CAPE Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 12z GEFS members for the Sunday- early Tuesday timeframe. A bit scattershot on the timing and evolution but it is emerging as a period of interest. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 On 2/19/2022 at 4:31 PM, CAPE said: lol no thanks. Another 75-100 miles south will do it. It will probably end up the other way, which I would prefer to this. Expand I'm on team CAPE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 Man, I see some of these hidden posts. We need snow, BADLY. At least I had my meltdown early in the season...got that out of the way. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 On 2/19/2022 at 5:44 PM, stormtracker said: Man, I see some of these hidden posts. We need snow, BADLY. At least I had my meltdown early in the season...got that out of the way. Expand Someone should have hidden the magic gravity gibberish post. People just can't resist replying lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 I don’t know if end result will be better yet, but cold air advancing SE faster on WB 12Z EURO compared to 0Z on Wed. Am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 On 2/19/2022 at 5:38 PM, Weather Will said: Sorry this is banter but we are waiting for EURO. Got out with my free oil change, free new wipers, and free brake fluid…..exceeded expectations. Now we need to find 50-100 miles as depicted by WB GEFS thru 10 days and exceed expectations in the snow department.We never get the miles shift we need. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 Snow/mix in the parts area at 123 on the EURO north of about Culpeper mostly rain for all by 129 (using the 3hr maps)- pretty much a nothingburger. 00z was better with winter effects from that wave even though this was slightly further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 1 pm Th…weak wave moves in and out then wait on next wave which is warmer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 On 2/19/2022 at 6:26 PM, NorthArlington101 said: Snow/mix in the parts area at 123 on the EURO north of about Culpeper mostly rain for all by 129 (using the 3hr maps)- pretty much a nothingburger. 00z was better with winter effects from that wave even though this was slightly further south. Expand Likely that the GFS is too cold. Hate to say it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 WB 12Z EURO freezing rain thru Friday am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 On 2/19/2022 at 6:30 PM, stormtracker said: Likely that the GFS is too cold. Hate to say it. Expand That's the default take at this point until proven otherwise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 Euro has the CAPE storm. Plenty cold too 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 On 2/19/2022 at 6:51 PM, stormtracker said: Euro has the CAPE storm Expand Right where we want it. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 Looks a tad cold behind it. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 On 2/19/2022 at 6:55 PM, CAPE said: Right where we want it. Expand #SeasonalTrend #AtmosphericMemory 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 Cape storm looks great! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 On 2/19/2022 at 7:08 PM, CAPE said: Looks a tad cold behind it. Expand It's gonna happen. Then were gonna get one last big hurrah to close out the season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 On 2/19/2022 at 6:55 PM, CAPE said: Right where we want it. Expand Kill me now. Right gd now 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 On 2/19/2022 at 7:47 PM, WinterWxLuvr said: Kill me now. Right gd now Expand We will need a 100 mile south shift for the first storm...it will go 75 miles more north then we will need a 100 mile north shift for the 2nd storm and it will go 75 miles more south 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 WB 12Z EPS….several big hits that would make everyone happy! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 On 2/19/2022 at 7:53 PM, Weather Will said: WB 12Z EPS….several big hits that would make everyone happy! Expand E14 is a LOCK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 On 2/19/2022 at 7:53 PM, Ji said: We will need a 100 mile south shift for the first storm...it will go 75 miles more north then we will need a 100 mile north shift for the 2nd storm and it will go 75 miles more south Expand this is actually the ground truth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 On 2/19/2022 at 7:53 PM, Weather Will said: WB 12Z EPS….several big hits that would make everyone happy! Expand Can you do the individuals through 168 and 240? I’m not interested in beyond day ten. Really not beyond day 7. Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 On 2/19/2022 at 7:56 PM, North Balti Zen said: this is actually the ground truth Expand Well….then there is the control…. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 On 2/19/2022 at 7:57 PM, WinterWxLuvr said: Can you do the individuals through 168 and 240? I’m not interested in beyond day ten. Really not beyond day 7. Thanks Expand WB 12Z EPS 168, slim pickings for storm 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 WB 240 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 WB 12Z EPS heart of the cold centered March 2. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted February 19, 2022 Author Share Posted February 19, 2022 I think this is encouraging for some more winter. The Euro is a little south and the GFS is a little north. Hopefully they can meet in the middle. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 On 2/19/2022 at 7:47 PM, WinterWxLuvr said: Kill me now. Right gd now Expand I see how this is going down. Wont be any bunnies left in Smithsburg 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted February 19, 2022 Share Posted February 19, 2022 On 2/19/2022 at 8:00 PM, Weather Will said: WB 12Z EPS 168, slim pickings for storm 1 Expand Don’t think anyone expects much snow with storm one…the question is does the ensembles support more wintry precip than the OP did today or no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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