psuhoffman Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 6 minutes ago, Cobalt said: How ya feelin about next winter? I feel it’s 10 months away and I still haven’t decided what’s for dinner tonight. 2 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: I feel it’s 10 months away The Australian model disagrees, looks like it's saying that it's 4 months away 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 I was busy at a work meeting at Crooked Crab Brewing. What did I miss. Everything fall apart? GFS collapse? ICON sucks? Euro blows chunks? The Canuck model is trash? Where’s the JMA? CRAS? Panasonic? Samsung? Sony? Speaking of trash… @stormtrackertrashed in Mexico?! Imma go with damn right he is!! Anyway—pick a GD model and ride that shit hard! Oh. And happy Wednesday! Cheers? Cut me the F off. Bu-bye. 2 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 5 minutes ago, Scraff said: I was busy at a work meeting at Crooked Crab Brewing. What did I miss. Everything fall apart? GFS collapse? ICON sucks? Euro blows chunks? The Canuck model is trash? Where’s the JMA? CRAS? Panasonic? Samsung? Sony? Speaking of trash… @stormtrackertrashed in Mexico?! Imma go with damn right he is!! Anyway—pick a GD model and ride that shit hard! Oh. And happy Wednesday! Cheers? Cut me the F off. Bu-bye. Call an Uber. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rvarookie Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 Least ya got the super bowl to watch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 WB 18Z GEFS… I see I did not miss anythIng going out to dinner… 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 We suck 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 8 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 18Z GEFS… I see I did not miss anythIng going out to dinner… It's really not that different than 6z or 12z. Just a touch south. I tend to hold things loosely, when the op is throwing out 6-10" totals and it's ensembles are barely over 2". 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 51 minutes ago, 87storms said: i think another point about this system is how much of it will stick after a week in the 50s. i know it can if temps fall quick enough, but it's another variable working against us here. i've been looking at the gfs periodically and was trying to figure out how it's even getting that stripe of snow. i guess it's due to mid level forcing because the surface low is ots. Right now the timing is still decent with the CAA pre-storm. The PBL improves on approach, which should keep the event either as straight snow, or a touch of rain before changing to snow. The ground temps will cool as snowfall chills the surface with elevated surfaces and grassy areas first to go. It's a standard event, and with it being overnight Sat into Sunday AM, impacts should be pretty low. More of a stats padder by the looks of it. I haven't dug too deep into the event since I've been working and have projects I've been working on for a spring conference, but from what I've seen, its a borderline event with WWA potential for portions of the sub. I don't foresee this changing to something more significant. Missing a prominent southern stream influence to get it to more SECS territory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 56 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Agree with all this. Unfortunately Ninas give me an ulcer. Since I've only lived at 40N or south, they have been mostly pain for me. I am less enthused going into the season with them, but I still watch to see if something can surprise. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 34 minutes ago, BristowWx said: Call an Uber. I’m fine. I’m home now. I just went off the deep end for a second and forgot that I’m a good swimmer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jewell2188 Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 Now that we are back to reality, looking forward to spring!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 2 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Euro already diverging from the Gfs through 63. At 72 Euro looks further west with the troff than both the GFS and it's own 12z run. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 4 minutes ago, Amped said: At 72 Euro looks further west with the troff than both the GFS and it's own 12z run. We need to will some snow into the snow starved Tundra of Northern MD. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 1 minute ago, Chris78 said: We need to will some snow into the snow starved Tundra of Northern MD. Gotta believe you guys oughta make up some ground eventually! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 2 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: It wasn't hard to improve imby on the Euro . 0 snow at 12z and 1" this run Have a map? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 1 minute ago, losetoa6 said: It wasn't hard to improve imby on the Euro . 0 snow at 12z and 1" this run Better. One more panel would have been nice. EPS should be interesting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prestige Worldwide Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 1 minute ago, Prestige Worldwide said: Doesn’t look that bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 12z for comparison Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 Just now, CAPE said: 12z for comparison Looks better to me 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 W light precip still falling. 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 36 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: Right now the timing is still decent with the CAA pre-storm. The PBL improves on approach, which should keep the event either as straight snow, or a touch of rain before changing to snow. The ground temps will cool as snowfall chills the surface with elevated surfaces and grassy areas first to go. It's a standard event, and with it being overnight Sat into Sunday AM, impacts should be pretty low. More of a stats padder by the looks of it. I haven't dug too deep into the event since I've been working and have projects I've been working on for a spring conference, but from what I've seen, its a borderline event with WWA potential for portions of the sub. I don't foresee this changing to something more significant. Missing a prominent southern stream influence to get it to more SECS territory. interesting. usually there's a defined shorthwave or surface low, but this one just kinda pops precip from the 700 layer it seems (i'm not knowledgeable enough to know exactly). i'll have to look into the details/caa more. also, after i posted i checked out some of the other models (icon/cmc) and was expecting a whiff, but it looked decent lol. maybe most people are just ready for a secs/mecs at this point, but i'm good with a stats padder. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 certainly better at 500. NS is digging more and the trough is a bit held back 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 3 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: certainly better at 500. NS is digging more and the trough is a bit held back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 1 hour ago, Scraff said: I was busy at a work meeting at Crooked Crab Brewing. What did I miss. Everything fall apart? GFS collapse? ICON sucks? Euro blows chunks? The Canuck model is trash? Where’s the JMA? CRAS? Panasonic? Samsung? Sony? Speaking of trash… @stormtrackertrashed in Mexico?! Imma go with damn right he is!! Anyway—pick a GD model and ride that shit hard! Oh. And happy Wednesday! Cheers? Cut me the F off. Bu-bye. I’m destroyed more than y’all will be. Muhahahahah. Burp 12 5 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wtkidz Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 1 hour ago, 87storms said: i think another point about this system is how much of it will stick after a week in the 50s. i know it can if temps fall quick enough, but it's another variable working against us here. i've been looking at the gfs periodically and was trying to figure out how it's even getting that stripe of snow. i guess it's due to mid level forcing because the surface low is ots. Well let me tell you about the 14.5”.of non sticking storm Jan 3 after all warm December. I literally wore shorts on Sunday and had long johns on Monday. It can happen will it ? Mother Nature knows. . 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted February 10, 2022 Author Share Posted February 10, 2022 1 minute ago, wtkidz said: Well let me tell you about the 14.5”.of non sticking storm Jan 3 after all warm December. I literally wore shorts on Sunday and had long johns on Monday. It can happen will it ? Mother Nature knows. . I just had this argument with my husband. He said there is no way to expect anything to stitch. He apparently blocked out the 50’s and 60’s that we had for a couple of weeks before January 3rd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wtkidz Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 1 hour ago, Scraff said: I was busy at a work meeting at Crooked Crab Brewing. What did I miss. Everything fall apart? GFS collapse? ICON sucks? Euro blows chunks? The Canuck model is trash? Where’s the JMA? CRAS? Panasonic? Samsung? Sony? Speaking of trash… @stormtrackertrashed in Mexico?! Imma go with damn right he is!! Anyway—pick a GD model and ride that shit hard! Oh. And happy Wednesday! Cheers? Cut me the F off. Bu-bye. I now wasted 42 seconds of my life reading this and it is my own @#{:;}( fault. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormfly Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 In the 80s I was witness to see it go from 80s to 20s, severe including hail and tornadoes to cold rain and then snow. Ending up with nearly 2 feet of snow. This was at Norman OK in mid March. If it snows hard enough it will eventually stick as the ground cools. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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