CAPE Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Let me clarify...I'm talking vs Euro's 12z run. h5 looks better. Surface not so much. 18z EPS will be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 4 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Let me clarify...I'm talking vs Euro's 12z run. Significant change Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 11 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: I think it's easy to see the outcome when looking at the Gfs 18z if it was a nice track. I95 on nw probably would have been wet paste @WVclimo posted the other day about 35% of climo for his back yard It's not been a good winter so far for the northern/NW crew. We still have another 4 to 6 weeks of good tracking but if we get to the second part of February And still sitting at 35% it's going to be tough to get to climo. Glad the Eastern areas are cashing in though. The last few years have been tough if your a snow lover in the area. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 11 minutes ago, CAPE said: Yeah last winter could have been much better for places along the fall line and points east with the persistent favorable look up top, if not for the overwhelming pacific puke. That is the set up that usually works so well for my location wrt snowfall, yet I have done MUCH better this winter in a Nina with no blocking. The difference is clearly the degree of cold air available, but it also took some luck. We got screwed early in the season last year with the cold air getting trapped on the other side of the hemisphere. We have had plenty of cold this year. It just so happens east did better. It happens. Doesnt make it any less insufferable for those of us to the west. It just is what it is. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 5 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: We got screwed early in the season last year with the cold air getting trapped on the other side of the hemisphere. We have had plenty of cold this year. It just so happens east did better. It happens. Doesnt make it any less insufferable for those of us to the west. It just is what it is. That's why I will always say give me the cold and I will take my chances (with storms moving into it). It can work the other way, but less likely. Jan 3 was an example of that. But that was impressive cold pressing SE and perfect timing(for eastern areas). Got to have the cold in place, or nearby and on the move. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 9 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Non stop tracking the past 5 weeks . That's all u can ask for in this area and hobby. Just a bit of bad luck but that's the way it goes but 7 weeks to realistically get accumulating snow n+w. Last season was a solid year . Well over 43" here I believe. There were 2 HECS in the Mid Atlantic/ Northeast and we got a good "piece" of both . Yep. Alot of times it's just luck and randomness that determines the haves and have not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 Temps are marginal, but there's a chance. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 Quandary: 8th is my birthday and was planning to go out for a nice dinner….willing to sacrifice it for a foot of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 3 minutes ago, Weather Will said: Quandary: 8th is my birthday and was planning to go out for a nice dinner….willing to sacrifice it for a foot of snow. There is the 7th and the 9th. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 We are kind of a dry pattern, because there is big +NPH/NOI to be evened out in March by -NOI.. keeps us dry. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 4 minutes ago, Weather Will said: Quandary: 8th is my birthday and was planning to go out for a nice dinner….willing to sacrifice it for a foot of snow. Keep the plans…enjoy your birthday dinner. There is a better chance of aging back one year than a foot of snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormfly Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 Kind of pulling for a few week long drought. Be nice to not have a mud season for a change. Want snow? Gotta move, all there is to it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 16 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Control is very close to a decent track . 1 bump west game on 1 bump west and it’s rain. At least for most of us. Not sure about 18z, but 12z euro had the boundary layer torched. 850 was below freezing, but 925 and below was balmy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 15 minutes ago, Weather Will said: Quandary: 8th is my birthday and was planning to go out for a nice dinner….willing to sacrifice it for a foot of snow. Ill make a deal with you. It snows a foot, I’ll be your Uber. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 I'll make a deak with you , no more Euro eps 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 2 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Surface looks workable with overnight early am timing . A amped enough system tracking in a decent spot should help the entire column verbatim correct ? Eps That looks ok. This would definitely be an overnight-only sort of scenario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 21 minutes ago, Weather Will said: Quandary: 8th is my birthday and was planning to go out for a nice dinner….willing to sacrifice it for a foot of snow. How old? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 3 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: 18z has no 925 mb temps unfortunately Edit..0z and 12z don't neither It would be nice if something broke our way. Nothing really has worked out with the last 3 or 4 chances. Would be funny if this system works out with marginal temps after all the cold that produced nothing. I hate saying we're due but we're due! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 Just now, HighStakes said: It would be nice if something broke our way. Nothing really has worked out with the last 3 or 4 chances. Would be funny if this system works out with marginal temps after all the cold that produced nothing. I hate saying we're due but we're due! Unfortunately we’re do, don’t work here…,conditions based only Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 5 minutes ago, Solution Man said: How old? 54, been awhile since it has snowed on my birthday, so I am due!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 7 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: 18z has no 925 mb temps unfortunately Edit..0z and 12z don't neither There are soundings on tidbits now I believe? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 1 minute ago, Weather Will said: 54, been awhile since it has snowed on my birthday, so I am due!!! Congrats my friend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevWarReenactor Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 I have a very non scientific rule. Two basic things needed for snow: temps and precip. If one is a lock it’s okay to root for the other. When both are a concern; move along. Tuesdays event falls under that category where both things need to break right. Unlikely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 flizzard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted February 4, 2022 Author Share Posted February 4, 2022 1 hour ago, clskinsfan said: We got screwed early in the season last year with the cold air getting trapped on the other side of the hemisphere. We have had plenty of cold this year. It just so happens east did better. It happens. Doesnt make it any less insufferable for those of us to the west. It just is what it is. I get the frustration, especially when the western zones should be getting more snow than those of us further east. Last year, those of us east of Loudoun had a terrible year, (but better than 2020), so this one has been fairly decent. It would be nice if all of us can get in on a storm. It’s been a while. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gopper Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 52 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Surface looks workable with overnight early am timing . A amped enough system tracking in a decent spot should help the entire column verbatim correct ? Eps It will create its own cold air 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now