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February Medium/Long Range Discussion


snowmagnet
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Verbatim that northern stream energy is coming in like a wrecking ball on both the 0z GFS and Euro runs. It doesn't phase and just aids in kicking the southern shortwave east. Luckily at this juncture that solution probably isn't correct, and it wouldn't take much adjustment in the timing and degree of interaction to get a much different outcome.

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4 minutes ago, LP08 said:

ICON SUCKS.

 

Neutral in the TN Valley.  Significant change from 0z.

6B881CC4-27CA-4B5A-908F-295F6B7F329C.png

Basically this is the only time I’d ever want to see what the ICON was showing after this frame.  It seemed like it was about to go negative on the next panel.  Phasing was happening at 102 and then it looked like the NS lobe was phasing into the backside at 120.

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19 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said:

Any risk this phases too much and pulls up through central VA? I like the trends we are seeing though. Man, I sure hope the numbers games plays out in this one 

I suspect we phase too late.. but it does have that feel of the storm earlier this year that was phased with the northern stream as it hit our latitude. I think a miss to the south at this point is the biggest concern.. but, in the Mid Atlantic, we always have a million concerns.. so many ways to fail.. need the luck to win!

 

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My friends knew the job was dangerous when they took it. I told them either I’d cancel and rebook the trip or I’d leave a day early if there was a storm over a foot.  They knew.  They knew!  And this was 3 months ago i told them.  Problem is I think this storm would happen too late even if i did get back Sunday instead of Monday.  So I might just be stuck. And in a corner in the fetal position while they are on the beach Sunday. 

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6 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

My friends knew the job was dangerous when they took it. I told them either I’d cancel and rebook the trip or I’d leave a day early if there was a storm over a foot.  They knew.  They knew!  And this was 3 months ago i told them.  Problem is I think this storm would happen too late even if i did get back Sunday instead of Monday.  So I might just be stuck. And in a corner in the fetal position while they are on the beach Sunday. 

This happened to me while I was in Puerto Rico on Jan 3. Had to smile and wave with my family -- and that was "just" 8"!

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6 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

My friends knew the job was dangerous when they took it. I told them either I’d cancel and rebook the trip or I’d leave a day early if there was a storm over a foot.  They knew.  They knew!  And this was 3 months ago i told them.  Problem is I think this storm would happen too late even if i did get back Sunday instead of Monday.  So I might just be stuck. And in a corner in the fetal position while they are on the beach Sunday. 

We can skype you in? :weep:

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