Baltimorewx Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 1 minute ago, Weather Will said: WB 12Z EURO. None of the reliable models currently have an icing threat for DC and immediate surroundings. Will anyone but the extreme Northern and NW crew have any significant icing? TBD. I mean the GFS still kinda does.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 5 minutes ago, Baltimorewx said: I mean the GFS still kinda does.... Stand corrected. WB 12Z GFS 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 2, 2022 Author Share Posted February 2, 2022 16 minutes ago, Baltimorewx said: Yep, slightly higher in the freezing rain totals for you higher elevation folks but essentially unchanged for us lower elevation peeps and a non event Yup. But not as bad as the GFS. So... Go Euro? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colette11 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Rain has begun here in extreme western WV. 30 minutes West of KY OH border. WWA posted and Flood watch. Temp 48 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skywalker03 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 46/31 in northern Rockville. Looking forward to the rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 The 18Z HRRR laughs at our thread 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 2, 2022 Author Share Posted February 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, high risk said: The 18Z HRRR laughs at our thread Oh gosh. Now I have to hope the long range HRRR is correct 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 9 minutes ago, high risk said: The 18Z HRRR laughs at our thread Interesting upstream trend showing a lot of areas a touch colder than orginiallly forecast for the time being, but the warm nose is more pronounced to the south (Shocker, I know). I still like a climo based event for ice with the northern tier getting the brunt of the ZR risk. Mt PSU will be glazed over like a Krispy Kreme Friday but DC will only be able to see ice if they get a Dunkin Iced Mocha. Areas with sneaky ice potential are spots like Damascus/Clarksburg/Mt Airy/Monkton/Jarretsville. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Cloudy 50 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 6 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: Interesting upstream trend showing a lot of areas a touch colder than orginiallly forecast for the time being, but the warm nose is more pronounced to the south (Shocker, I know). I still like a climo based event for ice with the northern tier getting the brunt of the ZR risk. Mt PSU will be glazed over like a Krispy Kreme Friday but DC will only be able to see ice if they get a Dunkin Iced Mocha. Areas with sneaky ice potential are spots like Damascus/Clarksburg/Mt Airy/Monkton/Jarretsville. So you're saying I'm gonna get hit nicely in Carroll Valley? If so, I agree 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 WB 18Z 12K NAM coming in cooler. 3 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 WB 12K NAM is an ice storm just North of DC. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 4 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 18Z 12K NAM coming in cooler. Yup. Can’t these models make up their mind? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 11 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: Interesting upstream trend showing a lot of areas a touch colder than orginiallly forecast for the time being, but the warm nose is more pronounced to the south (Shocker, I know). I still like a climo based event for ice with the northern tier getting the brunt of the ZR risk. Mt PSU will be glazed over like a Krispy Kreme Friday but DC will only be able to see ice if they get a Dunkin Iced Mocha. Areas with sneaky ice potential are spots like Damascus/Clarksburg/Mt Airy/Monkton/Jarretsville. I can't argue with this thinking, and it seems like the 18Z NAM is moving towards that idea. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 12K NAM is an ice storm just North of DC. Ouch. Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 I just heard on WTOP that Friday will feature rain changing to sleet and snow during the day. Did I miss something? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Though the NAM gets the cold in a bit faster the main thing it does to increase ice is keep the precip around longer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 1 minute ago, snowmagnet said: I just heard on WTOP that Friday will feature rain changing to sleet and snow during the day. Did I miss something? So you have access to real time models and discussions on this site but you go to WTOP for your forecasts? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 2, 2022 Author Share Posted February 2, 2022 jesus, NAM with almost .75 up here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 WB 18Z 3K NAM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 3 minutes ago, Yeoman said: So you have access to real time models and discussions on this site but you go to WTOP for your forecasts? No. I don’t even listen to the TV Mets anymore. I just happened to hear it in the car on the radio and wondered where that came from! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Some wind also… 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 2, 2022 Author Share Posted February 2, 2022 6 minutes ago, mappy said: jesus, NAM with almost .75 up here 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VA Mad Man Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 27 minutes ago, mappy said: jesus, NAM with almost .75 up here Do you have a good generator @mappy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 27 minutes ago, mappy said: Well crap looks like I need to do a small food run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 2, 2022 Author Share Posted February 2, 2022 15 minutes ago, VA Mad Man said: Do you have a good generator @mappy? No. But if I have learned anything from posting with Phin for a decade, is that we don’t get big bad ice storms here. so it’s the nam being the nam. (I hope) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 3 minutes ago, Mrs.J said: Well crap looks like I need to do a small food run. Don’t forget toilet paper 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: Don’t forget toilet paper I'm in one of the danger zones for this one. Hmm nothing like being trapped for days in my hilly neighborhood with 2 kids (2 and <1 yr) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Don’t forget toilet paper I am covered. Back in 2020 I had just started a TP delivery service called Who Gives A Crap. I get a box of TP delivered every 6 weeks. 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 3 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: I'm in one of the danger zones for this one. Hmm nothing like being trapped for days in my hilly neighborhood with 2 kids (2 and <1 yr) Park at the bottom. You won’t need food since you won’t have electricity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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