jayyy Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 1 hour ago, losetoa6 said: Pretty cold week ahead up here except for Tues per HH Gfs . Maybe a early March clipper This is our time to shine. Late feb into mid March. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 43 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: it was 3-10-76. A year with very little snow before that. According to coop data it was a general 8-12” across our area. Some specific totals I found. 8.1” in Westminster, 12.5 in Unionville. 12” in Hanover. 9” in Emmitsburg, 10.5 in Parkton I remember that one I think. I was just a kid and it was a nearly snowless winter and the forecast was for 1-2" iirc. Ended up with close to a foot. School let out early and fun times sledding late that afternoon. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 4 hours ago, CAPE said: 2018 was a good one. Classic paste bomb even here. Think I ended up with 7" or so, and you probably did better iirc. Ofc that was another one of those recent "good" Nina winters for eastern areas in general. 3 hours ago, psuhoffman said: I think I had 14” from that. 4.5" downtown DC on 3/21/2018 +SN that morning...I had a cartopper+ on 3/6/18, but don't recall it 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 4.5" downtown DC on 3/21/2018 +SN that morning...I had a cartopper+ on 3/6/18, but don't recall it And a world series 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 Do you notice how the PNA/EPO and NAO are always dancing? 1) I see Winter pretty much over 2) the +PNA this Jan and Feb might give us a -PNA next Jan and Feb, but with -NAO or AO maybe 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 WB 0Z GEFS teleconnections. No PNA help, but other indices still give us hope the week of March 7…. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 The medium range looks pretty active but for now it looks like most of the action will be north of us. Looking ahead, recent GFS op runs have advertised a winter storm that takes a more favorable track for our region around the 10th. Looks active leading up to that and the pattern looks decent, but it remains to be seen if anything can track underneath. The best h5 look on the GEFS is centered on March 10 with a favorable AO and NAO, indication low heights off the Canadian Maritimes, and there is a bit of a signal for a storm. Still out in fantasyland and it is getting kinda late. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 11 hours ago, Deck Pic said: 4.5" downtown DC on 3/21/2018 +SN that morning...I had a cartopper+ on 3/6/18, but don't recall it My main note on 3/21/18 was that I lost to all three airports (3.7”). 3/6 was very warm ~35 for the snowfall here so I’m not surprised it didn’t collect in DC. 0.9” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternFringe Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 15 hours ago, psuhoffman said: I think I had 14” from that. I had 7" here that completely melted by early evening! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dallen7908 Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 The EPS snowfall mean at College Park for the next 15 days is 0.3" of which 0.1" "occurred" this morning. The mean exceeded the 75th PCTL, which was ~0.15". The GEFS snowfall mean for the next 10 days is also low ~0.1" mostly due to one member which gives us 3" on the 6th. This is quite unusual for February - in almost any pattern. I'd be nervous to take the "under" of these model "forecasts". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 1 hour ago, WesternFringe said: I had 7" here that completely melted by early evening! I had snow cover for like 5 days from that lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 22 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: I had snow cover for like 5 days from that lol Yeah I don't remember it melting that fast. Ofc the height of it here was late afternoon I think with the deform band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 4 minutes ago, CAPE said: Yeah I don't remember it melting that fast. Ofc the height of it here was late afternoon I think with the deform band. We got nailed with the first part here. Solid 7 inches and temperatures fell into the 20's midday with heavy snow. Then the lull and snow starting again before the next morning and snowed all day. Picked up another 7 inches or so. I recorded 15 for the event but don't think we ever had more than 11-12 inches on the ground. Very impressive storm for so late. Snow had no problem sticking to paved surfaces both days during the afternoons. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 it's never a good sign when the long range thread consists solely of reminiscing. i do see a clipper thing next week on the gfs, but that's about it. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 35 minutes ago, HighStakes said: We got nailed with the first part here. Solid 7 inches and temperatures fell into the 20's midday with heavy snow. Then the lull and snow starting again before the next morning and snowed all day. Picked up another 7 inches or so. I recorded 15 for the event but don't think we ever had more than 11-12 inches on the ground. Very impressive storm for so late. Snow had no problem sticking to paved surfaces both days during the afternoons. I went back and looked at my photos and it was more of an all day event here on the 21st, but didn't really get going good until early afternoon. Heaviest was late afternoon into the early evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternFringe Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 52 minutes ago, CAPE said: Yeah I don't remember it melting that fast. Ofc the height of it here was late afternoon I think with the deform band. I live south and west of most in the forum, so it was over by morning. Although I do have 1550' in elevation, the temps that day rose to mid 40s and the sun came out in force. The kids and I sledded on it while it was melting and marveled at how fast 7" could disappear. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 Gfs with a few wintry chances and cold mid range. Woo lol March Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 How we lookin? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve25 Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 6 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: How we lookin? Prepare for a lot of 50ish days with sliding chilly rain events every now and then 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 41 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: How we lookin? 34 minutes ago, Steve25 said: Prepare for a lot of 50ish days with sliding chilly rain events every now and then Yep gonna start looking hard at my golf clubs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 Euro didn't look terrible at d10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 6 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Probably not, but you never know. It has been hinting at a little something for that timeframe but that sort of a look will almost always be underwhelming east of the mountains and/or end up further north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 At this juncture I would put my money(about a dollar) on the March 8-12 window for a possible modest to moderate winter storm based on the currently advertised pattern progression on the means. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 2 minutes ago, CAPE said: At this juncture I would put my money(about a dollar) on the March 8-12 window for a possible modest to moderate winter storm based on the currently advertised pattern progression on the means. You trying to get a third storm thread named after you? Lol, but you’ve been a great poster this year consistently calling out windows for threats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 1 minute ago, SnowenOutThere said: You trying to get a third storm thread named after you? Lol, but you’ve been a great poster this year consistently calling out windows for threats. It's a crapshoot, and it wasn't my idea to name storms after me lol. (well the Jan 3 one maybe given the crap pattern we were in at the time I got bullish on that window). The last one(the fail for this Sunday)I just saw as a sneaky chance with that trailing wave after the storm of last night went by and the boundary sinking south, with colder air in place. It looked promising for a few days, but as has often been the case this winter, the guidance was pretty far off on the timing and placement of the NS feature(s) at range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted February 26, 2022 Share Posted February 26, 2022 Winter weather looks done! Cold a few days.. Probably.. Any snow seems like a fantasy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 26, 2022 Share Posted February 26, 2022 New thread. Enough of this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted February 26, 2022 Share Posted February 26, 2022 10 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: New thread. Enough of this one. I guess the amount of pages was too much for you. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 26, 2022 Share Posted February 26, 2022 1 hour ago, SnowenOutThere said: I guess the amount of pages was too much for you. Haha you are correct. I mean c’mon, am I really supposed to have to click on a number as high as 82? Seriously? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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