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February Medium/Long Range Discussion


snowmagnet
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12 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

It’s Feb 9. There’s enough time for a lot of snow.

Get ready, it’s coming. Lol

I wasn’t towel throwing. Just saying it’s not Dec when some 3” snow puts me in the holiday mood.  Or Jan when maybe I can build a snowpack. At this point a few more 2-4” snows don’t do much for me. The only thing that would change my perception of this winter would be some dynamic events. 
 

im not mad though. Actually I’ve been more focused on my weekend ski trips (got ikon pass and am getting my moneys worth) and I’ve seen a ton of snow in WV and Vermont. 
 

BTW for those that get frustrated tracking this is helpful. It’s making the winter fly by and I have multiple locations to track for every week. So I’m not even upset about it but objectively it’s been an absolutely horrible winter here and nothing short of some big storms will change that now. I’m 27” short of average going into mid February. I’m not gonna nickel and dime out if that hole. 

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4 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said:

Lmao I actually thoroughly enjoy the Weather Will WB maps. Why?! No logical or scientific explanation behind it. 

Taking a peak at the snowfall mean as we get closer is fine, but still a lot to be resolved. Posting probability maps with silly commentary provides no value.

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gfs_midRH_us_18.png

I'm with CAPE's thoughts. The front sets up a nice wedge of cold surface and mid level air for a very basic isentropic upglide snow maker. This is the escape hatch and possibly the main show. This type of snow event does not rely heavily on synoptics from the coastal. This is where my eyes are until guidance locks into the low prob unblocked coastal runner. 

 

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4 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

gfs_midRH_us_18.png

I'm with CAPE's thoughts. The front sets up a nice wedge of cold surface and mid level air for a very basic isentropic upglide snow maker. This is the escape hatch and possibly the main show. This type of snow event does not rely heavily on synoptics from the coastal. This is where my eyes are until guidance locks into the low prob unblocked coastal runner. 

 

Why not both?

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