Frog Town Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 1 minute ago, nwohweather said: I'm going full broken record here, but the models never really showed a full change over in Toledo until around 1-2. IMO everyone is jumping the gun here on lowering totals including the TV stations. Reports out of IL/IN are pretty convincing So you still think NW Ohio has a shot at 12-14"? Thanks for the reply. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 9 minutes ago, Crispus said: I have some friends planning to drive from Peoria to the U of I game in Champaign tonight. They tried to convince me to go with 'em, but I didn't think it was a good idea. Feeling like I made the right call so far. Def the right call. Interstate between Mahomet and Champaign is closed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Working in this right now. A challenge to say the least. Easily over a foot here, so far. Walking thru knee deep snow everywhere. Still snowing… 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago916 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Those radar returns entering Cook and Dupage look juicy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherMonger Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michaelmantis Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 I'm in Elgin IL (Northern Kane around I-90) and *right* on the borderline of the snow line ending on radar (as of 12:20 PM) and the flakes are best of the event right now in my area. Looks like something may be trying to build up again around I-39 and I could squeeze an inch or two more out of this on the razors edge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 11 minutes ago, nwohweather said: I'm going full broken record here, but the models never really showed a full change over in Toledo until around 1-2. IMO everyone is jumping the gun here on lowering totals including the TV stations. Reports out of IL/IN are pretty convincing I can see it but lowering the totals also makes sense. I think 12" will be the max for NW Ohio and SE MI. Too much qpf was lost to rain/wet snow. Buffalo mentioned ratios could be as low as 4-6:1 for a period of time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 1 minute ago, Frog Town said: So you still think NW Ohio has a shot at 12-14"? Thanks for the reply. 100%. Good moisture transport & solid forcing aloft should help it rip later this evening, especially back towards the IN/OH border. I think the models may be struggling a bit in the near term for the second wave as it's trying to "dry it up". I say that hesitantly though as this is playing out almost verbatim what the Euro has been showing the last few days. 10-15" is a solid bet for both systems and has been for the past few days in my opinion. Still, with that jet placement it looks like the overall winners are going to be in the I-69 to US-31 corridor back in Indiana 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, michaelmantis said: I'm in Elgin IL (Northern Kane around I-90) and *right* on the borderline of the snow line ending on radar (as of 12:20 PM) and the flakes are best of the event right now in my area. Looks like something may be trying to build up again around I-39 and I could squeeze an inch or two more out of this on the razors edge. ^ last night's RAP making a run to verify Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 2, 2022 Author Share Posted February 2, 2022 6.0" here as of a bit ago. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
laferri2 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Yeah, here in Metro Detroit it has been snowing for almost 7 hours and we haven't even covered the grass. Lost a lot to rain, melting, and wet snow. Thinking 12" tops after the end of the 2 day event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Owensnow Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 22 minutes ago, Frog Town said: It was very painful in Toledo watching it try to switch for four hours. The front must of have been traveling at 10mph.... Finally switched over and hoping we can still get to a foot. That's my threshold for this not to go to shit. I think we are good. HRRR and RGEM still keep snow through tonight and likely all day tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lightning Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 1 hour ago, Jonger said: That gap in the system burned us. Saginaw might get 12 inches, Monroe might get 12 inches and Lansing, Howell, Pontiac..... 4 to 8. We'll see on Thur or Friday when the final storm report comes out. Radar could fill in and make this all moot, but I wouldn't bank on it. I was really hoping things would improve as that the heavier band that went over the Chicago land area moved in. It seems to have only filled in the radar while dropping in intensity. Flake size has been meh at best as ratios look to be still 10:1 here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 1 minute ago, mississaugasnow said: I can see it but lowering the totals also makes sense. I think 12" will be the max for NW Ohio and SE MI. Too much qpf was lost to rain/wet snow. Buffalo mentioned ratios could be as low as 4-6:1 for a period of time. But that's where forecasting comes into play Seriously though you could tell this was going to happen. 1-2" through lunch time, 2-4" through the afternoon & dinner time, 3-5" through the night, 3-5" on Thursday morning/lunch time. Falls right in line with that 10-15" forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaveNay Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 9 minutes ago, michaelmantis said: I'm in Elgin IL (Northern Kane around I-90) and *right* on the borderline of the snow line ending on radar (as of 12:20 PM) and the flakes are best of the event right now in my area. Looks like something may be trying to build up again around I-39 and I could squeeze an inch or two more out of this on the razors edge. I'm just to the east of your red rectangle, and there's nothing falling from the sky under those returns. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 ^ it's not far east enough yet. Can say snowfall in Downers Grove continues at a light/moderate clip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Horrendous conditions in the neighborhood right now, quality event, LE may push us to the double digit promised land 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, mimillman said: Horrendous conditions in the neighborhood right now, quality event, LE may push us to the double digit promised land we're obviously going double digits 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
homedis Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, mimillman said: Horrendous conditions in the neighborhood right now, quality event, LE may push us to the double digit promised land Yep, probably somewhere between 8 and 8.5" now with some heavier returns approaching... already satisfied, rest is just bonus. I think we'll end at 9-10" pre-LES Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michaelmantis Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 9 minutes ago, DaveNay said: I'm just to the east of your red rectangle, and there's nothing falling from the sky under those returns. And it looks like the event is going to be over for me! Now time to shovel! Decent little event and the models actually handled the cut-off (in N IL anyway) very nicely it appears. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherMonger Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BigHoss48192 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 19 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: 6.0" here as of a bit ago. A whopping inch in SE Michigan where I’m at. Looks like we’re getting screwed again. We were supposed the be the bullseye. Landing had over 8” already. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 31 minutes ago, Chicago WX said: Working in this right now. A challenge to say the least. Easily over a foot here, so far. Walking thru knee deep snow everywhere. Still snowing… Oh baby. Glad for you Tim. Enjoy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 RAP and RGEM ftw honestly 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 -RA and 35. Just sitting back and waiting to see what transpires. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
laferri2 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, BigHoss48192 said: A whopping inch in SE Michigan where I’m at. Looks like we’re getting screwed again. We were supposed the be the bullseye. Landing had over 8” already. Yep, another storm that's gonna end up wrapping around the Metro area. The Oakland\Wayne\Macomb weather shield in action. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Looks like a nice slug of heavier returns moving into the city now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 5 minutes ago, BigHoss48192 said: A whopping inch in SE Michigan where I’m at. Looks like we’re getting screwed again. We were supposed the be the bullseye. Landing had over 8” already. The snow is nowhere near over. It was a frustrating start but the goods are yet to come. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 13 minutes ago, laferri2 said: Yep, another storm that's gonna end up wrapping around the Metro area. The Oakland\Wayne\Macomb weather shield in action. When was the last time a storm "wrapped around" the 3 county metro area? It's clearly not going to be an epic storm but as nwohio has been posting...it seems many don't even follow timelines. I'm pissed that the old snow caused pudding on the frozen ground and also that we won't be getting epic accumulation, but it still should be a solid storm by tmrw. And looks like it'll be very scenic. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 10 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said: When was the last time a storm "wrapped around" the 3 county metro area? It's clearly not going to be an epic storm but as nwohio has been posting...it seems many don't even follow timelines. I'm pissed that the old snow caused pudding on the frozen ground and also that we won't be getting epic accumulation, but it still should be a solid storm by tmrw. And looks like it'll be very scenic. Lansing usually does well with systems that track from the SW. Banding usually end up forming west of 75. East side cant get any good banding thus far. May still end up with 6 or so. Glad I decided to stay put down here. 85 n sunny today. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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