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February Medium/Long Range Discussion


snowmagnet
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Just now, Chris78 said:

Go back and click through the last 5 runs of the GFS for Tuesday. Substantial changes for Tuesday time frame. 

Exactly.  Still very messy but the whole Blinds open closed deal was funny.   

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2 minutes ago, CAPE said:

As I posted earlier, the GEFS and EPS were hinting a bit more for that timeframe on the 0z runs. Crack open those blinds weenies.

Probably another eastern shore storm.

Congrats. :lol:

It is pretty amazing how well your area has been doing in ninas lately though. 

 

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8 minutes ago, Chris78 said:

Probably another eastern shore storm.

Congrats. :lol:

It is pretty amazing how well your area has been doing in ninas lately though. 

 

Pretty big changes upstairs in just one run on the GFS. This might have a ways to go. Time the shortwaves and amp it a bit more and it could end up a more typical event across the region- esp with the marginal LL cold as depicted.

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Looks like if the Mexico crossing vort can link up with the NS energy better (as it has been trending on the GFS) we could maybe get some nice Gulf energy to juice things? Too far off to say if it'll have lots of moisture or not but definitely like the potential to tap some warm water energy.

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Ever since the turn if the year, practically every event (real or digital) has been sneaky and jacked up. That's not changing unless the NAO decides it's time. It's def disappointing seeing ops dry paint but unless there's a big storm patten (haven't seen one this year really), any event in the next 10 days is going to be sneaky and weird. Just keep our column supportive of snow as much as possible and let the chips fall. That's what I see. No discrete window or shortwave. 

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15 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

Ever since the turn if the year, practically every event (real or digital) has been sneaky and jacked up. That's not changing unless the NAO decides it's time. It's def disappointing seeing ops dry paint but unless there's a big storm patten (haven't seen one this year really), any event in the next 10 days is going to be sneaky and weird. Just keep our column supportive of snow as much as possible and let the chips fall. That's what I see. No discrete window or shortwave. 

I love your posts. Easy to understand, to the point, and straightforward. Also, usually if you post, optimism is high. :)

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7 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Yup. If we don't win on this event, then it's probably game over for the winter. After that it's sun angle season.

For this region in general our snowiest period is Dec 1-March 15.  About 1/3 of our annual mean snowfall is from Feb 15-March 15.  Yet some people want to throw that away every single year.  WTF 

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