CAPE Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 Closer but the air mass is pretty shit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 On 2/5/2022 at 12:28 AM, Ji said: On 2/5/2022 at 12:09 AM, CAPE said: Remember December? Expand Dec we were chasing cold air. Snowstorms wasnt even a thought Expand Until I spotted the light at the end of the crapola pattern tunnel. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 On 2/5/2022 at 12:33 AM, CAPE said: Closer but the air mass is pretty shit. Expand Timing certainly can't hurt at least.. would be somewhat uncharacteristic to go this far into the winter without an elevation dependent forum divider, but that's just my hunch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 On 2/5/2022 at 12:44 AM, Cobalt said: Timing certainly can't hurt at least.. would be somewhat uncharacteristic to go this far into the winter without an elevation dependent forum divider, but that's just my hunch. Expand Might go that way with a bit more amplification. As it stands 925 mb down to the surface is just a tad too warm. Decent rates and dynamic cooling could possibly overcome that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 18z EPS a tad better than 12z, and surface is a bit colder than the op. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 On 2/5/2022 at 12:03 AM, Ji said: I don't think ive seen a worse pattern for snowstorm Expand You absolutely have. Just stop! It was yesterday. The week before. The week before. Last winter. The year before that. Etc etc. Now I’m about to hit back to EasternWX. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 On 2/5/2022 at 12:28 AM, Ji said: On 2/5/2022 at 12:09 AM, CAPE said: Remember December? Expand Dec we were chasing cold air. Snowstorms wasnt even a thought Expand Ah so you'd rather have it be winter of 2019-20 again? C'mon brother...we all know better! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 This sub is gonna get a big snowstorm. Keep right on checkin out those models. 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 On 2/5/2022 at 1:14 AM, CAPE said: 18z EPS a tad better than 12z, and surface is a bit colder than the op. Expand TRGAS is gonna happen. I’m claiming it. Start a thread @WinterWxLuvr 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 On 2/5/2022 at 2:19 AM, stormtracker said: TRGAS is gonna happen. I’m claiming it. Start a thread @WinterWxLuvr Expand I’ll do better than start a thread lol. We miss another one to the east, I’m retiring until next winter haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 On 2/5/2022 at 2:19 AM, stormtracker said: TRGAS is gonna happen. I’m claiming it. Start a thread @WinterWxLuvr Expand TRGAS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IUsedToHateCold Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 On 2/5/2022 at 2:38 AM, Maestrobjwa said: TRGAS? Expand The royal GFS allows snow 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 On 2/4/2022 at 8:49 PM, Maestrobjwa said: Forgive me but catastorphe is frickin' hilarious and should be a coined term here, lol Expand Done. Catastorphe teh yourslef TRGAS (The Royal GFS Allows Snow) stormtracker just coined it Aleet (how could I ever forget that one?!) anyone care to add others we've coined in here over the years? 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 On 2/5/2022 at 3:10 AM, Jebman said: Done. Catastorphe teh yourslef TRGAS (The Royal GFS Allows Snow) stormtracker just coined it anyone care to add others we've coined in here over the years? Expand Aleet 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 On 2/4/2022 at 9:26 PM, leesburg 04 said: The wurst kind....braunschweiger!!! Expand The Wurst of PDQ Bach! @Maestrobjwamight appreciate the reference! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 On 2/5/2022 at 2:32 AM, WinterWxLuvr said: I’ll do better than start a thread lol. We miss another one to the east, I’m retiring until next winter haha. Expand Not our winter so far for sure. Maybe March will deliver. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 On 2/5/2022 at 2:38 AM, Maestrobjwa said: TRGAS? Expand The Randy Going Away Storm. It's trademarked. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 So I gather it will be kinda dull in here for awhile until something halfway trackable shows up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 On 2/5/2022 at 3:39 AM, Always in Zugzwang said: The Wurst of PDQ Bach! @Maestrobjwamight appreciate the reference! Expand Hahaha PDQ! Bach's long lost son Another master of musical comedy! He's been this generation's Victor Borge, lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 On 2/5/2022 at 3:51 AM, Maestrobjwa said: Hahaha PDQ! Bach's long lost son Another master of musical comedy! He's been this generation's Victor Borge, lol Expand Haha! Yeah and Peter Schickele, of the "University of Southern North Dakota"! ETA... My parents sure twisted my mind by occasionally playing records (yes RECORDS!) of PDQ Bach shows! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 So the 0z GFS looks better vs 18z at h5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 On 2/5/2022 at 3:50 AM, Always in Zugzwang said: So I gather it will be kinda dull in here for awhile until something halfway trackable shows up! Expand My money is on PD weekend tracking next weekend...for better or worse, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 On 2/5/2022 at 3:53 AM, Always in Zugzwang said: Haha! Yeah and Peter Schickele, of the "University of Southern North Dakota"! ETA... My parents sure twisted my mind by occasionally playing records (yes RECORDS!) of PDQ Bach shows! Expand Wow Like...how long has he been around? Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 Gets. precip right along dc se border. before it heads out to sea Not sure if 18z did 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 On 2/5/2022 at 3:58 AM, stormtracker said: Gets. precip right along dc se border. before it heads out to sea Not sure if 18z did Expand I don't believe it did at 18Z offhand (but too lazy to go back and verify)... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 On 2/5/2022 at 3:59 AM, Always in Zugzwang said: I don't believe it did offhand (but to lazy to go back and verify)... Expand correct 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 Trend at h5 actually looks pretty good dare I say Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 On 2/4/2022 at 11:38 PM, Maestrobjwa said: Yeah but so many times though...that's a lot of random. Like 80 years and ya may have 3 big snows in the metro (and maybe a couple of 5 inchers) after PD weekend. And really...isn't the causation just...climo? March sun angle, lower elevation, etc? Expand If you're talking exclusively about 20"+ HECS storms, then yes the window for those closes around Feb 15th on the coastal plain. But those are extremely rare, like 1-2 per decade rare anyways. The odds we were going to get one of those in a nina was VERY VERY low anyways. But if we are just talking about a snowstorm, even a really significant 10" storm, the odds go down after Feb 15 but its not a cliff its a slow gradual decline until you get to late march where the door finally closes. The metro areas have had plenty of significant snowfalls in late Feb and March. Just off the top of my head there was a 8-12" late Feb storm in 1966. A 10-15" storm in late Feb 1987. I can't remember exactly what years but I know there were big storms (like 10"+) in both the late 1920s and late 1940's in late Feb. March 93, there was a pretty big storm in DC in March 99, A 6-12" storm in March 2009, a very big storm, I think 10-15" across the area in March 1960. I know there was a 8-10" march storm in 1976 and a big storm in March 62. I think there was a big march snowstorm in the 1940's also. Those are just BIG MECS 10" plus storms...there were countless 5-8" type snowstorms in late Feb and early March. The list isnt that much shorter than a similar list for early Feb or some random period in January even. Yes it lacks 20" plus HECS storms...but you made it sound like snow suddenly becomes harder after Feb 15th. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 On 2/5/2022 at 3:44 AM, clskinsfan said: Not our winter so far for sure. Maybe March will deliver. Expand By then I don’t care. I honestly only love the winter weather when there’s snow and enough cold to keep it. Not much for storms where the snow is gone in a day or two. We still have about a month for that. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 We had the big snows in 1979 83 87 93 96 03 06 09 10 and 16. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now