Maestrobjwa Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 2 minutes ago, Chris78 said: Happy hour weenie run. Another hit for the following Friday. Not sure you can call that a "hit' per se...cold chasing precip and all, lol BUT, it does continue to look stormy around that period but way too far out to know how Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 5 hours ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Don’t be surprised if the storm around day 10 trends to our biggest threat of the year. We haven’t seen a storm in a long time blow up like that to our west. I could see that trending below us and for once that one seems to have a little power behind it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 9 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Not sure you can call that a "hit' per se...cold chasing precip and all, lol BUT, it does continue to look stormy around that period but way too far out to know how It'll change in 6 hours but there is a low that forms along the front south of us that delivers the snow. That is a scenario that can deliver snow to our area. Especially if there's enough separation. But it's 10 days out and will look different in 6 hours. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 2 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Hey I'm with ya on this one...that period of time has always interested me more than this weekend...albeit perhaps this weekend can still get a little something! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevWarReenactor Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 Isn't that kind of the storm we just had? One of the L's rides the front but this time the front is further south. Yeah, I am sure that will work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 5 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Problem is by the time it's done trending the Bermuda weenies will be high fiving each other. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 2 minutes ago, RevWarReenactor said: Yeah, I am sure that I will post something positive someday! Or something remotely interesting. Or something that contributes to the discussion. I think I can. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 This is absolutely getting on my last nerve 3 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 3 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: This is absolutely getting on my last nerve All freaking winter 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 17 minutes ago, Chris78 said: It'll change in 6 hours but there is a low that forms along the front south of us that delivers the snow. That is a scenario that can deliver snow to our area. Especially if there's enough separation. But it's 10 days out and will look different in 6 hours. Yup. Get the @Bob Chill 8-2 front orientation instead of 7-1 and if that southern wave can lag a little bit, it could be a snowy hit. Ensemble individuals have been highlighting that period for a few days. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 14 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: This is absolutely getting on my last nerve Apologies for needing the joke to be explained...enlighten me if you will, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 8 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Apologies for needing the joke to be explained...enlighten me if you will, lol I think he got a wedgie all winter 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 8 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Apologies for needing the joke to be explained...enlighten me if you will, lol He is upset that he has not gotten as much snow as he should have by now. Despite having more days with snow on the ground than the majority of the forum. This is due to most storms missing to the east and south which this storm also appears to be doing on the latest run of the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 20 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Apologies for needing the joke to be explained...enlighten me if you will, lol I live right in the middle of that precip min that has been there all winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 12 minutes ago, Solution Man said: I think he got a wedgie all winter Lol this is true Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 Been busy so catching up on HH run. For the snow map weenies the ens mean looks serviceable I suppose.(except for WinterWxLuvr) 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 Don’t care what y’all have to do to make this storm happen so don’t fail me. I will think less of you all if there is no storm. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 3 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: I dare say extraping the Nam looks like a decent hit . Where's the DGEX when u need it You just had to didn’t ya 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 1 minute ago, losetoa6 said: I dare say extraping the Nam looks like a decent hit . Where's the DGEX when u need it I'm a little concerned about that wind barb over northern Idaho. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 11 minutes ago, CAPE said: Been busy so catching up on HH run. For the snow map weenies the ens mean looks serviceable I suppose.(except for WinterWxLuvr) It’s good for the favored areas this season. We accept. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 From Mount Holly AFD this afternoon- For Sunday and Monday...Our sensible weather during this time frame, especially Sunday, will be determined from what develops offshore of the Carolinas, however temperature-wise it looks much colder. Much of the guidance is in agreement that low pressure develops along Saturday`s frontal zone that is located offshore. This occurs as the large scale upper-level trough shifts closer to the East Coast. However, the low pressure placement, track and intensity will depend on how far south and east the colder air presses and also if any interaction (phasing) starts to occur from northern stream energy and energy tracking along and eventually out of the Gulf Coast states. Much of the guidance keeps the features more separate and therefore the surface low is well offshore and more progressive. Some ensemble member guidance however does show a closer to the coast track of the surface low, so this at least bears some watching. Despite the surface low tracking well offshore, an upper- level jet feature may result in a zone of forcing for ascent for a time Sunday, especially across our coastal plain. For now given the uncertainty, we kept some low PoPs (20-30 percent) in place. Whatever does develop should be moving away by Monday as the main upper-level trough axis swings across our region and surface high pressure starts to arrive from the west. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 Sterling nibbling: .LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... Split upper level flow will persist Friday over the central and eastern U.S. There remains the potential for some wintry precipitation over parts of the region late in the weekend, which will ultimately be determined by the interaction of the northern and southern stream. At the surface, high pressure will reside over the southeast U.S. on Friday with a Saskatchewan Screamer (Alberta Clipper) moving over the northern Great Lakes. This system will progress eastward on Saturday, with a cold front passing through the local region likely sometime Saturday. Highs ahead of this cold front could approach the upper 50s to near 60 degrees east of I-81. Temperatures will remain closer to normal (or slightly below) Sunday heading into early next week as an upper level trough moves overhead. Regarding precipitation potential, ensemble probabilities and the NBM indicate snow is possible across the region, with higher probabilities along the Allegheny Front Saturday night except in wedgie areas 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 18 minutes ago, snowfan said: It’s good for the favored areas this season. We accept. Haha, you mark it down. We will have the last laugh 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 1 minute ago, Solution Man said: higher probabilities along the Allegheny Front Saturday night Which is exactly where I’ll be 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 @CAPE do you have any precip/mslp for the storm around day 10? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 4 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: @CAPE do you have any precip/mslp for the storm around day 10? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 WB 18Z GEFS. Couple of very acceptable outcomes. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 2 minutes ago, CAPE said: I like that 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said: I like that Pretty decent signal at range for something other than an offshore scraper. Maybe something for inlanders to finally get more excited about. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 3 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: wow...that's a heck of a spread! Next 24 hrs should be interesting to watch. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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