet some people want to throw that away every single year. WTF 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 2 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Airmass ssssuuuccckkkkksssss Indeed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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