CAPE Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 On 2/21/2022 at 6:41 PM, Ji said: if thats a full phase...we are in big trouble then lol Expand It is a phase but it's positively tilted. Given the ridge axis and the continued progressive nature of the pattern, I'm not sure what you are looking for is in the cards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 On 2/21/2022 at 6:51 PM, North Balti Zen said: Old hat, now, right? Bored with all the snow? Expand The Raleigh crew is beaten down. Screw zone this winter. Hampton Roads/NE NC above climo (I average 3.5/year. Got about 12 so far) so it's house money for us now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 On 2/21/2022 at 7:03 PM, CAPE said: It is a phase but it's positively tilted. Given the ridge axis and the continued progressive nature of the pattern, I'm not sure what you are looking for is in the cards. Expand im looking for a 12 inch plus storm...this wont get it done. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 WB 12Z EPS, looking for the 6 inch plus storm…. NE snow potential from late week event. About 7 nice hits… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevWarReenactor Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 I might hit both storms. Chasing #1 to Albany. Bare ground; fresh blanket of snow. Drive home to bare ground; storm #2 ; fresh blanket of snow? That might be more fun than I can handle. Exciting. Let’s do this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 On 2/21/2022 at 7:27 PM, CAPE said: Expand 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 On 2/21/2022 at 7:27 PM, CAPE said: Expand green excites me--till i look at chart and it says .10 lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 On 2/21/2022 at 7:36 PM, NorthArlington101 said: Expand That's not a bad look 6 days out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 On 2/21/2022 at 7:38 PM, Ji said: green excites me--till i look at chart and it says .10 lol. Expand A tweak or 2 and we are good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 On 2/21/2022 at 7:48 PM, Chris78 said: That's not a bad look 6 days out. Expand I've got a goldfish-like memory but it's arguably the best look of the year 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 On 2/21/2022 at 7:50 PM, CAPE said: A tweak or 2 and we are good. Expand Rule of the year: Wait till Wednesday, lol Given how the season as gone, you gotta wonder if it gets better or is it another scrape... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 Sunday has a pretty interesting setup... definitely has some upside potential one of the major features that we often need for a larger system to have a reasonable shot at delivering throughout the MA from VA to NYC is the presence of a 50/50 ULL to provide some confluence. we would definitely have that here. the TPV that's responsible for the +NAO is actually delivering significant confluence here, acting as a "fake" block there's also a highly anomalous ridge that forms from the Rockies up into W Canada, which will allow for NS waves to dig and amplify as the SS wave moves across the country. it's not often you see a 2 sigma ridge building poleward like that this is by no means a perfect setup, and it does need some work, but there is definitely heightened potential for a larger event here given the overall pattern 6 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 On 2/21/2022 at 6:45 PM, Prestige Worldwide said: A win for the cats tail Expand Same crap with every single storm. F this winter. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 On 2/21/2022 at 8:20 PM, clskinsfan said: Same crap with every single storm. this winter. Expand I feel ya...kinda felt the same. Sometimes around here once a trend sets in for a season it's hard to get a different result. But we shall see... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 Not much differences between 12z and 18z GFS so far at H5. Definitely not like the Euro so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 GFS still almost a carbon copy of 12z at 117 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 GFS actually gets the heavier precip further north than 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 Pretty decent run, all things considered. SFC is warm, but was at 12z also. So think 12z with a further north push of the heavies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 On 2/21/2022 at 10:16 PM, stormtracker said: GFS actually gets the heavier precip further north than 12z Expand Yea southern/central into northern va getting nuked at 138. S/w looked healthier starting at 126. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 2-4 for winterwxlvr land, 4 to 6 for DC...6 to 8 just SE and over to CAPE land I think? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 I mean, I guess it can stick with temps 33 to 35 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 WB 18Z GFS….snow hole ticked NW 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 Looks way different on SV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 On 2/21/2022 at 10:19 PM, stormtracker said: 2-4 for winterwxlvr land, 4 to 6 for DC...6 to 8 just SE and over to CAPE land I think? Expand I’m out lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 On 2/21/2022 at 10:20 PM, stormtracker said: I mean, I guess it can stick with temps 33 to 35 Expand Looks like temperatures are below freezing through at least 12Z Sunday then go up to low-mid 30s around 18Z-ish to 00Z? Then they tank. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 On 2/21/2022 at 10:20 PM, stormtracker said: I mean, I guess it can stick with temps 33 to 35 Expand yea moderate snow in March sun is really going to pile up at 34 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 On 2/21/2022 at 10:22 PM, Weather Will said: WB 18Z GFS….snow hole ticked NW Expand winchester is a horrible place for snow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChesterfieldVa80 Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 On 2/21/2022 at 10:22 PM, Weather Will said: WB 18Z GFS….snow hole ticked NW Expand Does this capture all the upslope in WV? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 Improved, but a lot of white rain if temps, timing, and rates do not improve! But at least it is now in the vicinity! This one has warmth screaming a disappointment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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