Ralph Wiggum Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 1 hour ago, Weather Will said: WB 12Z EURO….old King wants its throne back! Is DT intrigued? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 Mentioned in the PHL group but how odd is it that all 3 major global ops have the V-Day storm in one form or another and are really close to something big-ticket but all 3 ens means have virtually nothing? Weird right? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 Just now, Ralph Wiggum said: Mentioned in the PHL group but how odd is it that all 3 major global ops have the V-Day storm in one form or another and are really close to something big-ticket #TheBigOnesAreSniffedOutEarly 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 Let's see if the GFS serves up one of it's patented Saturday Happy Hour specials we've seen this winter, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 56 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: My perfect storm. Gives us 10-20” then obliterates the ski resort I’m going to right after it with 40”. ETA: my 10 hour drive to sugarloaf would have 20”+ otg the whole way lol. I’m a SE poster but will be going to Snowshoe next Friday-Weds …. So I will be lurking up here With y’all all week let’s bring it home! I’ve had 6” This year, and 12” two times in my life …. I’m 30, So obviously this would be the coolest weather related thing to me. Anyway, carry on lmao 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 8 minutes ago, PantherJustin said: I’m a SE poster but will be going to Snowshoe next Friday-Weds …. So I will be lurking up here With y’all all week let’s bring it home! I’ve had 6” This year, and 12” two times in my life …. I’m 30, So obviously this would be the coolest weather related thing to me. Anyway, carry on lmao Have fun at the Shoe 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 Incoming hr 207 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 Hope it looks like that next week this time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 Boom 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 I like what the gfs is selling 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 Looks like it starts wrapping up, then kind of loses it and goes back positive after a brief negative. I mean.. something is there across models now! Something to watch again! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 Wait, the euro and GFs both have a storm!? 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 Just now, LeesburgWx said: Wait, the euro and GFs both have a storm!? Canadian as well. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 5 minutes ago, midatlanticweather said: Canadian as well. End of season throw down….I will go away happy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 1 hour ago, midatlanticweather said: Canadian as well. Yet the eps, gefs, and geps have hardly a reflection at the surface during the same time. Don't ever recall all 3 ops honking at this range out with basically little to no ens support at all. Mind blown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 1 minute ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Yet the eps, gefs, and geps have hardly a reflection at the surface during the same time. Don't ever recall all 3 ops honking at this range out with basically little to no ens support at all. Mind blown. This range? As in D10? Isn't that kinda par for the course this far out? Lol (It's almost fantasy range, really) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kleimax Posted February 6, 2022 Share Posted February 6, 2022 Should we start a thread? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 6, 2022 Share Posted February 6, 2022 1 hour ago, SnowenOutThere said: I like what the gfs is selling Tuuuuuuuuucked 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 6, 2022 Share Posted February 6, 2022 Anybody got supper Euro? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 6, 2022 Share Posted February 6, 2022 6 minutes ago, Solution Man said: Anybody got supper Euro? Only goes out to 90hrs and ensembles only go out to 144 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 6, 2022 Share Posted February 6, 2022 Just now, Amped said: Only goes out to 90hrs and ensembles only go out to 144 Forgot, too much wine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 6, 2022 Share Posted February 6, 2022 2 hours ago, PantherJustin said: I’m a SE poster but will be going to Snowshoe next Friday-Weds …. So I will be lurking up here With y’all all week let’s bring it home! I’ve had 6” This year, and 12” two times in my life …. I’m 30, So obviously this would be the coolest weather related thing to me. Anyway, carry on lmao I’ll be at snowshoe with my kids next weekend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 6, 2022 Share Posted February 6, 2022 59 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Yet the eps, gefs, and geps have hardly a reflection at the surface during the same time. Don't ever recall all 3 ops honking at this range out with basically little to no ens support at all. Mind blown. The advertised pattern is highly chaotic with energy riding over an amplifying western US ridge and interacting with additional energy associated with the TPV, then there is also energy undercutting the western ridge and taking the southern route. The op runs are (frequently) phasing energy dropping down from the NS with existing energy further south, while the ensemble runs largely have less interaction or suggest a much later phase. The difference in resolution probably plays a big part in the disparate projected outcomes, especially at this range. In simple terms, we just cant know yet. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted February 6, 2022 Share Posted February 6, 2022 2 hours ago, midatlanticweather said: Looks like it starts wrapping up, then kind of loses it and goes back positive after a brief negative. I mean.. something is there across models now! Something to watch again! Looks like the bottom energy goes neutral tilt while the second piece of energy dives in behind it at a positive tilt and then phases with the first thing turning the whole system positive tilt. I think that’s what happens at least if anyone smarter than me wants to correct me please do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 6, 2022 Share Posted February 6, 2022 8 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: I’ll be at snowshoe with my kids next weekend. Leaving for 7 Springs tomorrow and snow mobile trails open 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 6, 2022 Share Posted February 6, 2022 6 minutes ago, CAPE said: The advertised pattern is highly chaotic with energy riding over an amplifying western US ridge and interacting with additional energy associated with the TPV, then there is also energy undercutting the western ridge and taking the southern route. The op runs are (frequently) phasing energy dropping down from the NS with existing energy further south, while the ensemble runs largely have less interaction or suggest a much later phase. The difference in resolution probably plays a big part in the disparate projected outcomes, especially at this range. In simple terms, we just cant know yet. I'll use the 18z GFS vs 18z GEFS to illustrate- Phase underway here.. Not happening on the ens mean.. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 6, 2022 Share Posted February 6, 2022 Ensembles have been garbage this year anyway. This might be the first time all winter we've had every major OP model have a winter storm at this range. What could go wrong?! Ha. 1 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted February 6, 2022 Share Posted February 6, 2022 Not really any chance for anything for a while here. This is really bad. +NAO/+EPO moving in tomorrow overperforms, then we flirt with 60s down the road it looks like. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted February 6, 2022 Share Posted February 6, 2022 No chance of snow until March 1 probably.. 2SD +NAO here 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 6, 2022 Share Posted February 6, 2022 17 minutes ago, Heisy said: Ensembles have been garbage this year anyway. This might be the first time all winter we've had every major OP model have a winter storm at this range. What could go wrong?! Ha. Be careful. They play an important role in NWP. At this juncture they are indicating that you may be disappointed if you expect the depiction on the latest op runs to be the correct outcome. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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