Wonderdog Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 Western ridge looks much improved this morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 51 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Nice to see a couple huggers in there . I’d like to see some inland solutions myself 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 ICON SUCKS. Neutral in the TN Valley. Significant change from 0z. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 2 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: I tend to agree. Let's get this thing real tightly tucked before the inevitable bleed east . I want 960 over Hampton Roads with a 1045 high over NY. 4 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 2 minutes ago, LP08 said: ICON SUCKS. Neutral in the TN Valley. Significant change from 0z. That is a massive change. It looks like it’s going for a big phase, if not too late 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 4 minutes ago, LP08 said: ICON SUCKS. Neutral in the TN Valley. Significant change from 0z. Basically this is the only time I’d ever want to see what the ICON was showing after this frame. It seemed like it was about to go negative on the next panel. Phasing was happening at 102 and then it looked like the NS lobe was phasing into the backside at 120. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 3 hours ago, CAPE said: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 Any risk this phases too much and pulls up through central VA? I like the trends we are seeing though. Man, I sure hope the numbers games plays out in this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 59 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: I want 960 over Hampton Roads with a 1045 high over NY. On Tuesday 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 19 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said: Any risk this phases too much and pulls up through central VA? I like the trends we are seeing though. Man, I sure hope the numbers games plays out in this one I suspect we phase too late.. but it does have that feel of the storm earlier this year that was phased with the northern stream as it hit our latitude. I think a miss to the south at this point is the biggest concern.. but, in the Mid Atlantic, we always have a million concerns.. so many ways to fail.. need the luck to win! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 Guess I’ll do a little pbp today, Altho imma be sick if i have to drop Jaws up in here. 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 My friends knew the job was dangerous when they took it. I told them either I’d cancel and rebook the trip or I’d leave a day early if there was a storm over a foot. They knew. They knew! And this was 3 months ago i told them. Problem is I think this storm would happen too late even if i did get back Sunday instead of Monday. So I might just be stuck. And in a corner in the fetal position while they are on the beach Sunday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 6Z EPS says you will have nothing to worry about. One member has a big storm…. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 6 minutes ago, stormtracker said: My friends knew the job was dangerous when they took it. I told them either I’d cancel and rebook the trip or I’d leave a day early if there was a storm over a foot. They knew. They knew! And this was 3 months ago i told them. Problem is I think this storm would happen too late even if i did get back Sunday instead of Monday. So I might just be stuck. And in a corner in the fetal position while they are on the beach Sunday. This happened to me while I was in Puerto Rico on Jan 3. Had to smile and wave with my family -- and that was "just" 8"! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
diatae Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 6 minutes ago, stormtracker said: My friends knew the job was dangerous when they took it. I told them either I’d cancel and rebook the trip or I’d leave a day early if there was a storm over a foot. They knew. They knew! And this was 3 months ago i told them. Problem is I think this storm would happen too late even if i did get back Sunday instead of Monday. So I might just be stuck. And in a corner in the fetal position while they are on the beach Sunday. We can skype you in? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 15 minutes ago, stormtracker said: On Tuesday For you, ok 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 5 minutes ago, Weather Will said: 6Z EPS says you will have nothing to worry about. One member has a big storm…. Yeah the map @CAPE posted ain’t too impressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 Remember though, we don’t want it to show on models until Saturday lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Yeah the map @CAPE posted ain’t too impressive 6Z GEFS is much better… 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 It was a week ago that we were watching the “storm” that went through yesterday. We should see more enthusiasm from EPS soon if next week’s potential is more than just another fish storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 26 minutes ago, Weather Will said: 6Z GEFS is much better… Damn, there are many of those that would make the winter for me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 39 minutes ago, Weather Will said: 6Z GEFS is much better… Outside of the GFS being too strong on the cold push for the last fake ice storm, I still feel good seeing this vs the euro showing it and not the GFS. Let’s reel this in! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsnowman Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 Mother Nature has been throwing us a bunch of sliders down and away. And so we’ve been getting a little anxious, crowding the zone, and so she throws us a few cutters (6z GEFS). Surprised to see that. Hopefully 12z gives us some meat right in our zone. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 2 hours ago, WinterWxLuvr said: I want 960 over Hampton Roads with a 1045 high over NY. I want a million dollars. I am more likely to get that then for you to get your wish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 1 hour ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Remember though, we don’t want it to show on models until Saturday lol Some actually say and mean that…but for the most part 90% of storms end up hitting the general place they bullseye once inside 100 hours. There are some adjustments on the fringes but once we get to 100 hours the guidance has been really good the last few years. Seems between 150 to 100 hours is when the convergence on a close to reality solution happens. We’re in that zone now. And it’s trending better. Problem is that trend could end anytime and very soon I suspect we see guidance find something close to the final outcome and we still have a bit of work to do. We haven’t had much luck getting the SS to time up with the NS lately. Our best chances came when the NS simply dug enough to get it done itself. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 ICON is a late bloomer that hammers NYC on North. Some snow for the area though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 2 minutes ago, LP08 said: ICON is a late bloomer that hammers NYC on North. Some snow for the area though. Sounds about Nina! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 Stuck in a meeting where my manager likes to hear himself talk. Pbp from me postponed until 18z i guess. The way this meeting is going, maybe not until 0z. 1 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 I mean, at 132 hrs...We've tried to will storms back with much worse looks than this. EDIT: THE ICON SUCKS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 7 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Sounds about Nina! Not even close to a Miller B. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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