SnowenOutThere Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 GFS kicks the Monday Tuesday thing offshore with another piece of energy that also misses to the east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 2 minutes ago, yoda said: weak front with developing SLP riding it? I mean SLP forms down in NW NC and then runs NE... gets to 995mb just east of us and 980s into NE Yeah, but very odd with all the precip on the back of the storm and almost none in the warm sector. It's almost just like a surface reflection of the strong ULL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 9 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: I honestly rarely look but I do know at one point earlier in January they showed a total torch for February. That may be true, I definitely don’t chart it out. Just hope the Valentines Day period pans out. Don’t want to rely on late February/ March. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 9 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: It's similar to yesterday's 18z. And it's really weird. Not sure even what you'd call that? I’ve seen that synoptic progression happen a few times. Not impossible. But it’s not something models will get right from range. And to work we need the secondary to pop southeast of us now right over us like the 12z Gfs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 8 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Yeah, but very odd with all the precip on the back of the storm and almost none in the warm sector. It's almost just like a surface reflection of the strong ULL. The weird atypical presentation is because of the combo of the STJ wave out ahead of it and the stronger initial low along the front to the north. The stj wave is the focus of the deep tropical moisture and the low to the north prevents any closed circulation. The combo means no typical WAA precip to the northeast of the developing low until it eventually phases. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 Euro is a dud for next week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 Euro has almost no Southern Stream energy enter the country for the whole run, could someone who is smarter than me explain why that is? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 sorry folks - i'm officially on the "bring on spring" train. cold without snow sucks. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 1 hour ago, Weather Will said: That may be true, I definitely don’t chart it out. Just hope the Valentines Day period pans out. Don’t want to rely on late February/ March. Hey we have one more historically more favorable weekend after that Not saying anything happens then, but in general...for us at the urban corridor elevation and lower, President’s Day tends to be that bookend for warning-level snows (always exceptions, of course). March can be a stat padder, however...might not get a flush hit (but maybe a slush hit), but we can still eek out an inch here or there. But overall yeah...don't wanna have to rely on that, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 11 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: Euro has almost no Southern Stream energy enter the country for the whole run, could someone who is smarter than me explain why that is? Well, that would actually be more of what you'd expect in a nina (those are NS dominant) The active stj we've had has been a bit unusual for this enso... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 WB 12Z GEFS showing some life after the end of next business week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 I approve all of all the model runs for D5-10. I'll allow it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 21 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I approve all of all the model runs for D5-10. I'll allow it. Be bad if there was an HECS storm that hit 2 days before you came back. I’d send you pictures though. Maybe even a video. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 JUST LOOKED AT MODELS FOR THE FIRST TIME IN DAYS WHAT A FREAKING CATASTORPHE OF A DISASTER. 2 11 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 Mid Atlantic HECS- Hopeless East Coast Storms BECS - Bullsh*t Excruciatingly Close Storms MECS - Marginal Event Cutoff Storm 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 19 minutes ago, Ji said: JUST LOOKED AT MODELS FOR THE FIRST TIME IN DAYS WHAT A FREAKING CATASTORPHE OF A DISASTER. What do you do during the summer then? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anyweather Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 19 minutes ago, Ji said: JUST LOOKED AT MODELS FOR THE FIRST TIME IN DAYS WHAT A FREAKING CATASTORPHE OF A DISASTER. You should have checked a few days ago. There was some nice hits depicted. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 You know what's the biggest issue in the world today.....inability to spell.... 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 2 minutes ago, Anyweather said: You should have spell checked a few days ago. There was some nice hits depicted. fixed it for you 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 1 minute ago, leesburg 04 said: You know what's the biggest issue in the world today.....inability to spell.... Damn Canadiens 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 1 hour ago, Maestrobjwa said: Well, that would actually be more of what you'd expect in a nina (those are NS dominant) The active stj we've had has been a bit unusual for this enso... I thought it was to piss off the weenies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 3 minutes ago, Yeoman said: I thought it was to piss off the weenies Hate when people misspell Freeking Disasta 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 i've seen more impossible setups than what's depicted for tuesday. i'll tune in for 18z/0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 50 minutes ago, Ji said: JUST LOOKED AT MODELS FOR THE FIRST TIME IN DAYS WHAT A FREAKING CATASTORPHE OF A DISASTER. Forgive me but catastorphe is frickin' hilarious and should be a coined term here, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 4 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Forgive me but catastorphe his frickin' hilarious and should be a coined term here, lol Quoting this before it’s changed 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 3 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Quoting this before it’s changed Why would I change it? Cata-storphe sounds funnier, lol (I purposely misspelled it like he did) Eta: Ah I meant "is" and not "his" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vastateofmind Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 32 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: You know what's the biggest issue in the world today.....inability to spell.... Well, at least you properly placed the apostorphe in this post. Ooooops. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 Well, here's a cat's-ass-trophy for ya! 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevWarReenactor Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 This is reminding me a lot of last winter. Kind of average to just below average winter with the potential to be a lot more. Not an ideal pattern but also not a shutout pattern….a lot of close calls and much failure as we watch a good portion of the country cash in. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 46 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: You know what's the biggest issue in the world today.....inability to spell.... What kind of catastorphe is happening in Leesburg? 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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